Otokar Otomotiv ve Savunma Sanayi A.S., (OTKAR) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TR · Market cap 36.5B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 1, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated today
Share price −16.0% over the past month.
What matters now
- Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (40.02 TRY to 365.68 TRY). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 302.75 TRY – 575.00 TRY · fair‑value band 40.02 TRY – 365.68 TRY · the 305.00 TRY price screens above the 200.08 TRY fair value. As of Aug 1, 2026.
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Otokar Otomotiv ve Savunma Sanayi A.S., (OTKAR) currently trades at 305.00 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 200.08 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 34.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Otokar Otomotiv ve Savunma Sanayi A.S., generated revenue of 51.1B TRY at a net margin of -4.8%. Revenue declined 8.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -30.2%. Net debt stands at 27.7B TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 1, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 40.02 TRY (bear case) to 365.68 TRY (bull case); at 305.00 TRY, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -15% fair-value upside, at -34%, OTKAR screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Otokar Otomotiv ve Savunma Sanayi A.S., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells commercial and defense industry vehicles in Turkey. It offers light trucks, wheeled and tracked armored vehicles, and turrets for the defense industry.
Full company description
Otokar Otomotiv ve Savunma Sanayi A.S., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells commercial and defense industry vehicles in Turkey. It offers light trucks, wheeled and tracked armored vehicles, and turrets for the defense industry. The company also provides pick-up type vehicles; minibuses, small buses, and regular buses for public transportation; wheeled and tracked armored vehicles; shuttle transportation; tactical wheeled vehicles, and turrets. The company was incorporated in 1963 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Otokar Otomotiv ve Savunma Sanayi A.S., reported revenue of 52.0B TRL in FY2025 versus 4.5B TRL in FY2021, a compound +84.2%/yr. Reported net income was −1.5B TRL in FY2025.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 1, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
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| Tesla, Inc TSLA | 39,580 ARS | 29,866 ARS | -25% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 581,000 KRW | 496,527 KRW | -15% |
| General Motors Company GMCO34 | R$101.50 | R$64.16 | -37% |
| Ferrari N.V 2FE | €306.15 | €182.27 | -40% |
| Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N | 1,909 MXN | 159.05 MXN | -92% |
| 8TI 8TI | €5.87 | €18.06 | +208% |
| Ford Motor Company F | C$11.86 | C$16.14 | +36% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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