Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
46‑month range 4.09 TRY – 44.60 TRY · fair‑value band 19.23 TRY – 51.03 TRY · the 39.80 TRY price screens above the 31.64 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Özsu Balik Üretim Anonim Sirketi operates as a seafood company in Turkey, the Netherlands, and Britain. The company offers sea bream and sea bass fish products. It also engages in the production, storage, purchase, sale, export, middleman, and brokerage of marine and aquatic products.
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Özsu Balik Üretim Anonim Sirketi operates as a seafood company in Turkey, the Netherlands, and Britain. The company offers sea bream and sea bass fish products. It also engages in the production, storage, purchase, sale, export, middleman, and brokerage of marine and aquatic products. Özsu Balik Üretim Anonim Sirketi was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Izmir, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB) currently trades at 39.80 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 31.64 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 25.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 112.16 TRY per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the 39.80 TRY price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 5.75 TRY, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 19.23 TRY (bear) to 51.03 TRY (bull), the price of 39.80 TRY sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. reported revenue of 3.0B TRY in FY2025 versus 438M TRY in FY2021, a compound +61.3%/yr. Reported net income was 294M TRY in FY2025, compounding +143.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 4.8B TRY (≈ $98.4M) · P/E ratio 11.9 · P/S ratio 1.18 · EPS (TTM) 3.34 TRY · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 9.9% · Return on equity 37.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades near its 52-week high and 145% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −20%, OZSUB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 19.23 TRYFair Value 31.64 TRYBull 51.03 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.92 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+92.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+90.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 16%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 292 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside+32% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)37% · Top 25%
Return on assets10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)20% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OZSUB
Frequently asked questions
Is Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 31.64 TRY versus a price of 39.80 TRY, about −20% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OZSUB?
Our model-based fair value for Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. is 31.64 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 39.80 TRY.
What is the quality score of OZSUB?
Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 31.64 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 19.23 TRY, optimistic scenario 51.03 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 31.64 TRY, about −20% upside versus a price of 39.80 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 19.23 TRY, optimistic scenario 51.03 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.9B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. pay a dividend?
Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.55% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. would have to grow free cash flow by +7.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +65.0 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OZSUB use?
Our models discount Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. at 15.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.00, country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. that is +7.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. grew +65.0 % a year. The price currently implies +7.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (+7.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.15 %: that much free cash flow Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. it is 31.64 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 39.80 TRY. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, OZSUB trades above its calculated fair value: price 39.80 TRY, fair value 31.64 TRY, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OZSUB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (39.80 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (31.64 TRY). For Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. the two are 8.16 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. worth?
The market values Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. at about 4.8B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 39.80 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 31.64 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OZSUB?
Our models span a range for Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S.: cautious scenario 19.23 TRY, base 31.64 TRY, optimistic 51.03 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 39.80 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OZSUB?
Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.9 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 31.64 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.1, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 6.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 37.1%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OZSUB from its 52-week high?
Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. trades at 39.80 TRY, about 13% below its 52-week high of 35.32 TRY and 145% above the low of 16.22 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 31.64 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 39.80 TRY, calculated fair value 31.64 TRY (−20%), Quality Score 59/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OZSUB calculated?
We run Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 31.64 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
The closing price on Sep 15, 2026 was 39.80 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 31.64 TRY, about −20% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. right now?
The model range is unusually wide (19.23 TRY to 51.03 TRY). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S.
How large is the market capitalisation of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
The market capitalisation of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. is 4.8B TRY (≈ $98.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. is 1.18 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
Earnings per share at Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. are 3.34 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
The dividend yield of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. is 1.6% (payout 18.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
The net margin of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. is 9.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. is 37.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. is 11.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
The operating margin of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. is 19.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
Revenue at Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. is growing −2.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +25.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB)?
Earnings per share at Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. are growing +19.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. (OZSUB) carry?
The net debt of Ozsu Balik Uretim A.S. is 769M TRY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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