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Krakatau Steel Persero Tbk PT ADR (PKRKY) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $260M · ISIN US74442M1027

What is Krakatau Steel Persero Tbk PT ADR really worth?

KS Krakatau Steel Persero Tbk PT ADR logo Krakatau Steel Persero Tbk PT ADR PKRKY · US
Price from Aug 21, 2026$5.75
Fair Value$2.51
Upside−56.4%
Quality49/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 129% above our fair value of $2.51.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 38.0% net margin
Ranks above peers (6/9)

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −24.6 %/yr)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Moderate moat 55/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range $1.88 – $3.14

Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.14). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$9.41 $3.03 Fair Value $2.51 Oct 2016 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.03 – $9.41 · fair‑value band $1.88 – $3.14 · the $5.75 price screens above the $2.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

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Analysis

Krakatau Steel Persero Tbk PT ADR (PKRKY) currently trades at $5.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.51, implying the stock looks roughly 129.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $20.90 per share, and 6 of the 7 models we run sit above the $5.75 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $4.67, and 1 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Krakatau Steel Persero Tbk PT ADR generated revenue of $987M at a net margin of 38.0%. Revenue grew 11.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 66.8%. Net debt stands at $1.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.88 (bear case) to $3.14 (bull case); at $5.75, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −56%, PKRKY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.3342 per share, which is 13.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Graham-Dodd $22.88 $27.96 $31.46 65
Growth-Adj P/E $30.56 $43.66 $56.76 65
P/E Multiple $42.90 $57.20 $71.50 63
All 7 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $22.88 $27.96 $31.46 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple $42.90 $57.20 $71.50 63
P/S Multiple $11.16 $14.88 $18.60 58
P/B Multiple $15.68 $20.90 $26.13 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.48 $4.67 $6.97 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $20.39 $31.81 $361.01 55
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $30.56 $43.66 $56.76 65

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($43.66) versus Asset-Based ($4.67). Highest evidence: Graham-Dodd (65).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 5.4 as of Jun 22, 2026
P/S ratio 1.82 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.5000 price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.4
Net margin 33.9% FY2025
Return on equity 66.8% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 5.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $987M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.8% 3y avg −24.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +889%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$36.5M FY2025
Net debt $1.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

PT Krakatau Steel (Persero) Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and trading of iron and steel products in Indonesia and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Steel Products, Infrastructure Facility, Engineering and Construction, and Other Services.

Full company description

PT Krakatau Steel (Persero) Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and trading of iron and steel products in Indonesia and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Steel Products, Infrastructure Facility, Engineering and Construction, and Other Services. The Steel Products segment is primarily involved in production and sale of steel products, such as sponge irons, slabs, billets, HRC, cold rolled coils and wire rods, various steel pipes, reinforcing bars, steel wires, and scrap, as well as services related to steel, including coating and tolling services. The Infrastructure Facility segment provides port management services for berthing, loading and unloading goods and containers, seaport support services, warehousing, and transport services. This segment also offers development and sale of industrial estates, including infrastructure, hotels, and sports facilities; electricity supply services, as well as management and maintenance of power plants and electrical workshops; and clean water supply, industrial demineralized water supply, and waste management services for industry and companies. The Engineering and Construction segment provides construction and industrial engineering, planning and contracting of various types of buildings, export and import of goods, and related services and software. The Other Services segment offers information technology services. It also engages in the production and reinforcement of plain bars; manufacturing of sheet plates; production of steel pipes; coal and mining business; machinery maintenance, fabrication, and construction services; freight and warehousing services; vehicle and equipment rental services; consulting services; steel trading; plant maintenance services; and water treatment and distribution activities. PT Krakatau Steel (Persero) Tbk was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Cilegon, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Krakatau Steel Persero Tbk PT ADR reported revenue of $960M in FY2025 versus $2.1B in FY2021, a compound −17.9%/yr. Reported net income was $325M in FY2025, compounding +64.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 30/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$960M
Latest YoY
+0.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−24.6%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+48.9% (48.9 + 0.0)
Revenue −17.9%/yr
FY21 $2.1B
FY22 $2.2B
FY23 $1.5B
FY24 $955M
FY25 $960M
Net income +64.5%/yr
FY21 $44.4M
FY22 $19.5M
FY23 −$130M
FY24 −$155M
FY25 $325M

PKRKY screens 129% overvalued. Compare with Nucor Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Krakatau Steel Persero Tbk PT ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PKRKY

Peer Group

Steel · 410 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Above median
Fair Value upside −56% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 67% · Top 25%
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.25× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 11
FUTURE59 · sector 2
PAST100 · sector 16
HEALTH38 · sector 95
DIVIDEND0 · sector 48

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nucor Corporation NUE $250.50 $116.05 −54%
ArcelorMittal S.A MT €64.60 €46.04 −29%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,296 ₹1,119 −14%
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD $234.67 $127.14 −46%
500228 500228 ₹1,292 ₹1,079 −16%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹186.80 ₹145.39 −22%
Reliance, Inc RS $387.59 $217.81 −44%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.91 ¥8.07 +37%
POSCO Holdings PKX $57.09 $83.53 +46%
Jindal Steel & Power Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,114 ₹429.44 −61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Krakatau Steel Persero Tbk PT ADR (PKRKY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.51 versus the last price from Aug 21, 2026 of $5.75, about −56% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PKRKY?
Our model-based fair value for Krakatau Steel Persero Tbk PT ADR is $2.51 (as of Aug 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Aug 21, 2026): $5.75.
What is the quality score of PKRKY?
Krakatau Steel Persero Tbk PT ADR has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Krakatau Steel Persero Tbk PT ADR (PKRKY)?
Krakatau Steel Persero Tbk PT ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $987M (latest available figure, as of Aug 28, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PKRKY?
The net profit margin of Krakatau Steel Persero Tbk PT ADR is about 38.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 38.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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