Palace Capital PLC (PCA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Palace Capital PLC £0.57, price £1.91, upside -70.2%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £1.53 – £2.27 · fair‑value band £0.3700 – £0.7100 · the £1.91 price screens above the £0.5700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Palace Capital plc is a real estate investment firm specializing in investment in entities operating in the property sector. It seeks to invest in United Kingdom. Palace Capital plc is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Palace Capital PLC (PCA) currently trades at £1.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.5700, implying the stock looks roughly 235.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: £0.3700 (bear) to £0.7100 (bull), the price of £1.91 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Palace Capital PLC reported revenue of £7.6M in FY2026 versus £49.1M in FY2022, a compound −37.3%/yr. Reported net income was −£5.1M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap 38.6M GBX · P/E ratio 21.1 · P/S ratio 3.81 · EPS (TTM) £−0.2600 · Dividend yield 7.9% · Net margin −67.6% · Return on equity 4.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −70%, PCA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £0.3700Fair Value £0.5700Bull £0.7100
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.19/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−42.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−38.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −6.3% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+56.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
56.1% (2022) → −15.7% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Diversified · 155 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside−70% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Below median
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)29% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−12% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−31% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)7.9% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)21.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.20× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)5.56× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA17.7× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 16
PAST (return on equity)17· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 76
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 100
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Palace Capital PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PCA
Frequently asked questions
Is Palace Capital PLC (PCA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.5700 versus a price of £1.91, about −70% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PCA?
Our model-based fair value for Palace Capital PLC is £0.5700 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £1.91.
What is the quality score of PCA?
Palace Capital PLC has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Palace Capital PLC (PCA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.5700 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.3700, optimistic scenario £0.7100. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Palace Capital PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.5700, about −70% upside versus a price of £1.91 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £0.3700, optimistic scenario £0.7100. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Palace Capital PLC (PCA)?
Palace Capital PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £9.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Palace Capital PLC pay a dividend?
Palace Capital PLC currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.85% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Palace Capital PLC (PCA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Palace Capital PLC it is £0.5700 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of £1.91. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Palace Capital PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, PCA trades above its calculated fair value: price £1.91, fair value £0.5700, a gap of about −70% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PCA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£1.91); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.5700). For Palace Capital PLC the two are £1.34 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Palace Capital PLC worth?
The market values Palace Capital PLC at about 38.6M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is £1.91; our models calculate a fair value of £0.5700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PCA?
Our models span a range for Palace Capital PLC: cautious scenario £0.3700, base £0.5700, optimistic £0.7100 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price £1.91). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PCA?
Palace Capital PLC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £0.5700 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 5.6, EV/EBITDA 17.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Palace Capital PLC (PCA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Palace Capital PLC (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 4.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PCA from its 52-week high?
Palace Capital PLC trades at £1.91, about 12% below its 52-week high of £2.17 and 18% above the low of £1.62 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.5700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Palace Capital PLC?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Goodman Group, VICI Properties Inc, W. P. Carey Inc, Charter Hall Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Palace Capital PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price £1.91, calculated fair value £0.5700 (−70%), Quality Score 55/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PCA calculated?
We run Palace Capital PLC through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.5700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Palace Capital PLC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Palace Capital PLC (PCA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was £1.91. Our model-based fair value is £0.5700, about −70% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Palace Capital PLC right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£0.7100). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (£0.3700 to £0.7100) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Palace Capital PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Palace Capital PLC (PCA)?
The market capitalisation of Palace Capital PLC is 38.6M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Palace Capital PLC (PCA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Palace Capital PLC is 3.81 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Palace Capital PLC (PCA)?
Earnings per share at Palace Capital PLC are £−0.2600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Palace Capital PLC (PCA)?
The dividend yield of Palace Capital PLC is 7.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Palace Capital PLC (PCA)?
The net margin of Palace Capital PLC is −67.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Palace Capital PLC (PCA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Palace Capital PLC is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Palace Capital PLC (PCA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Palace Capital PLC is 4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Palace Capital PLC (PCA)?
The operating margin of Palace Capital PLC is −12.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Palace Capital PLC (PCA)?
Revenue at Palace Capital PLC is growing −30.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −38.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Palace Capital PLC (PCA)?
Earnings per share at Palace Capital PLC are growing +918% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Palace Capital PLC (PCA) generate?
The free cash flow of Palace Capital PLC is −5.0M GBX (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Palace Capital PLC (PCA) hold?
Palace Capital PLC holds more cash than debt, 12.8M GBX net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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