CIVMEC LIMITED (P9D) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of CIVMEC LIMITED S$1.10, price S$1.52, upside -27.6%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Civmec Limited, an investment holding company, provides construction and engineering services to the energy, resources, infrastructure, marine, and defense sectors in Australia. It undertakes fabrication projects, such as structural steel, plateworks, tanks, vessels, materials handling equipment, subsea and offshore structures, and pipe spooling services.
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Civmec Limited, an investment holding company, provides construction and engineering services to the energy, resources, infrastructure, marine, and defense sectors in Australia. It undertakes fabrication projects, such as structural steel, plateworks, tanks, vessels, materials handling equipment, subsea and offshore structures, and pipe spooling services. It offers modularization services; shipbuilding services; site civil works, including earthworks, reinforcing steel works, formworks, detailed civil works, concrete placement, and backfill and compaction to final handover services; and reinforced concrete products comprising prestressed beams, parapets, structural foundations, caissons, floor slabs and retaining walls, suspended slab sections, purpose-built facilities, and breakwater systems. In addition, the company undertakes structural, mechanical, and piping works consisting of structural erection, mechanical installations and alignments, piping installation and pre-commissioning support, site welding, equipment, tanks, and equipment; and provides electrical, instrumentation, and control services, such as electrical infrastructure works, including substations, switch rooms, switchyards, and site reticulation, as well as electrical maintenance services. Further, it offers industrial insulation services, including sheet metal and light gauge fabrication, fireproofing, site installation, and processing and forming technology; onshore and offshore maintenance services; and support services, such as surface treatment, scaffolds, rope access, tension netting, and fabricated platforms, as well as executes refractory projects; supplies labor; and operates as a registered training organization. The company was formerly known as Civmec Australia Limited and changed its name to Civmec Limited in September 2024. Civmec Limited was founded in 2009 and is based in Henderson, Australia.
Stock analysis
CIVMEC LIMITED (P9D) currently trades at 1.52 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.10 SGD, 27.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 1.97 SGD per share, and 9 of the 17 models we run sit above the 1.52 SGD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 0.6800 SGD, and 8 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 0.8700 SGD (bear) to 1.79 SGD (bull), the price of 1.52 SGD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
CIVMEC LIMITED reported revenue of A$903M in FY2026 versus A$809M in FY2022, a compound +2.8%/yr. Reported net income was A$52.1M in FY2026, compounding +0.7%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap 775M SGD (≈ $605M) · P/E ratio 16.9 · P/S ratio 0.97 · EPS (TTM) 0.0900 SGD · Dividend yield 3.9% · Net margin 5.8% · Return on equity 9.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −28%, P9D screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.8700 SGDFair Value 1.10 SGDBull 1.79 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 3 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0077 SGD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.39/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.4% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+12.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.8.1% vs 14.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 9%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 785 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside+2.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7.3% · Above median
Return on assets3.5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)5.5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)8.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−24.3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CIVMEC LIMITED Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/P9D
Frequently asked questions
Is CIVMEC LIMITED (P9D) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.10 SGD versus a price of 1.52 SGD, about −28% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of P9D?
Our model-based fair value for CIVMEC LIMITED is 1.10 SGD (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.52 SGD.
What is the quality score of P9D?
CIVMEC LIMITED has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CIVMEC LIMITED (P9D)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.10 SGD (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.8700 SGD, optimistic scenario 1.79 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CIVMEC LIMITED stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.10 SGD, about −28% upside versus a price of 1.52 SGD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.8700 SGD, optimistic scenario 1.79 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CIVMEC LIMITED (P9D)?
CIVMEC LIMITED reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$903M (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does CIVMEC LIMITED pay a dividend?
CIVMEC LIMITED currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.95% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of CIVMEC LIMITED (P9D)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CIVMEC LIMITED it is 1.10 SGD per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of 1.52 SGD. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CIVMEC LIMITED stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, P9D trades above its calculated fair value: price 1.52 SGD, fair value 1.10 SGD, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of P9D?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.52 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.10 SGD). For CIVMEC LIMITED the two are 0.4200 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CIVMEC LIMITED worth?
The market values CIVMEC LIMITED at about 775M SGD (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is 1.52 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 1.10 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about P9D?
Our models span a range for CIVMEC LIMITED: cautious scenario 0.8700 SGD, base 1.10 SGD, optimistic 1.79 SGD per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price 1.52 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of P9D?
CIVMEC LIMITED trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.9 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1.10 SGD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.9, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 12.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of CIVMEC LIMITED (P9D)?
Balance-sheet figures for CIVMEC LIMITED (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 7.3%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is P9D from its 52-week high?
CIVMEC LIMITED trades at 1.52 SGD, about 14% below its 52-week high of 1.77 SGD and 46% above the low of 1.04 SGD (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.10 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CIVMEC LIMITED?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CIVMEC LIMITED stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price 1.52 SGD, calculated fair value 1.10 SGD (−28%), Quality Score 46/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of P9D calculated?
We run CIVMEC LIMITED through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.10 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. CIVMEC LIMITED itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CIVMEC LIMITED (P9D)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 1.52 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 1.10 SGD, about −28% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CIVMEC LIMITED right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (0.8700 SGD to 1.79 SGD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of CIVMEC LIMITED
How large is the market capitalisation of CIVMEC LIMITED (P9D)?
The market capitalisation of CIVMEC LIMITED is 775M SGD (≈ $605M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CIVMEC LIMITED (P9D)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CIVMEC LIMITED is 0.97 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CIVMEC LIMITED (P9D)?
Earnings per share at CIVMEC LIMITED are 0.0900 SGD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of CIVMEC LIMITED (P9D)?
The dividend yield of CIVMEC LIMITED is 3.9% (payout 66.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CIVMEC LIMITED (P9D)?
The net margin of CIVMEC LIMITED is 5.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CIVMEC LIMITED (P9D)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CIVMEC LIMITED is 9.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CIVMEC LIMITED (P9D)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CIVMEC LIMITED is 8.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CIVMEC LIMITED (P9D)?
The operating margin of CIVMEC LIMITED is 8.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CIVMEC LIMITED (P9D)?
Revenue at CIVMEC LIMITED is growing +69.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CIVMEC LIMITED (P9D)?
Earnings per share at CIVMEC LIMITED are growing +89.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does CIVMEC LIMITED (P9D) generate?
The free cash flow of CIVMEC LIMITED is −A$28.5M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does CIVMEC LIMITED (P9D) carry?
The net debt of CIVMEC LIMITED is A$5.4M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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