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PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR (PAZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR ILS 1,538, price ILS 860, upside +78.9%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · Il

PR Broad data Sep 24, 2026

PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR

PAZ · TA

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value 1,538 ILS · Strongly undervalued (+79%)
!Quality 58/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY −6.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (10/14)
!Moderate moat 48/100
!Insider activity 45/100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

913.70 ILS 173.50 ILS Fair Value 1,538 ILS May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 173.50 ILS – 913.70 ILS · fair‑value band 801.82 ILS – 2,228 ILS · the 859.60 ILS price screens below the 1,538 ILS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Paz Retail And Energy Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, refines, produces, stores, imports, markets, and sells petroleum and other products in Israel and internationally.

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Paz Retail And Energy Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, refines, produces, stores, imports, markets, and sells petroleum and other products in Israel and internationally. It sells fuels, oils, various automotive products and related services through refueling stations; operates Yellow convenience stores at gas stations as well as supermarkets; gas station leases to the parties; transports, markets, distributes and sells fuels and various products; maintenance of the complexes, infrastructure, and inventory management. The company is also involved in trading and direct marketing of fuel products to private, commercial, industrial, and institutional customers; and electronic fueling customers; as well as marketing fuels to the Palestinian Authority. In addition, it produces, markets, and exports sealing products and insulation for the construction industry and transportation infrastructure, as well as develops new products; refueling services to airlines through aviation services; markets and supplies jet fuel and aviation gasoline; and storage and distributes diesel and aviation gasoline. Further, the company produces, imports, markets, and exports oils for transportation and industry; automotive accessories; fuel additives; urea for transportation; industrial oils and lubricants raw materials; Detergents and cosmetics; Process products for the metal industry; Industrial cleaning agents; Dust repellents; Chemicals; and Solvents and flammable liquid. Additionally, it offers fuels and electric vehicle charging; gas and renewable energy activities; food retail; diesel refueling services to airlines; produces industrial and automotive oils; and energy for transportation, as well as engages in the real estate activities. The company was formerly known as Paz Oil Company Ltd. and changed its name to Paz Retail And Energy Ltd. in October 2024. Paz Retail And Energy Ltd. was founded in 1922 and is based in Yakum, Israel.

Stock analysis

PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR (PAZ) currently trades at 859.60 ILS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,538 ILS, implying the stock looks roughly 44.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 2,202 ILS per share, and 15 of the 26 models we run sit above the 859.60 ILS price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 211.09 ILS, and 11 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: 801.82 ILS (bear) to 2,228 ILS (bull), the price of 859.60 ILS sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.

PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR reported revenue of 11.1B ILS in FY2025 versus 7.7B ILS in FY2021, a compound +9.5%/yr. Reported net income was 578M ILS in FY2025, compounding +26.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 9.8B ILS (≈ $3.2B) · P/E ratio 16.4 · P/S ratio 0.85 · EPS (TTM) 52.47 ILS · Dividend yield 4.6% · Net margin 5.2% · Return on equity 17.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −61% fair-value upside, at 79%, PAZ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 801.82 ILS Fair Value 1,538 ILS Bull 2,228 ILS
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (38.38 ILS per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV 397.79 ILS 481.12 ILS 553.01 ILS 74
FCF DCF 1,634 ILS 2,586 ILS 5,554 ILS 71
Growth DCF 1,527 ILS 3,023 ILS 5,434 ILS 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1,634 ILS 2,586 ILS 5,554 ILS 71
Owner Earnings 1,226 ILS 2,875 ILS 6,209 ILS 66
5Y Revenue Exit 887.79 ILS 1,502 ILS 2,776 ILS 65
5Y EBITDA Exit 762.49 ILS 1,249 ILS 2,194 ILS 68
5Y P/E Exit 790.47 ILS 1,628 ILS 2,718 ILS 64
10Y Revenue Exit 1,100 ILS 2,265 ILS 2,912 ILS 63
10Y EBITDA Exit 1,039 ILS 2,001 ILS 3,530 ILS 62
10Y P/E Exit 1,059 ILS 2,060 ILS 3,589 ILS 58
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 365.06 ILS 2,546 ILS 3,573 ILS 59
Lynch FV 1,315 ILS 1,879 ILS 2,443 ILS 57
PEG = 1.0 1,315 ILS 1,879 ILS 2,443 ILS 54
EPV 397.79 ILS 481.12 ILS 553.01 ILS 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 326.30 ILS 650.17 ILS 984.54 ILS 63
DDM Multi-Stage 326.30 ILS 561.89 ILS 686.30 ILS 63
Multiples
P/E Multiple 563.70 ILS 751.60 ILS 939.50 ILS 63
P/S Multiple 684.49 ILS 912.65 ILS 1,141 ILS 58
P/B Multiple 425.32 ILS 567.10 ILS 708.87 ILS 55
EV/EBIT 405.06 ILS 583.39 ILS 761.72 ILS 65
EV/EBITDA 395.86 ILS 571.13 ILS 746.40 ILS 67
EV/Revenue 519.19 ILS 797.39 ILS 1,076 ILS 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 157.53 ILS 211.09 ILS 315.05 ILS 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1,527 ILS 3,023 ILS 5,434 ILS 70
Rev-Margin DCF 985.84 ILS 1,739 ILS 3,324 ILS 65
Economic Profit
Residual Income 338.08 ILS 421.15 ILS 962.36 ILS 66
ROIC Compounder 497.46 ILS 739.28 ILS 957.54 ILS 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1,542 ILS 2,202 ILS 2,863 ILS 64

