paragon GmbH & Co (PGN) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · DE · Market cap €7.2M
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from €1.79 to €1.78 (−0.7%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +9.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (€0.9514 to €2.66). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.55 – €11.50 · fair‑value band €0.9514 – €2.66 · the €1.73 price screens below the €1.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
paragon GmbH & Co (PGN) currently trades at €1.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.78, implying the stock looks roughly 3.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, paragon GmbH & Co generated revenue of €121M at a net margin of -4.5%. Revenue declined 13.2% year over year. Net debt stands at €65.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €0.9514 (bear case) to €2.66 (bull case); at €1.73, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 3%, PGN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€24.69) versus Growth DCF (€5.94). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA develops, produces, and distributes automotive electronics, body kinematics, and e-mobility solutions for the automotive industry in Germany, European Union, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Electronics and Mechanics.
Full company description
paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA develops, produces, and distributes automotive electronics, body kinematics, and e-mobility solutions for the automotive industry in Germany, European Union, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Electronics and Mechanics. The Electronics segment develops and sells sensors, loudspeakers, microphones, batteries, and display instruments primarily for the automotive industry. The Mechanics segment develops and markets electromechanical components for the automotive and mechanical manufacturing industries. paragon GmbH & Co. KGaA was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Delbrück, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
paragon GmbH & Co reported revenue of €139M in FY2024 versus €150M in FY2020, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was −€6.1M in FY2024.
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Peer Group
Auto Parts · 642 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 482,000 KRW | 678,420 KRW | +41% |
| Magna International Inc MGAN | 1,122 MXN | 1,172 MXN | +4% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹144.17 | ₹80.63 | -44% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹41,110 | ₹14,004 | -66% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,117 | ₹441.74 | -79% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,158 | ₹426.57 | -63% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,135 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 73,600 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +167% |
| MRF Limited MRF | ₹131,025 | ₹125,849 | -4% |
| Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS | ₹792.00 | ₹207.06 | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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