Petronet LNG Limited (PETRONET) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Petronet LNG Limited ₹348, price ₹286, upside +21.7%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹159.61 – ₹356.39 · fair‑value band ₹260.97 – ₹463.99 · the ₹285.85 price screens below the ₹347.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Petronet LNG Limited engages in the import, storage, regasification, and supply of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in India. It owns and operates an LNG import and regasification terminal with name plate capacity of 17.5 MMTPA located in Dahej, Gujarat; and an LNG terminal with name plate capacity of 5 MMTPA located in Kochi, Kerala.
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Petronet LNG Limited engages in the import, storage, regasification, and supply of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in India. It owns and operates an LNG import and regasification terminal with name plate capacity of 17.5 MMTPA located in Dahej, Gujarat; and an LNG terminal with name plate capacity of 5 MMTPA located in Kochi, Kerala. The company serves private entities, key infrastructure entities, petrochemical entities, city gas distribution entities, refineries, fertilizer and power generating entities, and other industrial entities. Petronet LNG Limited was incorporated in 1998 and is based in New Delhi, India.
Stock analysis
Petronet LNG Limited (PETRONET) currently trades at ₹285.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹347.96, implying the stock looks roughly 17.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹429.01 per share, and 18 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹285.85 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹99.54, and 8 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹260.97 (bear) to ₹463.99 (bull), the price of ₹285.85 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Petronet LNG Limited reported revenue of ₹435B in FY2026 versus ₹432B in FY2022, a compound +0.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹39.1B in FY2026, compounding +3.3%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹429B (≈ $4.5B) · P/E ratio 11.0 · P/S ratio 0.99 · EPS (TTM) ₹26.07 · Dividend yield 3.5% · Net margin 9.0% · Return on equity 18.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 22.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −61% fair-value upside, at 22%, PETRONET screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹260.97Fair Value ₹347.96Bull ₹463.99
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹7.79 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.8% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+9.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6% vs 16%, slowing
Profit margin 2005 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 10%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+17.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.2% a year for the price and +12.6% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 111 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+22% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)19% · Top 25%
Return on assets10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)18% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−23% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.5% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
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Is Petronet LNG Limited (PETRONET) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹347.96 versus a price of ₹285.85, about +22% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PETRONET?
Our model-based fair value for Petronet LNG Limited is ₹347.96 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹285.85.
What is the quality score of PETRONET?
Petronet LNG Limited has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Petronet LNG Limited (PETRONET)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹347.96 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹260.97, optimistic scenario ₹463.99. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Petronet LNG Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹347.96, about +22% upside versus a price of ₹285.85 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹260.97, optimistic scenario ₹463.99. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Petronet LNG Limited (PETRONET)?
Petronet LNG Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹435B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Petronet LNG Limited pay a dividend?
Petronet LNG Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.50% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Petronet LNG Limited (PETRONET)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Petronet LNG Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +0.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PETRONET use?
Our models discount Petronet LNG Limited at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.46, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Petronet LNG Limited that is +0.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Petronet LNG Limited (PETRONET) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Petronet LNG Limited grew +10.8 % a year. The price currently implies +0.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Petronet LNG Limited (PETRONET) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Petronet LNG Limited (+0.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Petronet LNG Limited (PETRONET)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.06 %: that much free cash flow Petronet LNG Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Petronet LNG Limited (PETRONET)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Petronet LNG Limited it is ₹347.96 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹285.85. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Petronet LNG Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PETRONET trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹285.85, fair value ₹347.96, a gap of about +22% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PETRONET?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹285.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹347.96). For Petronet LNG Limited the two are ₹62.11 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Petronet LNG Limited worth?
The market values Petronet LNG Limited at about ₹429B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹285.85; our models calculate a fair value of ₹347.96 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PETRONET?
Our models span a range for Petronet LNG Limited: cautious scenario ₹260.97, base ₹347.96, optimistic ₹463.99 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹285.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PETRONET?
Petronet LNG Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹347.96 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.9, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 6.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Petronet LNG Limited (PETRONET)?
Balance-sheet figures for Petronet LNG Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 18.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PETRONET from its 52-week high?
Petronet LNG Limited trades at ₹285.85, about 11% below its 52-week high of ₹319.71 and 21% above the low of ₹235.34 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹347.96 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Petronet LNG Limited?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Reliance Industries Limited, Valero Energy Corporation, Marathon Petroleum Corporation, Phillips 66, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Petronet LNG Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹285.85, calculated fair value ₹347.96 (+22%), Quality Score 66/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PETRONET calculated?
We run Petronet LNG Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹347.96, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Petronet LNG Limited currently trades 22 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Petronet LNG Limited (PETRONET)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ₹285.85. Our model-based fair value is ₹347.96, about +22% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Petronet LNG Limited right now?
Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Petronet LNG Limited (PETRONET) come from?
Earnings per share at Petronet LNG Limited grew +14.0 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.4 %, EBIT margin +4.4 %, tax rate −0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Petronet LNG Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Petronet LNG Limited (PETRONET)?
The market capitalisation of Petronet LNG Limited is ₹429B (≈ $4.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Petronet LNG Limited (PETRONET)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Petronet LNG Limited is 0.99 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Petronet LNG Limited (PETRONET)?
Earnings per share at Petronet LNG Limited are ₹26.07 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Petronet LNG Limited (PETRONET)?
The dividend yield of Petronet LNG Limited is 3.5% (payout 38.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Petronet LNG Limited (PETRONET)?
The net margin of Petronet LNG Limited is 9.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Petronet LNG Limited (PETRONET)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Petronet LNG Limited is 18.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Petronet LNG Limited (PETRONET)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Petronet LNG Limited is 22.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Petronet LNG Limited (PETRONET)?
The operating margin of Petronet LNG Limited is 17.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Petronet LNG Limited (PETRONET)?
Revenue at Petronet LNG Limited is growing −23.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Petronet LNG Limited (PETRONET)?
Earnings per share at Petronet LNG Limited are growing +25.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Petronet LNG Limited (PETRONET) hold?
Petronet LNG Limited holds more cash than debt, ₹77.7B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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