Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Pacific Basin Shipping Limited $0.23, price $0.53, upside -56.6%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0242 – $0.5300 · fair‑value band $0.1800 – $0.2900 · the $0.5300 price screens above the $0.2300 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Pacific Basin Shipping Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of dry bulk shipping services in Hong Kong and internationally.
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Pacific Basin Shipping Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of dry bulk shipping services in Hong Kong and internationally. The company offers shipping services that mainly carry major and minor bulks, including grains, ores, logs/forest products, bauxite, sugar, concentrates, cement and clinkers, coal/coke, fertilizers, alumina, steel, pet-coke, salt, sand and gypsum, and scrap. It also offers shipping consulting, crewing, secretarial, ocean shipping, ship agency, and operation and management services. In addition, the company is involved in the vessel owning and chartering, and convertible bonds issuing activities. It has a fleet of 250 owned and chartered vessels, including 1 Capesize, 106 Handysize and Supramax/Ultramax vessels. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Wong Chuk Hang, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBF) currently trades at $0.5300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2300, 56.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.4200 per share, and 6 of the 26 models we run sit above the $0.5300 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.0900, and 20 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.1800 (bear) to $0.2900 (bull), the price of $0.5300 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Pacific Basin Shipping Limited reported revenue of $2.1B in FY2025 versus $3.0B in FY2021, a compound −8.5%/yr. Reported net income was $58.3M in FY2025, compounding −48.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.8B · P/E ratio 53.0 · P/S ratio 1.48 · EPS (TTM) $0.0100 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin 2.8% · Return on equity 3.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 99% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 57% fair-value upside, at −57%, PCFBF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.1800Fair Value $0.2300Bull $0.2900
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−19.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.2% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−30.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−32.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.9%
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 3%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 7.1%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +7.5% a year for the price and −0.3% for the forecasts.
Compare Pacific Basin Shipping Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 225 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside−52.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3.2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets1.8% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)2.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)4.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−18.3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)53.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.51× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)1.33× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF18.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA11.6× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 56
PAST (return on equity)13· sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)38· sector 55
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2300 versus a price of $0.5300, about −57% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PCFBF?
Our model-based fair value for Pacific Basin Shipping Limited is $0.2300 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.5300.
What is the quality score of PCFBF?
Pacific Basin Shipping Limited has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2300 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1800, optimistic scenario $0.2900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Pacific Basin Shipping Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2300, about −57% upside versus a price of $0.5300 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.1800, optimistic scenario $0.2900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBF)?
Pacific Basin Shipping Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Pacific Basin Shipping Limited pay a dividend?
Pacific Basin Shipping Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.89% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Pacific Basin Shipping Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +10.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PCFBF use?
Our models discount Pacific Basin Shipping Limited at 10.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.46, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Pacific Basin Shipping Limited that is +10.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Pacific Basin Shipping Limited grew +7.2 % a year. The price currently implies +10.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (+10.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.36 %: that much free cash flow Pacific Basin Shipping Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Pacific Basin Shipping Limited it is $0.2300 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.5300. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Pacific Basin Shipping Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PCFBF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.5300, fair value $0.2300, a gap of about −57% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PCFBF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.5300); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2300). For Pacific Basin Shipping Limited the two are $0.3000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Pacific Basin Shipping Limited worth?
The market values Pacific Basin Shipping Limited at about $2.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.5300; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PCFBF?
Our models span a range for Pacific Basin Shipping Limited: cautious scenario $0.1800, base $0.2300, optimistic $0.2900 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.5300). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PCFBF?
Pacific Basin Shipping Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 53.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.2300 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 11.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.2%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PCFBF from its 52-week high?
Pacific Basin Shipping Limited trades at $0.5300, at its 52-week high of $0.5300 and 99% above the low of $0.2668 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Pacific Basin Shipping Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Pacific Basin Shipping Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.5300, calculated fair value $0.2300 (−57%), Quality Score 58/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PCFBF calculated?
We run Pacific Basin Shipping Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Pacific Basin Shipping Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.5300. Our model-based fair value is $0.2300, about −57% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Pacific Basin Shipping Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.2900). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Pacific Basin Shipping Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBF)?
The market capitalisation of Pacific Basin Shipping Limited is $2.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Pacific Basin Shipping Limited is 1.48 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBF)?
Earnings per share at Pacific Basin Shipping Limited are $0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 53.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBF)?
The dividend yield of Pacific Basin Shipping Limited is 1.9% (payout 100%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBF)?
The net margin of Pacific Basin Shipping Limited is 2.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Pacific Basin Shipping Limited is 3.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Pacific Basin Shipping Limited is 13.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBF)?
The operating margin of Pacific Basin Shipping Limited is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBF)?
Revenue at Pacific Basin Shipping Limited is growing −18.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −14.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBF)?
Earnings per share at Pacific Basin Shipping Limited are growing −54.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBF) hold?
Pacific Basin Shipping Limited holds more cash than debt, $40.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026