Pge Polska Energ Unsp/Adr (PGPKY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Pge Polska Energ Unsp/Adr $12.10, price $5.27, upside +129.6%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Pge Polska Energ Unsp/Adr
PGPKY · USCheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.
What runs behind every stock
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.70 – $6.96 · fair‑value band $7.57 – $19.13 · the $5.27 price screens below the $12.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna S.A. engages in the production and distribution of electricity and heat in Poland. It operates through Renewables, Gas-fired Generation, Coal Energy, District Heating, Distribution, Railway Energy Services, Supply, and Other Activities segments.
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PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna S.A. engages in the production and distribution of electricity and heat in Poland. It operates through Renewables, Gas-fired Generation, Coal Energy, District Heating, Distribution, Railway Energy Services, Supply, and Other Activities segments. The Renewables segment engages in generation of electricity in pumped-storage power plants and from renewable sources. Its Gas-fired Generation segment produces electricity from gas-fired units. The Coal Energy segment includes lignite mining and electricity generation from conventional sources. Its District Heating segment engages in combined heat and power (CHP) generation and heat transmission and distribution. The Distribution segment involves in the management of local distribution networks and the transmission of electricity. Its Railway Energy Services segment engages in distribution and sales of electricity to railway companies and railway-related customers, sales of fuels, maintenance and upgrading of overhead lines, and other electricity-related services. The Supply segment involves in electricity and gas trading on wholesale markets, CO2 emission rights trading, trading in energy origin rights arising from certificates of origin, and the purchase and supply of fuels, as well as the sales of electricity and services to end-users PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna S.A. was founded in 1990 and is based in Lublin, Poland.
Stock analysis
Pge Polska Energ Unsp/Adr (PGPKY) currently trades at $5.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.10, implying the stock looks roughly 56.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $45.23 per share, and 10 of the 10 models we run sit above the $5.27 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $21.63, and 0 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $7.57 (bear) to $19.13 (bull), the price of $5.27 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Pge Polska Energ Unsp/Adr reported revenue of 61.4B PLN in FY2025 versus 52.7B PLN in FY2021, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was −3.5B PLN in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $6.4B · P/S ratio 0.10 · EPS (TTM) $−0.9700 · Net margin −5.7% · Return on equity −8.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% · Revenue (TTM) $62.4B · Revenue growth (YoY) +1.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 130%, PGPKY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 10 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Pge Polska Energ Unsp/Adr with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Electric · 157 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Utilities sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Utilities
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NextEra Energy, Inc NEE | $79.26 | $29.88 | −62% |
| The Southern Company SO | $85.15 | $58.74 | −31% |
| Duke Energy Corporation DUK | $116.31 | $74.89 | −36% |
| American Electric Power Company AEP | $120.27 | $100.09 | −17% |
| Dominion Energy, Inc D | $62.43 | $37.67 | −40% |
| Entergy Corporation ETR | $101.16 | $38.37 | −62% |
| Xcel Energy Inc XEL | $72.06 | $54.92 | −24% |
| Exelon Corporation EXC | $41.80 | $36.26 | −13% |
| Consolidated Edison, Inc ED | $103.84 | $47.92 | −54% |
| Public Service Enterprise Group PEG | $69.12 | $33.43 | −52% |
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Key figures of Pge Polska Energ Unsp/Adr
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