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Panama Petrochem Limited (PANAMAPET) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · IN · Market cap ₹25.7B

PP Panama Petrochem Limited PANAMAPET · NSE
Price₹487.10
Fair Value₹478.79
Upside-1.7%
Quality52/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 6.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.72% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: High Range ₹303.93 – ₹614.73 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +16.5% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹303.93 to ₹614.73) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹545.50 ₹161.04 Fair Value ₹478.79 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹161.04 – ₹545.50 · fair‑value band ₹303.93 – ₹614.73 · the ₹487.10 price screens above the ₹478.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Panama Petrochem Limited (PANAMAPET) currently trades at ₹487.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹478.79, implying the stock looks roughly 1.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Panama Petrochem Limited generated revenue of ₹30.6B at a net margin of 6.9%. Revenue grew 18.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.6%. Net debt stands at ₹285M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹303.93 (bear case) to ₹614.73 (bull case); at ₹487.10, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 113% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -56% fair-value upside, at -2%, PANAMAPET screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹239.44 ₹319.70 ₹987.74 76
ROIC Compounder ₹392.49 ₹541.47 ₹748.57 72
Gordon GGM ₹27.65 ₹57.50 ₹91.22 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹395.97 ₹741.03 ₹1,367 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹238.87 ₹1,228 ₹1,698 54
Lynch FV ₹335.15 ₹478.79 ₹622.43 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹335.15 ₹478.79 ₹622.43 46
EPV ₹346.94 ₹402.49 ₹451.10 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹27.65 ₹57.50 ₹91.22 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹27.65 ₹48.49 ₹60.35 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹368.84 ₹491.79 ₹614.73 63
P/S Multiple ₹447.88 ₹597.17 ₹746.46 58
P/B Multiple ₹327.76 ₹437.01 ₹546.26 55
EV/EBIT ₹338.15 ₹446.32 ₹554.50 53
EV/EBITDA ₹218.59 ₹286.92 ₹355.25 54
EV/Revenue ₹407.38 ₹576.14 ₹744.89 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹121.39 ₹162.66 ₹242.78 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹239.44 ₹319.70 ₹987.74 76
ROIC Compounder ₹392.49 ₹541.47 ₹748.57 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹416.55 ₹595.07 ₹773.59 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹741.03) versus Dividend Discount (₹48.49). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹30.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.3%
Net margin 6.9%
Return on equity 15.6%
Free cash flow −₹1.3B FY2026
P/E ratio 13.9
More key figures
Operating margin 10.7%
EPS (TTM) ₹35.12
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +60.5%
Net debt ₹285M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80

Profitability 61
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 89
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 88
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Panama Petrochem Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of specialty petroleum products for printing, textile, rubber, pharmaceutical, cosmetic, power, and other industrial oil industries in India and internationally.

Full company description

Panama Petrochem Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of specialty petroleum products for printing, textile, rubber, pharmaceutical, cosmetic, power, and other industrial oil industries in India and internationally. It offers white/liquid paraffin oil; petroleum jellies; transformer oil; rubber process oil; textile oils, including Panol-KNT and antistatic coning oil; industrial oils; greases, such as lithium and lithium complex, calcium and sodium based, and aluminum greases; automotive engine, gear, and transmission oils, as well as other automotive lubricants; drilling fluids; and fully- and semi-refined paraffin, slack, and micro waxes. The company also provides oils for ink, resin, and paint industries comprising petroleum distillates, aroma free distillates, naphthenic oils, high viscosity oils, black ink oils, bituminous black varnishes, petrolatum, and low aromatic white spirits under the PANOL brand. It exports its products to the United States, the United Kingdom, the Middle East, Europe, Australia, African sub-continent, and Southeast Asia. Panama Petrochem Limited was founded in 1975 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Panama Petrochem Limited reported revenue of ₹30.6B in FY2026 versus ₹21.3B in FY2022, a compound +9.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹2.1B in FY2026, compounding −2.0%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹30.6B
Latest YoY
+9.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.2%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.1%
Revenue +9.5%/yr
FY22 ₹21.3B
FY23 ₹22.5B
FY24 ₹23.6B
FY25 ₹27.9B
FY26 ₹30.6B
Net income −2.0%/yr
FY22 ₹2.3B
FY23 ₹2.3B
FY24 ₹2.0B
FY25 ₹1.9B
FY26 ₹2.1B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +23.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +14.7 pp

of which total revenue +14.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +3.6 pp
Tax rate +1.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +3.9 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Panama Petrochem Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PANAMAPET

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 115 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −2% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Above median
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 18% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.75× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.84× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 31 · sector 17
FUTURE 92 · sector 15
PAST 62 · sector 33
HEALTH 100 · sector 81
DIVIDEND 14 · sector 68

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE ₹1,329 ₹751.26 -43%
Valero Energy Corporation VLO $330.21 $127.32 -61%
Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC $348.25 $133.18 -62%
Phillips 66 PSX $225.58 $99.41 -56%
Neste Oyj NESTE €29.61 €3.83 -87%
Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 70.20 TWD 15.32 TWD -78%
Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL ₹317.00 ₹846.81 +167%
SK Innovation Co 096770 122,400 KRW 53,541 KRW -56%
S-Oil Corporation 010950 140,900 KRW 19,441 KRW -86%
HD Hyundai Co 267250 230,500 KRW 286,077 KRW +24%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Panama Petrochem Limited (PANAMAPET) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹478.79 versus a price of ₹487.10, about −2% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of PANAMAPET?
Our model-based fair value for Panama Petrochem Limited is ₹478.79 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹487.10.
What is the quality score of PANAMAPET?
Panama Petrochem Limited has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Panama Petrochem Limited (PANAMAPET)?
Panama Petrochem Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹30.6B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PANAMAPET?
The net profit margin of Panama Petrochem Limited is about 6.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Panama Petrochem Limited pay a dividend?
Panama Petrochem Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.72% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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