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 82
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 53
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+21.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+17.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.17% vs −1%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 5.0%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 108 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +78% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.63× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.97× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.30× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 3.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.6× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 14
PAST (return on equity)70 · sector 34
HEALTH (low debt)68 · sector 81
DIVIDEND (yield)92 · sector 51

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

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10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Neste Oyj NESTE €34.23 €5.85 −83%
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HF Sinclair Corporation DINO $106.69 $52.19 −51%
SK Innovation Co 096770 149,200 KRW 53,541 KRW −64%
Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL ₹313.60 ₹846.81 +170%
Sunoco LP, SUN $73.12 $53.90 −26%

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PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR · Fair Value
1,538 ILS +44%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PAZ

Frequently asked questions

Is PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR (PAZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,538 ILS versus a price of 859.60 ILS, about +79% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PAZ?
Our model-based fair value for PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR is 1,538 ILS (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 859.60 ILS.
What is the quality score of PAZ?
PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR (PAZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,538 ILS (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 801.82 ILS, optimistic scenario 2,228 ILS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,538 ILS, about +79% upside versus a price of 859.60 ILS (undervalued). Cautious scenario 801.82 ILS, optimistic scenario 2,228 ILS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR (PAZ)?
PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.2B ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR pay a dividend?
PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.60% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR (PAZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR it is 1,538 ILS per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 859.60 ILS. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PAZ trades below its calculated fair value: price 859.60 ILS, fair value 1,538 ILS, a gap of about +79% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PAZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (859.60 ILS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,538 ILS). For PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR the two are 678.14 ILS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR worth?
The market values PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR at about 9.8B ILS (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 859.60 ILS; our models calculate a fair value of 1,538 ILS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PAZ?
Our models span a range for PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR: cautious scenario 801.82 ILS, base 1,538 ILS, optimistic 2,228 ILS per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 859.60 ILS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PAZ?
PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,538 ILS is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 4.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR (PAZ)?
Balance-sheet figures for PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 17.4%, debt of 0.63 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PAZ from its 52-week high?
PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR trades at 859.60 ILS, about 6% below its 52-week high of 913.70 ILS and 43% above the low of 602.55 ILS (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,538 ILS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Reliance Industries Limited, Valero Energy Corporation, Marathon Petroleum Corporation, Phillips 66, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 859.60 ILS, calculated fair value 1,538 ILS (+79%), Quality Score 58/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PAZ calculated?
We run PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,538 ILS, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR currently trades 79 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR (PAZ)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 859.60 ILS. Our model-based fair value is 1,538 ILS, about +79% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR right now?
The model range is unusually wide (801.82 ILS to 2,228 ILS). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR (PAZ) come from?
Earnings per share at PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR grew +1.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −3.1 %, EBIT margin +2.7 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR

How large is the market capitalisation of PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR (PAZ)?
The market capitalisation of PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR is 9.8B ILS (≈ $3.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR (PAZ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR is 0.85 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR (PAZ)?
Earnings per share at PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR are 52.47 ILS (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR (PAZ)?
The dividend yield of PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR is 4.6% (payout 75.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR (PAZ)?
The net margin of PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR is 5.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR (PAZ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR is 17.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR (PAZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR is 6.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR (PAZ)?
The operating margin of PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR is 8.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR (PAZ)?
Revenue at PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR is growing −3.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR (PAZ)?
Earnings per share at PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR are growing +5.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR (PAZ) generate?
The free cash flow of PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR is 1.1B ILS (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR (PAZ) carry?
The net debt of PAZ RETAIL AND ENERGY LTD SHR is 4.0B ILS (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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