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The PAN Group (PAN) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · VN · Market cap 5.3T VND

TP The PAN Group PAN · VN
Price20,900 VND
Fair Value37,735 VND
Upside+80.6%
Quality67/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 6.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: Medium Range 28,301 VND – 47,168 VND Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 45,618 VND to 37,735 VND (−17.3%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −5.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 81% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (28,301 VND). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

29,756 VND 9,238 VND Fair Value 37,735 VND Nov 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 9,238 VND – 29,756 VND · fair‑value band 28,301 VND – 47,168 VND · the 20,900 VND price screens below the 37,735 VND fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

The PAN Group (PAN) currently trades at 20,900 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 37,735 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 80.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, The PAN Group generated revenue of 17.2T VND at a net margin of 6.7%. Revenue declined 8.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.6%. Net debt stands at 1.1T VND. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 28,301 VND (bear case) to 47,168 VND (bull case); at 20,900 VND, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at 81%, PAN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 498,183 VND 911,215 VND 1,668,932 VND 80
Residual Income 20,389 VND 24,786 VND 52,215 VND 76
Rev-Margin DCF 191,040 VND 262,474 VND 349,552 VND 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 502,462 VND 951,793 VND 1,788,737 VND 38
Owner Earnings 64,194 VND 114,721 VND 208,835 VND 31
5Y Revenue Exit 191,040 VND 257,067 VND 334,169 VND 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 193,246 VND 261,692 VND 337,648 VND 41
5Y P/E Exit 180,360 VND 234,672 VND 289,304 VND 38
10Y Revenue Exit 285,103 VND 383,866 VND 514,341 VND 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 288,338 VND 387,367 VND 517,370 VND 37
10Y P/E Exit 279,537 VND 366,913 VND 475,270 VND 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 18,247 VND 89,576 VND 123,479 VND 54
Lynch FV 24,081 VND 34,402 VND 44,722 VND 50
PEG = 1.0 24,081 VND 34,402 VND 44,722 VND 46
EPV 54,925 VND 63,088 VND 70,344 VND 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 12,408 VND 27,089 VND 45,578 VND 70
DDM Multi-Stage 12,408 VND 22,190 VND 28,231 VND 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 34,214 VND 45,618 VND 57,023 VND 63
P/S Multiple 34,214 VND 45,618 VND 57,023 VND 58
P/B Multiple 34,214 VND 45,618 VND 57,023 VND 55
EV/EBIT 63,211 VND 81,393 VND 99,574 VND 53
EV/EBITDA 62,709 VND 80,723 VND 98,737 VND 54
EV/Revenue 55,939 VND 76,198 VND 96,457 VND 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 10,656 VND 14,279 VND 21,311 VND 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 498,183 VND 911,215 VND 1,668,932 VND 80
Rev-Margin DCF 191,040 VND 262,474 VND 349,552 VND 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 20,389 VND 24,786 VND 52,215 VND 76
ROIC Compounder 60,815 VND 77,794 VND 98,981 VND 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 33,387 VND 47,695 VND 62,004 VND 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (262,474 VND) versus Asset-Based (14,279 VND). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 17.2T VND
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.6%
Net margin 6.7%
Return on equity 17.6%
Free cash flow 8.9T VND FY2025
P/E ratio 5.1
More key figures
Operating margin 6.7%
EPS (TTM) 4,462 VND
EPS growth (YoY) +444%
Net debt 1.1T VND FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 48
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

The PAN Group Joint Stock Company engages in agricultural, food, financial investment, and other related activities in Vietnam and internationally.

Full company description

The PAN Group Joint Stock Company engages in agricultural, food, financial investment, and other related activities in Vietnam and internationally. The company is involved in the mixed crop and livestock farming; cultivation, processing, and trading of agricultural, forestry, and aquatic products; food trading investment consulting activities; cultivation, processing, and preservation of aquatic products; purchase and sale of food, foodstuffs, and semi-processed agricultural products; and quality testing, export, and preservation of aquatic products. It also produces and sells sugar, cakes, candies, malt, wine, nutritional powder, milk and dairy products, soy milk, soft drinks, and soft drink powder; sells, imports, and exports agricultural products and materials; and offers warehouse rental services. In addition, the company engages in the wholesale of food, agricultural, and forestry products; coffee plantation activities; production and trading of vegetables, fruits, and other agricultural products; research, selecting, and sale of various agricultural and forestry plant varieties; and manufacture, processing, and trading of disinfectant products, agricultural chemicals, and related services. Further, it offers aquatic products, as well as repair, maintenance, and installation services for machinery and equipment; research, training, and agricultural technical services; and produces and trades in seeds and logistics services. Additionally, the company engages in the wholesale of gasoline, lubricants, liquefied petroleum gas and related products, rice, wheat, and other cereals and flour, operates hotels, motels, restaurants, short-term accommodation services, and biotechnology research and development. The company was formerly known as Pan Pacific Corporation and changed its name to The PAN Group Joint Stock Company in August 2015. The PAN Group Joint Stock Company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Tây Ninh, Vietnam.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

The PAN Group reported revenue of 17.6T VND in FY2025 versus 9.2T VND in FY2021, a compound +17.4%/yr. Reported net income was 673B VND in FY2025, compounding +22.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
17.6T VND
Latest YoY
+8.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.1%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.5%
Revenue +17.4%/yr
FY21 9.2T VND
FY22 13.7T VND
FY23 13.2T VND
FY24 16.2T VND
FY25 17.6T VND
Net income +22.8%/yr
FY21 296B VND
FY22 374B VND
FY23 406B VND
FY24 609B VND
FY25 673B VND

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The PAN Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PAN

Peer Group

Farm Products · 288 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +81% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth -9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 4.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.99× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.31× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 1.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 25
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 70 · sector 17
HEALTH 96 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.90 ¥48.19 +18%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 -17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 188.40 kr 262.59 +39%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,120 IDR 7,076 IDR +127%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.00 THB 55.71 THB +153%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,540 IDR 3,105 IDR +102%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,300 IDR 7,463 IDR +2%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,070 IDR 7,231 IDR +249%
Thaifoods Group TFGR 10.60 THB 23.53 THB +122%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,845 IDR 610.80 IDR -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is The PAN Group (PAN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 37,735 VND versus a price of 20,900 VND, about +81% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PAN?
Our model-based fair value for The PAN Group is 37,735 VND (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 20,900 VND.
What is the quality score of PAN?
The PAN Group has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of The PAN Group (PAN)?
The PAN Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 17.2T VND (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PAN?
The net profit margin of The PAN Group is about 6.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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