paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA (PGN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA €1.80, price €0.65, upside +178.5%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.5280 – €10.70 · fair‑value band €1.08 – €2.65 · the €0.6460 price screens below the €1.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 5 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA develops, produces, and distributes automotive electronics, body kinematics, and e-mobility solutions for the automotive industry in Germany, European Union, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Electronics and Mechanics.
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paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA develops, produces, and distributes automotive electronics, body kinematics, and e-mobility solutions for the automotive industry in Germany, European Union, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Electronics and Mechanics. The Electronics segment develops and sells sensors, loudspeakers, microphones, batteries, and display instruments primarily for the automotive industry. The Mechanics segment develops and markets electromechanical components for the automotive and mechanical manufacturing industries. paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Delbrück, Germany.
Stock analysis
paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA (PGN) currently trades at €0.6460, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.80, implying the stock looks roughly 64.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of €11.38 per share, and 13 of the 13 models we run sit above the €0.6460 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €10.25, and 0 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €1.08 (bear) to €2.65 (bull), the price of €0.6460 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA reported revenue of €139M in FY2024 versus €150M in FY2020, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was −€6.1M in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap €7.2M · P/S ratio 0.06 · EPS (TTM) €−1.19 · Net margin −4.4% · Return on equity −312% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.2% · Operating margin 4.7% · Revenue (TTM) €121M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 78% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 178%, PGN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €1.08Fair Value €1.80Bull €2.65
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.2%
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−15.9% (2019) → 5.5% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 692 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside+179% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)−5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−13% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)0.07× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF1.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA3.5× · Cheapest 25%
PEG2.95× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100· sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 38
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
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Is paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA (PGN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.80 versus a price of €0.6460, about +178% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PGN?
Our model-based fair value for paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA is €1.80 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €0.6460.
What is the quality score of PGN?
paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA (PGN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €1.80 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.08, optimistic scenario €2.65. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €1.80, about +178% upside versus a price of €0.6460 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €1.08, optimistic scenario €2.65. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA (PGN)?
paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €121M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA (PGN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA it is €1.80 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €0.6460. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, PGN trades below its calculated fair value: price €0.6460, fair value €1.80, a gap of about +178% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PGN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€0.6460); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€1.80). For paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA the two are €1.15 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA worth?
The market values paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA at about €7.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €0.6460; our models calculate a fair value of €1.80 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PGN?
Our models span a range for paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA: cautious scenario €1.08, base €1.80, optimistic €2.65 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €0.6460). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of PGN?
The PEG ratio of paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA is 2.95 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA (PGN)?
Balance-sheet figures for paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA (as of Sep 23, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PGN from its 52-week high?
paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA trades at €0.6460, about 78% below its 52-week high of €2.99 and 22% above the low of €0.5280 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €1.80 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €0.6460, calculated fair value €1.80 (+178%), Quality Score 45/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PGN calculated?
We run paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €1.80, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA currently trades 178 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA (PGN)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €0.6460. Our model-based fair value is €1.80, about +178% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€1.08). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (€1.08 to €2.65) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA
How large is the market capitalisation of paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA (PGN)?
The market capitalisation of paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA is €7.2M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA (PGN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA is 0.06 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA (PGN)?
Earnings per share at paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA are €−1.19. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA (PGN)?
The net margin of paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA is −4.4% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA (PGN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA is −312% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA (PGN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA is −0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA (PGN)?
The operating margin of paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA is 4.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA (PGN)?
Revenue at paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA is growing −13.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA (PGN) generate?
The free cash flow of paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA is €5.2M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA (PGN) carry?
The net debt of paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA is €65.0M (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 12.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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