Schindler Holding (SCHN) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CH · Market cap CHF 28.3B
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from CHF 200.84 to CHF 198.63 (−1.1%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price −0.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 23% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 248.28). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 136.31 – CHF 292.89 · fair‑value band CHF 148.97 – CHF 248.28 · the CHF 257.50 price screens above the CHF 198.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Schindler Holding (SCHN) currently trades at CHF 257.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 198.63, implying the stock looks roughly 22.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Schindler Holding generated revenue of CHF 10.8B at a net margin of 9.4%. Revenue declined 5.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of CHF 1.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from CHF 148.97 (bear case) to CHF 248.28 (bull case); at CHF 257.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -23%, SCHN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (CHF 189.47) versus Asset-Based (CHF 31.57). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Schindler Holding AG engages in the production, installation, maintenance, and modernization of elevators, escalators, and moving walks worldwide.
Full company description
Schindler Holding AG engages in the production, installation, maintenance, and modernization of elevators, escalators, and moving walks worldwide. It offers Schindler PORT, a transit management system; CleanMobility solutions; Schindler R.I.S.E, a robotic installation system; Schindler MetaCore which enables buildings to be repurposed and their functionality to be reconfigured; Schindler CLIMB Lift, a self-climbing system; Schindler X8; Digital Twin; and BuildingMinds, a cloud based SaaS platform that lets users monitor the performance of a real estate portfolio. In addition, the company provides digital services; and Building Information Modeling which provides traceability and insights throughout the project life cycle, including planning, design, construction, operation, and maintenance. The company was founded in 1874 and is headquartered in Hergiswil, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Schindler Holding reported revenue of CHF 10.9B in FY2025 versus CHF 11.2B in FY2021, a compound −0.6%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 1.0B in FY2025, compounding +5.2%/yr from FY2021.
SCHN screens 23% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Schindler Holding AG (SHLAF) (H1 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Operating Margin Amidst ...
- How The Investment Story For Schindler Holding (SWX:SCHN) Is Shifting With New Analyst Targets
- Indonesia Elevators and Escalators Market Size & Growth Forecast Report 2026-2031 Featuring Key Vendors - Otis, KONE, TK, Schindler, Mit
- Philippines Elevator and Escalator Market Growth Forecast Report 2026-2031 Featuring Otis, KONE, TK Elevator, Schindler, Mitsubishi Electric
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 807 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €967.60 | €212.97 | -78% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €284.30 | €122.46 | -57% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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