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Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited (PCPDF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited $0.03, price $0.05, upside -43.2%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Real Estate · US · Home Hong Kong

PC Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited

PCPDF · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $0.0302 · Strongly overvalued (−43.2%)
!Quality 40/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −10.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.6% net margin (TTM)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/8)
!Narrow moat 18/100
!Insider activity 30/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.0956 $0.0011 Fair Value $0.0302 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0011 – $0.0956 · fair‑value band $0.0302 – $0.0355 · the $0.0532 price screens above the $0.0302 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and management of property and infrastructure projects in Hong Kong, Japan, Thailand, and Indonesia. It also develops residential, office, and commercial properties.

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Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and management of property and infrastructure projects in Hong Kong, Japan, Thailand, and Indonesia. It also develops residential, office, and commercial properties. In addition, the company is involved in property development and golf operation, as well as hotel, recreation, and leisure operations; property investment; leasing and financing activities; travel agency activities; trademark registrant activities; ski operation; property sales agency activities; and property holding and leasing activities. Further, it offers property, and asset and facilities management services; administrative services; and financial services. Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited is based in Hong Kong, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited (PCPDF) currently trades at $0.0532, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0302, 43.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 6 models at a data quality of 93/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.0302 (bear) to $0.0355 (bull), the price of $0.0532 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited reported revenue of HK$1.0B in FY2025 versus HK$467M in FY2021, a compound +22.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$69.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $32.3M · P/S ratio 0.03 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0100 · Net margin −6.6% · Return on equity −355% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.1% · Operating margin 9.4% · Revenue (TTM) HK$1.0B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 31 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 1,198% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −43%, PCPDF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0302 Fair Value $0.0302 Bull $0.0355
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA $0.0500 $0.0700 $0.0900 67
EV/EBIT $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0400 65
EV/Revenue $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0200 51
All 3 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBIT $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0400 65
EV/EBITDA $0.0500 $0.0700 $0.0900 67
EV/Revenue $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0200 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 34
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 96
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +20.3% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−14.6% (2020) → 9.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

PCPDF screens overvalued: fair value 43% below the price. Compare with Vingroup Joint Stock Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 520 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/8 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +56.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets 0.6% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −6.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 35.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 1.9× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 48
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 15
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 63

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC 232,000 VND 25,731 VND −89%
CBRE Group CBRE $134.55 $91.06 −32%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$42.92 HK$17.16 −60%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$24.32 HK$13.39 −45%
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €23.99 €23.94 +0%
Vonovia SE VNA €16.82 €36.55 +117%
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $308.07 $540.65 +75%
Wharf Real Estate Investment Company 1997 HK$30.54 HK$27.42 −10%
CoStar Group CSGP $26.95 $6.19 −77%
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$37.00 HK$56.36 +52%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PCPDF

Frequently asked questions

Is Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited (PCPDF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0302 versus a price of $0.0532, about −43% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PCPDF?
Our model-based fair value for Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited is $0.0302 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0532.
What is the quality score of PCPDF?
Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited (PCPDF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0302 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0302, optimistic scenario $0.0355. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0302, about −43% upside versus a price of $0.0532 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0302, optimistic scenario $0.0355. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited (PCPDF)?
Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited (PCPDF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited it is $0.0302 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.0532. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PCPDF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.0532, fair value $0.0302, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PCPDF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0532); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0302). For Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited the two are $0.0230 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited worth?
The market values Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited at about $32.3M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.0532; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0302 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PCPDF?
Our models span a range for Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited: cautious scenario $0.0302, base $0.0302, optimistic $0.0355 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.0532). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited (PCPDF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PCPDF from its 52-week high?
Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited trades at $0.0532, about 8% below its 52-week high of $0.0577 and 1,198% above the low of $0.0041 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0302 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.0532, calculated fair value $0.0302 (−43%), Quality Score 40/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PCPDF calculated?
We run Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0302, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited (PCPDF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.0532. Our model-based fair value is $0.0302, about −43% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0355). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited (PCPDF)?
The market capitalisation of Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited is $32.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited (PCPDF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited is 0.03 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited (PCPDF)?
Earnings per share at Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited are $−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited (PCPDF)?
The net margin of Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited is −6.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited (PCPDF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited is −355% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited (PCPDF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited is −1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited (PCPDF)?
The operating margin of Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited (PCPDF)?
Revenue at Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited is growing +35.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited (PCPDF) generate?
The free cash flow of Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited is −HK$406M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited (PCPDF) carry?
The net debt of Pacific Century Premium Developments Limited is HK$8.5B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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