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Aesthetic Medical International Holdings (PAIYY) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $730K

AM Aesthetic Medical International Holdings logo Aesthetic Medical International Holdings PAIYY · US
Price$0.0210
Fair Value$0.0193
Upside-8.1%
Quality33/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -7.4% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 7/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.0189 – $0.0197 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 5 valuation models · updated 10 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 31, 2026, revised from $0.0147 to $0.0193 (+31.4%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +40.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0197). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • The models converge in a tight band ($0.0189 to $0.0197), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$10.75 $0.0140 Fair Value $0.0193 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0140 – $10.75 · fair‑value band $0.0189 – $0.0197 · the $0.0210 price screens above the $0.0193 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Aesthetic Medical International Holdings (PAIYY) currently trades at $0.0210, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0193, implying the stock looks roughly 8.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Aesthetic Medical International Holdings generated revenue of $723M at a net margin of -7.4%. Revenue declined 5.1% year over year. Net debt stands at $215M. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0189 (bear case) to $0.0197 (bull case); at $0.0210, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -8%, PAIYY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder $0.0097 $0.0100 $0.0102 72
EPV $0.0097 $0.0100 $0.0102 59
EV/EBITDA $0.0996 $0.1304 $0.1612 54
All 5 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV $0.0097 $0.0100 $0.0102 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT $0.0163 $0.0193 $0.0223 53
EV/EBITDA $0.0996 $0.1304 $0.1612 54
EV/Revenue $0.0136 $0.0164 $0.0193 43
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.0097 $0.0100 $0.0102 72

Widest divergence: Multiples ($0.0193) versus Earnings-Based ($0.0100). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $723M
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.1%
Net margin -7.4%
Return on equity -204%
Free cash flow −$23.0M FY2025
Operating margin 0.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.1800
Net debt $215M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Aesthetic Medical International Holdings Group Limited provides aesthetic medical services in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

Aesthetic Medical International Holdings Group Limited provides aesthetic medical services in the People's Republic of China. The company offers surgical aesthetic treatments, such as eye lid surgery, rhinoplasty, breast augmentation, liposuction, facelifts; and non-surgical aesthetic treatments, including minimally invasive and energy-based treatments, which include laser, ultrasound, and radiofrequency treatments. It also provides general healthcare and other aesthetic medical services, such as internal medicine, urology, gynecology, and obstetrics treatment services, as well as dentistry, dermatology, and hair loss treatment services. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Aesthetic Medical International Holdings reported revenue of $703M in FY2025 versus $646M in FY2021, a compound +2.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$51.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$703M
Latest YoY
−6.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.8%
Revenue +2.2%/yr
FY21 $646M
FY22 $670M
FY23 $683M
FY24 $756M
FY25 $703M
Net income
FY21 −$587M
FY22 −$76.2M
FY23 −$37.4M
FY24 −$19.9M
FY25 −$51.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aesthetic Medical International Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PAIYY

Peer Group

Medical Care Facilities · 261 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −5% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -5% · Bottom 25%

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 27 · sector 23
FUTURE 0 · sector 24
PAST 0 · sector 30
HEALTH 100 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
HCA Healthcare, Inc HCA $378.85 $554.93 +46%
Fresenius SE FRE €41.73 €32.15 -23%
Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 235.00 SAR 112.37 SAR -52%
IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, Q0F 2.58 SGD 1.44 SGD -44%
Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC $194.91 $338.05 +73%
Rede D'Or São Luiz S.A RDOR3 R$36.01 R$47.31 +31%
DaVita Inc DVA $231.61 $255.97 +11%
Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP ₹8,955 ₹2,955 -67%
Fresenius Medical Care AG FMS $24.68 $45.60 +85%
Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 ¥8.68 ¥7.67 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Aesthetic Medical International Holdings (PAIYY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0193 versus a price of $0.0210, about −8% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of PAIYY?
Our model-based fair value for Aesthetic Medical International Holdings is $0.0193 (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0210.
What is the quality score of PAIYY?
Aesthetic Medical International Holdings has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Aesthetic Medical International Holdings (PAIYY)?
Aesthetic Medical International Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $723M (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PAIYY?
The net profit margin of Aesthetic Medical International Holdings is about -7.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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