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Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS stock TRY 0.77, price TRY 5.30, upside -85.5%, quality 28 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive TR · ISIN TREOYLS00017

OS Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS logo Thin data Oct 29, 2026

Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS

OYLUM · IS
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 85% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +34.4 %/yr in TRY)
Loss over the last twelve months · -10.4% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2020 5.6%
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Fair value 0.7700 TRY · Strongly overvalued (−85.5%)
Quality 28/100
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 30/100
Thin data

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

15.96 TRY 1.84 TRY Fair Value 0.7700 TRY Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.84 TRY – 15.96 TRY · fair‑value band 0.5400 TRY – 1.00 TRY · the 5.30 TRY price screens above the 0.7700 TRY fair value. As of Oct 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar Anonim Sirketi produces general foodstuffs in Turkey.

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It offers biscuits, chocolate, wafers, chocolate coated biscuits, waffles, cakes, crackers, chewing gum, candy, turkish delight, halva, jam, etc. all kinds of floury and sugary, cakes, crackers, chewing gum, halva, fibrous biscuits, cream biscuits, marshmallows, spreadable creams, and jam etc.

The company is also involved in buying, selling, importing, and exporting substances. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Kayseri, Turkey.

Stock analysis

Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM) currently trades at 5.30 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.7700 TRY, 85.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 2.17 TRY per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the 5.30 TRY price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.3900 TRY, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.5400 TRY (bear) to 1.00 TRY (bull), the price of 5.30 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS reported revenue of 72.2M TRY in FY2020 versus 18.8M TRY in FY2016, a compound +39.9%/yr. Reported net income was 4.1M TRY in FY2020.

Key figures

Market cap 451M TRY (≈ $9.0M) Micro · P/E ratio 37.9 · P/S ratio 2.14 · EPS (TTM) 0.1400 TRY · Net margin 5.6% · Return on equity −8.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2% · Operating margin 12.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 30 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −85%, OYLUM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.5400 TRY Fair Value 0.7700 TRY Bull 1.00 TRY
Price 5.30 TRY · Upside -85.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV 0.3600 TRY 0.3900 TRY 0.4200 TRY 74
ROIC Compounder 0.3600 TRY 0.3900 TRY 0.4200 TRY 72
Residual Income 0.4000 TRY 0.4100 TRY 0.4500 TRY 71
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.3300 TRY 0.6200 TRY 0.7700 TRY 66
EPV 0.3600 TRY 0.3900 TRY 0.4200 TRY 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.7600 TRY 1.01 TRY 1.26 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 0.6100 TRY 0.8100 TRY 1.02 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 2.18 TRY 2.91 TRY 3.64 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 0.8400 TRY 1.15 TRY 1.46 TRY 66
EV/EBITDA 0.8600 TRY 1.18 TRY 1.50 TRY 67
EV/Revenue 0.5700 TRY 0.8500 TRY 1.14 TRY 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.43 TRY 2.17 TRY 2.71 TRY 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.4000 TRY 0.4100 TRY 0.4500 TRY 71
ROIC Compounder 0.3600 TRY 0.3900 TRY 0.4200 TRY 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.5400 TRY 0.7700 TRY 1.00 TRY 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 40
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 67
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 75
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 2
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+32.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+42.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.4%
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.0% (2015) → 8.7% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: rate outside our plausibility band
not computed

OYLUM screens overvalued: fair value 85% below the price. Compare with Mondelez International, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Confectioners · 81 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −85.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 4.9% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) −10.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 12.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 14.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.24× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 37.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B 10.01× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.55× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.9× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)71 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)88 · sector 88
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
ORION Holdings 001800 22,200 KRW 51,062 KRW +130% vs OYLUM
ORION Corp 271560 112,900 KRW 203,315 KRW +80% vs OYLUM
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISP CHF 8,240 CHF 11,708 +42% vs OYLUM
Cofco Sugar Holding 600737 ¥12.03 ¥10.76 −11% vs OYLUM
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TR $36.55 $21.64 −41% vs OYLUM
Barry Callebaut AG BARN CHF 1,151 CHF 654.80 −43% vs OYLUM
The Hershey Company HSY $160.28 $90.80 −43% vs OYLUM
Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ $62.53 $29.03 −54% vs OYLUM
Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 ¥17.24 ¥6.91 −60% vs OYLUM
Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN ₹631.65 ₹160.94 −75% vs OYLUM

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OYLUM

Frequently asked questions

Is Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.7700 TRY versus a price of 5.30 TRY, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OYLUM?
Our model-based fair value for Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS is 0.7700 TRY (as of Oct 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 5.30 TRY.
What is the quality score of OYLUM?
Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.7700 TRY (as of Oct 29, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.5400 TRY, optimistic scenario 1.00 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.7700 TRY, about −85% upside versus a price of 5.30 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.5400 TRY, optimistic scenario 1.00 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS it is 0.7700 TRY per share (as of Oct 29, 2026), against a price of 5.30 TRY. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 29, 2026, OYLUM trades above its calculated fair value: price 5.30 TRY, fair value 0.7700 TRY, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OYLUM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (5.30 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.7700 TRY). For Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS the two are 4.53 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS worth?
The market values Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS at about 451M TRY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 29, 2026). Per share that is 5.30 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 0.7700 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OYLUM?
Our models span a range for Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS: cautious scenario 0.5400 TRY, base 0.7700 TRY, optimistic 1.00 TRY per share (as of Oct 29, 2026, price 5.30 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OYLUM?
Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 37.9 (as of Oct 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.7700 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 10.0, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 5.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (as of Oct 29, 2026): return on equity −8.4%, debt of 0.24 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OYLUM from its 52-week high?
Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS trades at 5.30 TRY, about 56% below its 52-week high of 11.99 TRY and at the low of 5.30 TRY (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.7700 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Mondelez International, Inc, The Hershey Company, Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, Barry Callebaut AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 29, 2026: price 5.30 TRY, calculated fair value 0.7700 TRY (−85%), Quality Score 28/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OYLUM calculated?
We run Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.7700 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 5.30 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 0.7700 TRY, about −85% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.00 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (0.5400 TRY to 1.00 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS

How large is the market capitalisation of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
The market capitalisation of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS is 451M TRY (≈ $9.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS is 2.14 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
Earnings per share at Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS are 0.1400 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
The net margin of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS is 5.6% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS is −8.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
The operating margin of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS is 12.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
Revenue at Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS is growing +14.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +42.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
Earnings per share at Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS are growing −97.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM) generate?
The free cash flow of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS is −5.5M TRY (fiscal year 2020). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM) carry?
The net debt of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS is 8.7M TRY (fiscal year 2020). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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