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Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · TR · ISIN TREOYLS00017

OS Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS

OYLUM · IS

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 1.01 TRY · Strongly overvalued (−85%)
!Quality 27/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +34.4 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -12.7% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2020 5.6%
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/11)
!Narrow moat 23/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value

15.96 TRY 1.84 TRY Fair Value 1.01 TRY Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.84 TRY – 15.96 TRY · fair‑value band 0.7600 TRY – 1.26 TRY · the 6.89 TRY price screens above the 1.01 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar Anonim Sirketi produces general foodstuffs in Turkey. It offers biscuits, chocolate, wafers, chocolate coated biscuits, waffles, cakes, crackers, chewing gum, candy, turkish delight, halva, jam, etc.

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Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar Anonim Sirketi produces general foodstuffs in Turkey. It offers biscuits, chocolate, wafers, chocolate coated biscuits, waffles, cakes, crackers, chewing gum, candy, turkish delight, halva, jam, etc. all kinds of floury and sugary, cakes, crackers, chewing gum, halva, fibrous biscuits, cream biscuits, marshmallows, spreadable creams, and jam etc. The company is also involved in buying, selling, importing, and exporting substances. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Kayseri, Turkey.

Stock analysis

Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM) currently trades at 6.89 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.01 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 582.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 2.19 TRY per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the 6.89 TRY price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.3500 TRY, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.7600 TRY (bear) to 1.26 TRY (bull), the price of 6.89 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS reported revenue of 72.2M TRY in FY2020 versus 18.8M TRY in FY2016, a compound +39.9%/yr. Reported net income was 4.1M TRY in FY2020.

Key figures

Market cap 642M TRY (≈ $13.2M) · P/E ratio 98.4 · P/S ratio 5.56 · EPS (TTM) 0.0700 TRY · Net margin 5.6% · Return on equity −10.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2% · Operating margin 4.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at −85%, OYLUM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.7600 TRY Fair Value 1.01 TRY Bull 1.26 TRY
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV 0.4300 TRY 0.4900 TRY 0.5300 TRY 74
ROIC Compounder 0.4300 TRY 0.4900 TRY 0.5300 TRY 70
Residual Income 0.4300 TRY 0.4600 TRY 0.5000 TRY 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.3300 TRY 2.27 TRY 3.19 TRY 61
Lynch FV 1.17 TRY 1.68 TRY 2.18 TRY 59
PEG = 1.0 1.17 TRY 1.68 TRY 2.18 TRY 55
EPV 0.4300 TRY 0.4900 TRY 0.5300 TRY 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.7600 TRY 1.01 TRY 1.26 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 0.6100 TRY 0.8100 TRY 1.02 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 0.6100 TRY 0.8100 TRY 1.02 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 0.9900 TRY 1.30 TRY 1.61 TRY 66
EV/EBITDA 1.01 TRY 1.33 TRY 1.65 TRY 67
EV/Revenue 0.7200 TRY 1.01 TRY 1.29 TRY 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.2600 TRY 0.3500 TRY 0.5300 TRY 53
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.4300 TRY 0.4600 TRY 0.5000 TRY 68
ROIC Compounder 0.4300 TRY 0.4900 TRY 0.5300 TRY 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1.54 TRY 2.19 TRY 2.85 TRY 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+32.2%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+42.2%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.4%
Revenue growth 9 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.3%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.0% (2015) → 8.7% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: rate outside our plausibility band
not computed

OYLUM screens 582% overvalued. Compare with Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Confectioners · 78 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −13% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.24× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 98.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.30× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)43 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)88 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN CHF 87,900 CHF 8,994 −90%
Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ $62.44 $27.36 −56%
The Hershey Company HSY $173.32 $91.25 −47%
Barry Callebaut AG BARN CHF 1,100 CHF 654.80 −40%
ORION Corp 271560 119,300 KRW 203,315 KRW +70%
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB $39.00 $22.21 −43%
Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 ¥20.96 ¥9.09 −57%
Cloetta AB CLAB kr 53.65 kr 59.12 +10%
Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN ₹692.55 ₹318.59 −54%
PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI 1,300 IDR 1,077 IDR −17%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OYLUM

Frequently asked questions

Is Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.01 TRY versus a price of 6.89 TRY, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OYLUM?
Our model-based fair value for Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS is 1.01 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 6.89 TRY.
What is the quality score of OYLUM?
Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.01 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.7600 TRY, optimistic scenario 1.26 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.01 TRY, about −85% upside versus a price of 6.89 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.7600 TRY, optimistic scenario 1.26 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS it is 1.01 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 6.89 TRY. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, OYLUM trades above its calculated fair value: price 6.89 TRY, fair value 1.01 TRY, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OYLUM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (6.89 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.01 TRY). For Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS the two are 5.88 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS worth?
The market values Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS at about 642M TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 6.89 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 1.01 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OYLUM?
Our models span a range for Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS: cautious scenario 0.7600 TRY, base 1.01 TRY, optimistic 1.26 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 6.89 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OYLUM?
Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 98.4 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1.01 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −10.3%, debt of 0.24 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OYLUM from its 52-week high?
Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS trades at 6.89 TRY, about 47% below its 52-week high of 13.12 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.01 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, Mondelez International, Inc, The Hershey Company, Barry Callebaut AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 6.89 TRY, calculated fair value 1.01 TRY (−85%), Quality Score 27/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OYLUM calculated?
We run Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.01 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
The closing price on Sep 14, 2026 was 6.89 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 1.01 TRY, about −85% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.26 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS

How large is the market capitalisation of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
The market capitalisation of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS is 642M TRY (≈ $13.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS is 5.56 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
Earnings per share at Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS are 0.0700 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 98.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
The net margin of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS is 5.6% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS is −10.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
The operating margin of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
Revenue at Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS is growing +8.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +42.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM)?
Earnings per share at Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS are growing −97.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM) generate?
The free cash flow of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS is −5.5M TRY (fiscal year 2020). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS (OYLUM) carry?
The net debt of Oylum Sinai Yatirimlar AS is 8.7M TRY (fiscal year 2020). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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