PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · ID · Market cap 802B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from 210.75 IDR to 191.93 IDR (−8.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +19.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 38% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (239.91 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
45‑month range 151.96 IDR – 717.32 IDR · fair‑value band 143.95 IDR – 239.91 IDR · the 310.00 IDR price screens above the 191.93 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP) currently trades at 310.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 191.93 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 38.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk generated revenue of 606B IDR at a net margin of 6.9%. Revenue grew 56.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.9%. Net debt stands at 131B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 143.95 IDR (bear case) to 239.91 IDR (bull case); at 310.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -38%, PDPP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (297.67 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (20.13 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk manufactures and sells plastic packaging products in Indonesia. The company offers PC Jugs, PET Preforms, PET Bottles, PP Straws, HDPE Jug Caps/Cap-shield, HDPE Jerrycans, PP Bottles Caps, and Hand Sanitizer Tissues. PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Tangerang, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk reported revenue of 546B IDR in FY2025 versus 319B IDR in FY2021, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was 34.6B IDR in FY2025, compounding +30.0%/yr from FY2021.
PDPP screens 38% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →
Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 101.90 | kr 126.39 | +24% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥29.10 | ¥20.88 | -28% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 29.00 THB | 16.12 THB | -44% |
| AblePrint Technology Co 7734 | 2,850 TWD | 661.69 TWD | -77% |
| PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW | 5,312 IDR | 1,194 IDR | -78% |
| Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 | 132.50 TWD | 127.06 TWD | -4% |
| Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO | ₹206.82 | ₹161.42 | -22% |
| EPL Limited 500135 | ₹222.25 | ₹111.65 | -50% |
| Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 | 15.15 TWD | 23.17 TWD | +53% |
| Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 | 19,330 KRW | 31,473 KRW | +63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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