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Paisalo Digital Limited (PAISALO) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · IN · Market cap ₹65.0B

PD Paisalo Digital Limited PAISALO · NSE
Price₹67.59
Fair Value₹21.66
Upside-68.0%
Quality54/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 45.0% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
0.14% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Wide moat 75/100
Evidence: High Range ₹21.66 – ₹42.38 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price −5.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 68% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹42.38). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹21.66 to ₹42.38) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹94.13 ₹23.99 Fair Value ₹21.66 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹23.99 – ₹94.13 · fair‑value band ₹21.66 – ₹42.38 · the ₹67.59 price screens above the ₹21.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Paisalo Digital Limited (PAISALO) currently trades at ₹67.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹21.66, implying the stock looks roughly 68.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Paisalo Digital Limited generated revenue of ₹5.3B at a net margin of 45.0%. Revenue grew 54.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.3%. Net debt stands at ₹42.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹21.66 (bear case) to ₹42.38 (bull case); at ₹67.59, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 127% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -68%, PAISALO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹22.84 ₹79.46 80
Residual Income ₹18.81 ₹24.10 ₹69.33 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹10.85 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹30.69 ₹107.96 31
5Y P/E Exit ₹4.79 ₹33.54 38
10Y P/E Exit ₹6.61 ₹43.08 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹17.73 ₹106.29 ₹148.13 54
Lynch FV ₹30.29 ₹43.27 ₹56.25 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹0.9200 ₹1.91 ₹3.02 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹0.9200 ₹1.61 ₹2.00 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹25.43 ₹33.90 ₹42.38 63
P/B Multiple ₹20.70 ₹27.60 ₹34.50 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹9.86 ₹13.21 ₹19.71 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹22.84 ₹79.46 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹10.85 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹18.81 ₹24.10 ₹69.33 76

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (₹43.27) versus Dividend Discount (₹1.61). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹5.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +54.1%
Net margin 45.0%
Return on equity 14.3%
Free cash flow ₹2.2B FY2026
P/E ratio 25.8
More key figures
Operating margin 58.5%
EPS (TTM) ₹2.62
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +56.9%
Net debt ₹42.1B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 88

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 77
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 41
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 99
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 92
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Paisalo Digital Limited, a non-banking financial company, engages in providing loans through its financial products in India.

Full company description

Paisalo Digital Limited, a non-banking financial company, engages in providing loans through its financial products in India. It offers small income generation loans, including Umeed loans, Pragati loans, and Vikas loans for self-employed individuals and small business owners in rural and semi-urban areas, supporting sectors like agriculture, retail, and handicrafts. The company also provides mobility loans, such as Gati loans for auto and electric rickshaw drivers, Raftaar loans for small vehicle owners, Do Ka Dum loans for two-wheelers purchase, and Ready Steady Go loans to purchase pre-owned cars; and entrepreneurial loans, including Udaan loans to empower entrepreneurs for business growth and expansion. In addition, it provides SME and MSME loans, and corporate loans across manufacturing, services, and trading sectors. The company was formerly known as S. E. Investments Limited and changed its name to Paisalo Digital Limited in January 2018. Paisalo Digital Limited was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Agra, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Paisalo Digital Limited reported revenue of ₹9.4B in FY2026 versus ₹3.9B in FY2022, a compound +24.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹2.4B in FY2026, compounding +31.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹9.4B
Latest YoY
+23.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.2%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.0%
Revenue +24.5%/yr
FY22 ₹3.9B
FY23 ₹4.7B
FY24 ₹6.5B
FY25 ₹7.7B
FY26 ₹9.4B
Net income +31.5%/yr
FY22 ₹793M
FY23 ₹936M
FY24 ₹1.8B
FY25 ₹2.0B
FY26 ₹2.4B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +14.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +11.6 pp

of which total revenue +15.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.6 pp

EBIT margin +2.5 pp
Tax rate +1.4 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

PAISALO screens 68% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Paisalo Digital Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PAISALO

Peer Group

Credit Services · 334 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −68% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 45% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 59% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 54% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 2.43× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.62× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 12.33× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 32.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 33
FUTURE 100 · sector 39
PAST 57 · sector 32
HEALTH 0 · sector 59
DIVIDEND 3 · sector 58

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $359.42 $198.27 -45%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $561.44 $221.87 -60%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,094 ₹397.61 -64%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,117 ₹553.83 -50%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,918 ₹796.52 -58%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹367.05 ₹149.40 -59%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹376.50 ₹615.85 +64%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹2,876 ₹3,429 +19%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.35 ₹69.72 -21%
REC Limited RECLTD ₹346.00 ₹692.00 +100%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Paisalo Digital Limited (PAISALO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹21.66 versus a price of ₹67.59, about −68% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PAISALO?
Our model-based fair value for Paisalo Digital Limited is ₹21.66 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹67.59.
What is the quality score of PAISALO?
Paisalo Digital Limited has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Paisalo Digital Limited (PAISALO)?
Paisalo Digital Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹5.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PAISALO?
The net profit margin of Paisalo Digital Limited is about 45.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 45.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Paisalo Digital Limited pay a dividend?
Paisalo Digital Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.14% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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