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Porsche Automobil Holding (PAH3) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · DE · Market cap €8.3B

PA Porsche Automobil Holding PAH3 · XETRA
Price€29.15
Fair Value€49.00
Upside+68.1%
Quality74/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.55% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: High Range €25.41 – €61.25 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from €224.05 to €49.00 (−78.1%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price +7.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 68% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (74/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • A fairly wide model range (€25.41 to €61.25) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€77.68 €26.96 Fair Value €49.00 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €26.96 – €77.68 · fair‑value band €25.41 – €61.25 · the €29.15 price screens below the €49.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Porsche Automobil Holding (PAH3) currently trades at €29.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €49.00, implying the stock looks roughly 68.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at €4.6B. Revenue grew 71.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.8%. Net debt stands at €6.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €25.41 (bear case) to €61.25 (bull case); at €29.15, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at 68%, PAH3 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €30.35 €92.04 €191.42 80
Residual Income €196.74 €205.38 €215.94 76
Rev-Margin DCF €17.72 €60.29 74
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
5Y P/E Exit €193.78 €532.34 €1,003 38
10Y P/E Exit €149.30 €460.04 €991.06 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €117.73 €821.00 €1,152 54
Lynch FV €424.16 €605.94 €787.73 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €33.50 €66.74 €101.07 70
DDM Multi-Stage €33.50 €57.68 €70.45 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €285.66 €380.88 €476.10 63
P/B Multiple €220.74 €294.32 €367.89 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €123.48 €165.47 €246.97 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €30.35 €92.04 €191.42 80
Rev-Margin DCF €17.72 €60.29 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €196.74 €205.38 €215.94 76

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (€605.94) versus Growth DCF (€17.72). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €4.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +71.6%
Return on equity 7.8%
Free cash flow €700M FY2025
P/E ratio 3.6
EPS (TTM) €9.17
More key figures
Dividend yield 5.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +34.6%
Net debt €6.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 90
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Porsche Automobil Holding SE, through its subsidiaries, operates as an automobile manufacturer worldwide. It operates in two segments, Core Investments and Portfolio Investments. The company is involved in investments in the areas of mobility and industrial technology.

Full company description

Porsche Automobil Holding SE, through its subsidiaries, operates as an automobile manufacturer worldwide. It operates in two segments, Core Investments and Portfolio Investments. The company is involved in investments in the areas of mobility and industrial technology. It offers its products under the Volkswagen, Audi, SEAT, "KODA, Cupra Bentley, Lamborghini, Ducati, and Porsche brand names. The company was formerly known as Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche Aktiengesellschaft and changed its name to Porsche Automobil Holding SE in November 2007. Porsche Automobil Holding SE was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Stuttgart, Germany.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Porsche Automobil Holding reported revenue of €2.7B in FY2025 versus €3.0B in FY2021, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was €2.7B in FY2025, compounding +33.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€2.7B
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−19.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+91.3%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
−3.8%
Revenue −2.0%/yr
FY21 €3.0B
FY22 €5.3B
FY23 €5.2B
FY24 −€19.8B
FY25 €2.7B
Net income +33.9%/yr
FY21 €824M
FY22 €5.5B
FY23 €5.1B
FY24 −€20.0B
FY25 €2.7B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Porsche Automobil Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PAH3

Peer Group

Auto Manufacturers · 119 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +68% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets -0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 72% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.18× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.25× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.08× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 13.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 28
FUTURE 100 · sector 33
PAST 31 · sector 19
HEALTH 91 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 44

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Toyota Motor Corporation TM $179.76 $224.63 +25%
BYD Company 81211 HK$80.55 HK$50.85 -37%
Hyundai Motor Company 005380 425,000 KRW 616,918 KRW +45%
General Motors Company GM $77.72 $56.93 -27%
Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N 1,909 MXN 2,944 MXN +54%
Ferrari N.V RACE $376.64 $228.05 -39%
Ford Motor Company F C$11.86 C$4.00 -66%
Mercedes-Benz Group BENZ C$20.44 C$35.15 +72%
Volkswagen AG VOW 2,149 CZK 7,191 CZK +235%
Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI ₹13,803 ₹8,236 -40%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Porsche Automobil Holding (PAH3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €49.00 versus a price of €29.15, about +68% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PAH3?
Our model-based fair value for Porsche Automobil Holding is €49.00 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €29.15.
What is the quality score of PAH3?
Porsche Automobil Holding has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Porsche Automobil Holding (PAH3)?
Porsche Automobil Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €4.6B (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PAH3?
The net profit margin of Porsche Automobil Holding is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Porsche Automobil Holding pay a dividend?
Porsche Automobil Holding currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.55% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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