Park24 Co Ltd (PKCOY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Park24 Co Ltd $12.74, price $12.28, upside +3.8%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $9.12 – $28.47 · fair‑value band $9.55 – $25.27 · the $12.28 price screens below the $12.74 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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PARK24 Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates and manages parking lots in Japan, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Parking Business Japan, Parking Business International, and Mobility Business.
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PARK24 Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates and manages parking lots in Japan, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Parking Business Japan, Parking Business International, and Mobility Business. The company offers hourly parking facilities; reserved and monthly parking; parking facilities for non-passenger vehicles, including large vehicles, motorcycles, and bicycles; and overseas parking facilities, such as patrolled parking facilities, and pay and display parking services. It also provides Times CAR, a membership-based unattended rent-a-car service; Times CAR RENTAL, a rent-a-car service for passenger cars, micro-buses, and trucks; Times Club membership service for drivers; Times Business Card for corporate customers; and Times PAY, a payment service used in restaurants and retail outlets. In addition, the company offers membership-based road services; and insurance agency services comprising insurance consultation and financial planning services. PARK24 Co., Ltd. was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Shinagawa, Japan.
Stock analysis
Park24 Co Ltd ADR (PKCOY) currently trades at $12.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.74, implying the stock looks roughly 3.7% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $16.95 per share, and 14 of the 26 models we run sit above the $12.28 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.43, and 12 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $9.55 (bear) to $25.27 (bull), the price of $12.28 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Park24 Co Ltd ADR reported revenue of ¥419B in FY2025 versus ¥251B in FY2021, a compound +13.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥16.4B in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $2.3B · P/E ratio 9.0 · P/S ratio 0.35 · EPS (TTM) $1.36 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 3.9% · Return on equity 41.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 4%, PKCOY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $9.55Fair Value $12.74Bull $25.27
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.8% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+4.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.3% vs 2%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−5% → 9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.0% a year for the price and +1.4% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Infrastructure Operations · 69 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside+4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)41% · Top 25%
Return on assets8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)10% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.32× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Park24 Co Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PKCOY
Frequently asked questions
Is Park24 Co Ltd (PKCOY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.74 versus a price of $12.28, about +4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of PKCOY?
Our model-based fair value for Park24 Co Ltd ADR is $12.74 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $12.28.
What is the quality score of PKCOY?
Park24 Co Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Park24 Co Ltd (PKCOY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $12.74 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $9.55, optimistic scenario $25.27. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Park24 Co Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $12.74, about +4% upside versus a price of $12.28 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $9.55, optimistic scenario $25.27. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Park24 Co Ltd (PKCOY)?
Park24 Co Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥415B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Park24 Co Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
Park24 Co Ltd ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.47% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Park24 Co Ltd (PKCOY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Park24 Co Ltd ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +5.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.3 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PKCOY use?
Our models discount Park24 Co Ltd ADR at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.33, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Park24 Co Ltd ADR that is +5.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Park24 Co Ltd (PKCOY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Park24 Co Ltd ADR grew +9.3 % a year. The price currently implies +5.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Park24 Co Ltd (PKCOY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Park24 Co Ltd ADR (+5.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Park24 Co Ltd (PKCOY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.23 %: that much free cash flow Park24 Co Ltd ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Park24 Co Ltd (PKCOY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Park24 Co Ltd ADR it is $12.74 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $12.28. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Park24 Co Ltd ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, PKCOY trades below its calculated fair value: price $12.28, fair value $12.74, a gap of about +4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PKCOY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($12.28); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($12.74). For Park24 Co Ltd ADR the two are $0.4650 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Park24 Co Ltd ADR worth?
The market values Park24 Co Ltd ADR at about $2.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $12.28; our models calculate a fair value of $12.74 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PKCOY?
Our models span a range for Park24 Co Ltd ADR: cautious scenario $9.55, base $12.74, optimistic $25.27 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $12.28). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PKCOY?
Park24 Co Ltd ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $12.74 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.7, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 5.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Park24 Co Ltd (PKCOY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Park24 Co Ltd ADR (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 41.3%, debt of 1.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PKCOY from its 52-week high?
Park24 Co Ltd ADR trades at $12.28, about 13% below its 52-week high of $14.04 and 15% above the low of $10.65 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $12.74 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Park24 Co Ltd ADR?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Transurban Group, China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings, Jiangsu Expressway Company, Shandong Hi-speed Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Park24 Co Ltd ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $12.28, calculated fair value $12.74 (+4%), Quality Score 50/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PKCOY calculated?
We run Park24 Co Ltd ADR through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $12.74, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Park24 Co Ltd ADR currently trades 4 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Park24 Co Ltd (PKCOY)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $12.28. Our model-based fair value is $12.74, about +4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Park24 Co Ltd ADR right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($9.55 to $25.27). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Where does the earnings growth of Park24 Co Ltd (PKCOY) come from?
Earnings per share at Park24 Co Ltd ADR grew +2.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.2 %, EBIT margin −1.0 %, tax rate −0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Park24 Co Ltd ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Park24 Co Ltd (PKCOY)?
The market capitalisation of Park24 Co Ltd ADR is $2.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Park24 Co Ltd (PKCOY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Park24 Co Ltd ADR is 0.35 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Park24 Co Ltd (PKCOY)?
Earnings per share at Park24 Co Ltd ADR are $1.36 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Park24 Co Ltd (PKCOY)?
The dividend yield of Park24 Co Ltd ADR is 1.5% (payout 13.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Park24 Co Ltd (PKCOY)?
The net margin of Park24 Co Ltd ADR is 3.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Park24 Co Ltd (PKCOY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Park24 Co Ltd ADR is 41.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Park24 Co Ltd (PKCOY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Park24 Co Ltd ADR is 7.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Park24 Co Ltd (PKCOY)?
The operating margin of Park24 Co Ltd ADR is 8.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Park24 Co Ltd (PKCOY)?
Revenue at Park24 Co Ltd ADR is growing −0.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Park24 Co Ltd (PKCOY)?
Earnings per share at Park24 Co Ltd ADR are growing +13.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Park24 Co Ltd (PKCOY) carry?
The net debt of Park24 Co Ltd ADR is ¥92.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026