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NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation (PICJF) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $1.3B

NU NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation logo NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation PICJF · US
Price$892.43
Fair Value$476.13
Upside-46.7%
Quality59/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 34.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
4.54% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Wide moat 65/100
Evidence: High Range $447.06 – $709.19 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 27, 2026, revised from $483.94 to $476.13 (−1.6%) since Jun 26, 2026.

A solid business, but screening 47% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($709.19). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$4,017 $852.67 Fair Value $476.13 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $852.67 – $4,017 · fair‑value band $447.06 – $709.19 · the $892.43 price screens above the $476.13 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation (PICJF) currently trades at $892.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $476.13, implying the stock looks roughly 46.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation generated revenue of $26.2B at a net margin of 34.4%. Revenue grew 7.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.7%. Net debt stands at $118B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $447.06 (bear case) to $709.19 (bull case); at $892.43, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 78% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -47%, PICJF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $46,982 $89,711 $141,826 80
Residual Income $73,428 $73,570 $68,178 61
P/S Multiple $73,289 $97,718 $122,148 58
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $45,627 $93,866 $156,068 38
5Y Revenue Exit $8,042 $40,979 $80,861 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $33,968 $88,336 $149,623 41
10Y Revenue Exit $21,096 $52,530 $90,960 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $37,573 $82,193 $137,856 37
Multiples
P/S Multiple $73,289 $97,718 $122,148 58
P/B Multiple $73,289 $97,718 $122,148 55
EV/EBIT $34,980 $71,565 $108,150 53
EV/EBITDA $39,847 $78,054 $116,261 54
EV/Revenue $11,699 $37,641 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $49,887 $66,849 $99,775 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $46,982 $89,711 $141,826 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income $73,428 $73,570 $68,178 61

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($89,711) versus Asset-Based ($66,849). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $26.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.5%
Net margin 34.4%
Return on equity 5.7%
Free cash flow $19.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 24.7
More key figures
Operating margin 44.9%
EPS (TTM) $36.14
Dividend yield 4.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -10.0%
Net debt $118B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 92
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation (hereinafter referred to as the Investment Corporation) in accordance with the Act on Investment Trusts and Investment Corporations (hereinafter referred to as the Investment Trust Act) was listed on the Real Estate Investment Trust Securities Market of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (currently Tokyo Stock Exchange, Inc.; …

Full company description

NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation (hereinafter referred to as the Investment Corporation) in accordance with the Act on Investment Trusts and Investment Corporations (hereinafter referred to as the Investment Trust Act) was listed on the Real Estate Investment Trust Securities Market of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (currently Tokyo Stock Exchange, Inc.; hereinafter referred to as the Tokyo Stock Exchange) on September 10, 2002. Since then, the asset size has steadily expanded, with the total acquisition price (Note 1) of properties held increasing from 49,021 million yen (11 properties) at the end of the first fiscal period (April 30, 2003) to 296,474 million yen (62 properties, including one preferred equity interest) as of the end of the current fiscal period (October 31, 2025). The Investment Corporation has focused its investment area on the Tokyo Metropolitan Area (Note 2) and has been striving to secure stable earnings over the medium to long term by diversifying its investments into real estate primarily used for offices and residences. Since its first fiscal period in April 2003, the Investment Corporation has distributed profits 45 times up to the 45th fiscal period. NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation was established on May 2, 2002.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation reported revenue of $26.5B in FY2025 versus $22.2B in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was $8.4B in FY2025, compounding −3.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$26.5B
Latest YoY
+11.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.6%
Revenue +4.5%/yr
FY21 $22.2B
FY22 $23.2B
FY23 $24.5B
FY24 $23.8B
FY25 $26.5B
Net income −3.6%/yr
FY21 $9.8B
FY22 $9.6B
FY23 $10.0B
FY24 $8.6B
FY25 $8.4B

PICJF screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Goodman Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PICJF

Peer Group

REIT - Diversified · 165 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −47% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 34% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 45% · Below median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.84× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 13
FUTURE 38 · sector 13
PAST 23 · sector 20
HEALTH 58 · sector 72
DIVIDEND 91 · sector 97

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Goodman Group GMG A$29.11 A$7.37 -75%
VICI Properties Inc VICI $26.73 $41.74 +56%
W. P. Carey Inc WPC $76.69 $35.59 -54%
Charter Hall Group CHC A$21.90 A$11.46 -48%
Fibra Uno FUNO11 31.10 MXN 63.56 MXN +104%
COV COV €52.55 €62.39 +19%
The GPT Group GPT A$4.89 A$3.49 -29%
Mirvac Group MGR A$1.70 A$0.5700 -66%
KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS 8.85 MYR 6.91 MYR -22%
CRRUN CRRUN C$17.65 C$17.89 +1%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation (PICJF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $476.13 versus a price of $892.43, about −47% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PICJF?
Our model-based fair value for NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation is $476.13 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $892.43.
What is the quality score of PICJF?
NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation (PICJF)?
NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $26.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PICJF?
The net profit margin of NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation is about 34.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 34.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation pay a dividend?
NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.54% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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