OSG Corporation (OSG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of OSG Corporation stock €15.75, price €18.80, that is 16.2% below the price, quality 67 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 25 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €9.01 – €23.37 · fair‑value band €10.19 – €21.94 · the €18.80 price screens above the €15.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.
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OSG Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells precision machinery tools in Japan, the Americas, Europe, Africa, and Asia.
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The company's products include taps, drills, end mills, indexable, thread mills, dies, tap holders, and gauges, as well as offers tooling systems, such as OZT Tool Presetter, and Safe-Lock System.
It also provides tailored tooling solutions, including bent tap, shell tap, core drill, PCD step reamer, dovetail cutter, formed end mill, P2D drill with chamfering, and Christmas cutter, as well as machines and machine parts. In addition, it offers tool reconditioning services.
Its products are used in automotive, die/mold, aerospace, energy, and heavy industry applications. OSG Corporation was incorporated in 1938 and is headquartered in Toyokawa, Japan.
Stock analysis
OSG Corporation (OSG) currently trades at €18.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €15.75, 16% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €21.90 per share, and 5 of the 25 models we run sit above the €18.80 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €3.76, and 20 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €10.19 (bear) to €21.94 (bull), the price of €18.80 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
OSG Corporation reported revenue of ¥161B in FY2025 versus ¥126B in FY2021, a compound +6.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥14.3B in FY2025, compounding +6.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €1.5B Small · P/E ratio 12.2 · P/S ratio 1.09 · EPS (TTM) €1.54 · Dividend yield 2.1% · Net margin 8.9% · Return on equity 13.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.0% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 60 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −16%, OSG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€10.19Fair Value €15.75Bull€21.94
Price €18.80 · Downside -16.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 11 months old). Earnings retained since then (€1.07 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.83/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.7% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+11.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 13%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+8.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.5% a year for the price and +6.4% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Tools & Accessories · 128 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−16.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)13.5% · Above median
Return on assets5.4% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)13.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)23.2% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)32.5% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)2.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.24× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)12.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.53× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)1.48× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)23.9× · Pricier than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OSG Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OSG
Frequently asked questions
Is OSG Corporation (OSG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €15.75 versus a price of €18.80, about 16% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OSG?
Our model-based fair value for OSG Corporation is €15.75 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €18.80.
What is the quality score of OSG?
OSG Corporation has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OSG Corporation (OSG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €15.75 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario €10.19, optimistic scenario €21.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OSG Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €15.75, about 16% lower versus a price of €18.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €10.19, optimistic scenario €21.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OSG Corporation (OSG)?
OSG Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥188B (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does OSG Corporation pay a dividend?
OSG Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of 2.14% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).
How much is the dividend of OSG Corporation (OSG) and when is the ex-dividend date?
OSG Corporation pays a dividend of €0.402 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.1%. The next ex-dividend date is Nov 27, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2003. The payout ratio is 41.2% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.97 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into OSG Corporation (OSG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, OSG Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +14.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.0 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OSG use?
Our models discount OSG Corporation at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.95, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For OSG Corporation that is +14.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has OSG Corporation (OSG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at OSG Corporation grew +9.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +14.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of OSG Corporation (OSG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into OSG Corporation (+14.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of OSG Corporation (OSG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.27 %: that much free cash flow OSG Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of OSG Corporation (OSG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OSG Corporation it is €15.75 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of €18.80. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is OSG Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, OSG trades above its calculated fair value: price €18.80, fair value €15.75, a gap of about −16% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OSG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€18.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€15.75). For OSG Corporation the two are €3.05 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OSG Corporation worth?
The market values OSG Corporation at about €1.5B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is €18.80; our models calculate a fair value of €15.75 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OSG?
Our models span a range for OSG Corporation: cautious scenario €10.19, base €15.75, optimistic €21.94 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price €18.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OSG?
OSG Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.2 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €15.75 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 5.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of OSG Corporation (OSG)?
Balance-sheet figures for OSG Corporation (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 13.5%, debt of 0.24 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OSG from its 52-week high?
OSG Corporation trades at €18.80, about 15% below its 52-week high of €22.00 and 62% above the low of €11.59 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €15.75 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to OSG Corporation?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Techtronic Industries Company, Snap-on Incorporated, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc, Lincoln Electric Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OSG Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price €18.80, calculated fair value €15.75 (−16%), Quality Score 67/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OSG calculated?
We run OSG Corporation through 25 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €15.75 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. OSG Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OSG Corporation (OSG)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was €18.80. Our model-based fair value is €15.75, about 16% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OSG Corporation right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (€10.19 to €21.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of OSG Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of OSG Corporation (OSG)?
The market capitalisation of OSG Corporation is €1.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of OSG Corporation (OSG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of OSG Corporation is 1.09 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of OSG Corporation (OSG)?
Earnings per share at OSG Corporation are €1.54 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of OSG Corporation (OSG)?
The dividend yield of OSG Corporation is 2.1% (payout 26.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of OSG Corporation (OSG)?
The net margin of OSG Corporation is 8.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of OSG Corporation (OSG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OSG Corporation is 13.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OSG Corporation (OSG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OSG Corporation is 8.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OSG Corporation (OSG)?
The operating margin of OSG Corporation is 23.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OSG Corporation (OSG)?
Revenue at OSG Corporation is growing +32.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at OSG Corporation (OSG)?
Earnings per share at OSG Corporation are growing +181% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does OSG Corporation (OSG) carry?
The net debt of OSG Corporation is ¥4.0B (fiscal year 2020, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 9, 2026