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Orege Société Anonyme (OREGE) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · FR · Market cap €14.5M

OS Orege Société Anonyme OREGE · PA
Price€0.2800
Fair Value€0.0400
Upside-85.7%
Quality19/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: Low Range €0.0200 – €0.0600 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −2.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.0600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (19/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (€0.0200 to €0.0600). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€1.51 €0.1930 Fair Value €0.0400 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.1930 – €1.51 · fair‑value band €0.0200 – €0.0600 · the €0.2800 price screens above the €0.0400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Orege Société Anonyme (OREGE) currently trades at €0.2800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.0400, implying the stock looks roughly 85.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at €2.8M. Revenue declined 21.7% year over year. Net debt stands at €77.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.0200 (bear case) to €0.0600 (bull case); at €0.2800, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -86%, OREGE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM €0.0100 €0.0200 €0.0300 70
DDM Multi-Stage €0.0100 €0.0200 €0.0300 61
All 2 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.0100 €0.0200 €0.0300 70
DDM Multi-Stage €0.0100 €0.0200 €0.0300 61

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €2.8M
Revenue growth (YoY) -21.7%
Free cash flow −€17.3M FY2025
Operating margin -535%
EPS (TTM) €-0.2300
Net debt €77.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 19/100

Of which business quality 20 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 19
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 34
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Orege Société Anonyme designs, develops, operates, manufactures, and markets municipal and industrial sludge solutions in France, the United States, Germany, and the United Kingdom. The company offers equipment rental with or without an operator. The company is headquartered in Paris, France. Orege Société Anonyme is a subsidiary of Eren Groupe SA.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Orege Société Anonyme reported revenue of €3.0M in FY2025 versus €2.3M in FY2021, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was −€14.4M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 19/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€3.0M
Latest YoY
−1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.4%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Revenue +7.3%/yr
FY21 €2.3M
FY22 €3.5M
FY23 €1.3M
FY24 €3.0M
FY25 €3.0M
Net income
FY21 −€4.6M
FY22 −€6.2M
FY23 −€10.2M
FY24 −€8.5M
FY25 −€14.4M

OREGE screens 86% overvalued. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orege Société Anonyme Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OREGE

Peer Group

Waste Management · 166 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 19 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -34% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 5.58× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 8
FUTURE 45 · sector 22
PAST 0 · sector 25
HEALTH 100 · sector 81
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Waste Management, Inc WM $233.33 $128.02 -45%
Republic Services, Inc RSG $219.20 $122.01 -44%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN C$242.43 C$78.67 -68%
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €37.51 €24.50 -35%
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $303.64 $155.37 -49%
GFL Environmental Inc GFL C$55.40 C$94.12 +70%
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC €12.20 €7.30 -40%
GEM Co 002340 ¥6.32 ¥5.27 -17%
Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 ¥15.75 ¥20.95 +33%
Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY A$2.34 A$1.18 -50%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Orege Société Anonyme (OREGE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.0400 versus a price of €0.2800, about −86% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OREGE?
Our model-based fair value for Orege Société Anonyme is €0.0400 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €0.2800.
What is the quality score of OREGE?
Orege Société Anonyme has a Quality Score of 19/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Orege Société Anonyme (OREGE)?
Orege Société Anonyme reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €2.8M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OREGE?
The net profit margin of Orege Société Anonyme is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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