Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. stock TRY 18.01, price TRY 27.00, upside -33.3%, quality 60 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
47‑month range 4.09 TRY – 44.60 TRY · fair‑value band 13.51 TRY – 22.51 TRY · the 27.00 TRY price screens above the 18.01 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 29, 2026.
Follow Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Özsu Balik Üretim Anonim Sirketi operates as a seafood company in Turkey, the Netherlands, and Britain. The company offers sea bream and sea bass fish products. It also engages in the production, storage, purchase, sale, export, middleman, and brokerage of marine and aquatic products.
Show moreShow less
Özsu Balik Üretim Anonim Sirketi was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Izmir, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB) currently trades at 27.00 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 18.01 TRY, 33.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 75.40 TRY per share, and 21 of the 26 models we run sit above the 27.00 TRY price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 5.37 TRY, and 5 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 13.51 TRY (bear) to 22.51 TRY (bull), the price of 27.00 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. reported revenue of 3.0B TRY in FY2025 versus 438M TRY in FY2021, a compound +61.3%/yr. Reported net income was 294M TRY in FY2025, compounding +143.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.2B TRY (≈ $64.9M) Micro · P/E ratio 7.6 · P/S ratio 1.20 · EPS (TTM) 3.53 TRY · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 15.9% · Return on equity 42.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 68 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −33%, OZSUB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear13.51 TRYFair Value 18.01 TRYBull22.51 TRY
Price 27.00 TRY · Upside -33.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.43 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+93.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+90.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Turkey: IMF forecast 19.3% a year to 2030, 28.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −15.9% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 288 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Fair Value upside−33.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)42.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets8.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)15.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)16.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−25.5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)2.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)7.6× · Cheapest 25%
P/B3.15× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)1.20× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow5.6× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA5.6× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 32
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 17
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)46· sector 43
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OZSUB
Frequently asked questions
Is Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 18.01 TRY versus a price of 27.00 TRY, about −33% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OZSUB?
Our model-based fair value for Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. is 18.01 TRY (as of Oct 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 27.00 TRY.
What is the quality score of OZSUB?
Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 18.01 TRY (as of Oct 29, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 13.51 TRY, optimistic scenario 22.51 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 18.01 TRY, about −33% upside versus a price of 27.00 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 13.51 TRY, optimistic scenario 22.51 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.7B TRY (latest available figure, as of Oct 29, 2026).
Does Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. pay a dividend?
Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. currently shows a dividend yield of 2.29% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. would have to grow free cash flow by +0.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +65.0 % per year. As of Oct 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OZSUB use?
Our models discount Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. at 15.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.07, country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. that is +0.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. grew +65.0 % a year. The price currently implies +0.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (+0.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 18.00 %: that much free cash flow Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. it is 18.01 TRY per share (as of Oct 29, 2026), against a price of 27.00 TRY. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 29, 2026, OZSUB trades above its calculated fair value: price 27.00 TRY, fair value 18.01 TRY, a gap of about −33% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OZSUB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (27.00 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (18.01 TRY). For Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. the two are 8.99 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. worth?
The market values Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. at about 3.2B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 29, 2026). Per share that is 27.00 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 18.01 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OZSUB?
Our models span a range for Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S.: cautious scenario 13.51 TRY, base 18.01 TRY, optimistic 22.51 TRY per share (as of Oct 29, 2026, price 27.00 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OZSUB?
Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.6 (as of Oct 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 18.01 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.2, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 5.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (as of Oct 29, 2026): return on equity 42.0%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OZSUB from its 52-week high?
Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. trades at 27.00 TRY, about 39% below its 52-week high of 44.60 TRY and 60% above the low of 16.82 TRY (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 18.01 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Tyson Foods, Inc, Bunge Global SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 29, 2026: price 27.00 TRY, calculated fair value 18.01 TRY (−33%), Quality Score 60/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OZSUB calculated?
We run Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 18.01 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was 27.00 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 18.01 TRY, about −33% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (22.51 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S.
How large is the market capitalisation of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
The market capitalisation of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. is 3.2B TRY (≈ $64.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. is 1.20 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
Earnings per share at Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. are 3.53 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
The dividend yield of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. is 2.3% (payout 17.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
The net margin of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. is 15.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. is 42.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. is 11.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
The operating margin of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. is 16.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
Revenue at Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. is growing −25.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +25.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
Earnings per share at Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. are growing +219% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB) carry?
The net debt of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. is 769M TRY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. in the live analysis
One click puts Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 28,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Oct 29, 2026