PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk stock IDR 211, price IDR 286, that is 26.3% below the price, quality 65 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
48‑month range 151.96 IDR – 717.32 IDR · fair‑value band 112.62 IDR – 286.77 IDR · the 286.00 IDR price screens above the 210.75 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.
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PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk manufactures and sells plastic packaging products in Indonesia. The company offers PC Jugs, PET Preforms, PET Bottles, PP Straws, HDPE Jug Caps/Cap-shield, HDPE Jerrycans, PP Bottles Caps, and Hand Sanitizer Tissues.
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PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Tangerang, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP) currently trades at 286.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 210.75 IDR, 26% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 297.67 IDR per share, and 4 of the 22 models we run sit above the 286.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 100.42 IDR, and 18 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 112.62 IDR (bear) to 286.77 IDR (bull), the price of 286.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk reported revenue of 546B IDR in FY2025 versus 319B IDR in FY2021, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was 34.6B IDR in FY2025, compounding +30.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 904B IDR (≈ $50.2M) Micro · P/E ratio 12.3 · P/S ratio 1.32 · EPS (TTM) 23.22 IDR · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 10.4% · Return on equity 16.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.8% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 61 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −26%, PDPP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear112.62 IDRFair Value 210.75 IDRBull286.77 IDR
Price 286.00 IDR · Downside -26.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (19.91 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+29.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+23.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+23.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 11%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+34.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +30.6% a year for the price.
Compare PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 261 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−26.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)16.2% · Top 25%
Return on assets5.7% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)10.4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)24.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)62.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.13× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
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Is PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 210.75 IDR versus a price of 286.00 IDR, about 26% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PDPP?
Our model-based fair value for PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk is 210.75 IDR (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 286.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of PDPP?
PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 210.75 IDR (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 112.62 IDR, optimistic scenario 286.77 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 210.75 IDR, about 26% lower versus a price of 286.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 112.62 IDR, optimistic scenario 286.77 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP)?
PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 685B IDR (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk pay a dividend?
PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of 0.37% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).
How much is the dividend of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP)?
PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk has a dividend yield of 0.4%.
What growth is priced into PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +34.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +17.8 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PDPP use?
Our models discount PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk at 13.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.18, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk that is +34.0 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (13.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk grew +17.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +34.0 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (+34.0 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.67 %: that much free cash flow PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk it is 210.75 IDR per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of 286.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, PDPP trades above its calculated fair value: price 286.00 IDR, fair value 210.75 IDR, a gap of about −26% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PDPP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (286.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (210.75 IDR). For PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk the two are 75.25 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk worth?
The market values PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk at about 904B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is 286.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 210.75 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PDPP?
Our models span a range for PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk: cautious scenario 112.62 IDR, base 210.75 IDR, optimistic 286.77 IDR per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price 286.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PDPP?
PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.3 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 210.75 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 7.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP)?
Balance-sheet figures for PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 16.2%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PDPP from its 52-week high?
PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk trades at 286.00 IDR, about 29% below its 52-week high of 402.58 IDR and 31% above the low of 218.15 IDR (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 210.75 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, Amcor plc, International Paper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price 286.00 IDR, calculated fair value 210.75 IDR (−26%), Quality Score 65/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PDPP calculated?
We run PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk through 22 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 210.75 IDR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 286.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 210.75 IDR, about 26% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (112.62 IDR to 286.77 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP)?
The market capitalisation of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk is 904B IDR (≈ $50.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk is 1.32 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP)?
Earnings per share at PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk are 23.22 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP)?
The dividend yield of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk is 0.4% (payout 4.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP)?
The net margin of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk is 10.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk is 16.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk is 7.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP)?
The operating margin of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk is 24.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP)?
Revenue at PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk is growing +62.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP)?
Earnings per share at PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk are growing +313% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk (PDPP) carry?
The net debt of PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk is 131B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 9, 2026