Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRAL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. MXN 583, price MXN 194, upside +200.0%, quality 69 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 63.85 MXN – 209.57 MXN · fair‑value band 387.40 MXN – 878.72 MXN · the 194.45 MXN price screens below the 583.35 MXN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. engages in the construction, operation, maintenance, financing, and promotion of toll roads and port projects in Mexico. It operates through Construction, Material, and Concession segments.
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Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. engages in the construction, operation, maintenance, financing, and promotion of toll roads and port projects in Mexico. It operates through Construction, Material, and Concession segments. The company undertakes heavy construction projects, such as toll roads, ports, tunnels, dams, bridges, airports, and railways; industrial construction projects, including petrochemical, industrial, wastewater treatment, and power generating plants; and urban construction projects comprising parking lots, museums, parks, educational centers, buildings, water systems, public transport systems, landfills, and hospitals. It also manufactures asphalt concrete; basalt aggregates, such as gravel, sand, seal, ballast, hydraulic base, sub-base, and tepetate; and central guard rails for roads and other precast concrete materials, as well as exploiting stone aggregates. In addition, the company provides services comprising minor maintenance and operation services for the toll roads; reception, storage, and shipment of goods; hauling or transfer of goods; loading and unloading from ship to yard and vice versa; loading and unloading from yard to ground transportation and vice versa; filling and emptying of containers; general cargo storage; mooring and unmooring of ropes; and handling, storage, and custody of foreign trade merchandise. The company was founded in 1969 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.
Stock analysis
Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRAL) currently trades at 194.45 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 583.35 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 935.84 MXN per share, and 21 of the 26 models we run sit above the 194.45 MXN price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 77.32 MXN, and 5 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 387.40 MXN (bear) to 878.72 MXN (bull), the price of 194.45 MXN sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. reported revenue of 20.0B MXN in FY2025 versus 12.4B MXN in FY2021, a compound +12.7%/yr. Reported net income was 14.6B MXN in FY2025, compounding +27.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 72.9B MXN (≈ $4.1B) · P/E ratio 5.7 · P/S ratio 4.19 · EPS (TTM) 35.40 MXN · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin 73.0% · Return on equity 22.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 200%, PINFRAL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 387.40 MXNFair Value 583.35 MXNBull 878.72 MXN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (23.40 MXN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.8%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MXN (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+33.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+31.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.9%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.54% → 115%
2025 sits 144% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−19.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Mexico: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 4.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −22.2% a year for the price and +1.8% for the forecasts.
Compare Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Infrastructure Operations · 67 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)22.8% · Top 25%
Return on assets15.9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)72.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)53.9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth18.4% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PINFRAL
Frequently asked questions
Is Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRAL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 583.35 MXN versus a price of 194.45 MXN, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PINFRAL?
Our model-based fair value for Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. is 583.35 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 194.45 MXN.
What is the quality score of PINFRAL?
Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRAL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 583.35 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 387.40 MXN, optimistic scenario 878.72 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 583.35 MXN, about +200% upside versus a price of 194.45 MXN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 387.40 MXN, optimistic scenario 878.72 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRAL)?
Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 20.9B MXN (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. pay a dividend?
Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.94% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRAL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. would have to grow free cash flow by -19.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +12.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PINFRAL use?
Our models discount Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.39, country premium for Mexico. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. that is -19.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRAL) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. grew +12.7 % a year. The price currently implies -19.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRAL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (-19.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRAL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.84 %: that much free cash flow Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRAL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. it is 583.35 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 194.45 MXN. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PINFRAL trades below its calculated fair value: price 194.45 MXN, fair value 583.35 MXN, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PINFRAL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (194.45 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (583.35 MXN). For Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. the two are 388.90 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. worth?
The market values Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. at about 72.9B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 194.45 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 583.35 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PINFRAL?
Our models span a range for Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V.: cautious scenario 387.40 MXN, base 583.35 MXN, optimistic 878.72 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 194.45 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PINFRAL?
Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 583.35 MXN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 3.5, EV/EBITDA 1.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRAL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 22.8%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PINFRAL from its 52-week high?
Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. trades at 194.45 MXN, about 7% below its 52-week high of 209.57 MXN and 15% above the low of 169.49 MXN (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 583.35 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Transurban Group, China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings, Jiangsu Expressway Company, Shandong Hi-speed Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 194.45 MXN, calculated fair value 583.35 MXN (+200%), Quality Score 69/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PINFRAL calculated?
We run Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 583.35 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. currently trades 200 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRAL)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was 194.45 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 583.35 MXN, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (387.40 MXN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (387.40 MXN to 878.72 MXN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V.
How large is the market capitalisation of Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRAL)?
The market capitalisation of Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. is 72.9B MXN (≈ $4.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRAL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. is 4.19 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRAL)?
Earnings per share at Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. are 35.40 MXN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRAL)?
The dividend yield of Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. is 1.9% (payout 10.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRAL)?
The net margin of Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. is 73.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRAL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. is 22.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRAL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. is 14.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRAL)?
The operating margin of Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. is 53.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRAL)?
Revenue at Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. is growing +18.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRAL)?
Earnings per share at Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. are growing +27.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRAL) carry?
The net debt of Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. is 2.1B MXN (fiscal year 2023, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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