Palace Capital plc (PCA) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · GB · Market cap 35.0M GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from £2.61 to £0.5700 (−78.2%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −2.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 68% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£0.7100). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (£0.3700 to £0.7100) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £1.57 – £2.32 · fair‑value band £0.3700 – £0.7100 · the £1.80 price screens above the £0.5700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Palace Capital plc (PCA) currently trades at £1.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.5700, implying the stock looks roughly 68.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Palace Capital plc generated revenue of £9.2M at a net margin of 28.8%. Revenue declined 50.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £12.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £0.3700 (bear case) to £0.7100 (bull case); at £1.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -68%, PCA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Palace Capital plc is a real estate investment firm specializing in investment in entities operating in the property sector. It seeks to invest in United Kingdom. Palace Capital plc is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Palace Capital plc reported revenue of £7.6M in FY2026 versus £49.1M in FY2022, a compound −37.3%/yr. Reported net income was −£5.1M in FY2026.
PCA screens 68% overvalued. Compare with Goodman Group →
Peer Group
REIT - Diversified · 165 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goodman Group GMG | A$29.11 | A$7.37 | -75% |
| VICI Properties Inc VICI | $26.73 | $41.74 | +56% |
| W. P. Carey Inc WPC | $76.69 | $35.59 | -54% |
| Charter Hall Group CHC | A$21.90 | A$11.46 | -48% |
| Fibra Uno FUNO11 | 31.10 MXN | 63.56 MXN | +104% |
| COV COV | €52.55 | €62.39 | +19% |
| The GPT Group GPT | A$4.89 | A$3.49 | -29% |
| Mirvac Group MGR | A$1.70 | A$0.5700 | -66% |
| KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS | 8.85 MYR | 6.91 MYR | -22% |
| CRRUN CRRUN | C$17.65 | C$17.89 | +1% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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