Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (PNE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Pine Cliff Energy Ltd C$0.74, price C$0.54, upside +38.3%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.2825 – C$1.59 · fair‑value band C$0.3400 – C$1.04 · the C$0.5350 price screens below the C$0.7400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of natural gas and crude oil in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin.
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Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of natural gas and crude oil in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. It owns working interest production in the Sundre, Ghost Pine, and Viking areas of Central Alberta, as well as in Caroline Alberta, Southern Alberta, Southern Saskatchewan, and Edson in Western Central Alberta. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Stock analysis
Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (PNE) currently trades at C$0.5350, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.7400, implying the stock looks roughly 27.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of C$0.6200 per share, and 6 of the 11 models we run sit above the C$0.5350 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at C$0.2600, and 5 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: C$0.3400 (bear) to C$1.04 (bull), the price of C$0.5350 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Pine Cliff Energy Ltd reported revenue of C$164M in FY2025 versus C$168M in FY2021, a compound −0.6%/yr. Reported net income was −C$12.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap C$192M (≈ $135M) · P/S ratio 1.27 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0200 · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin −7.4% · Return on equity −27.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.5% · Operating margin −2.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 38%, PNE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$0.3400Fair Value C$0.7400Bull C$1.04
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−16.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.6% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−33.9% (2020) → −12.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 296 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Below median
Fair Value upside+38.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−3.5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−6.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−2.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−6.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.05× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pine Cliff Energy Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PNE
Frequently asked questions
Is Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (PNE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.7400 versus a price of C$0.5350, about +38% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PNE?
Our model-based fair value for Pine Cliff Energy Ltd is C$0.7400 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.5350.
What is the quality score of PNE?
Pine Cliff Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (PNE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.7400 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.3400, optimistic scenario C$1.04. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Pine Cliff Energy Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.7400, about +38% upside versus a price of C$0.5350 (undervalued). Cautious scenario C$0.3400, optimistic scenario C$1.04. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (PNE)?
Pine Cliff Energy Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$161M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Pine Cliff Energy Ltd pay a dividend?
Pine Cliff Energy Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.24% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (PNE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Pine Cliff Energy Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +15.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.8 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PNE use?
Our models discount Pine Cliff Energy Ltd at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.01, country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Pine Cliff Energy Ltd that is +15.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (PNE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Pine Cliff Energy Ltd grew +8.8 % a year. The price currently implies +15.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (PNE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (+15.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (PNE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.13 %: that much free cash flow Pine Cliff Energy Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (PNE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Pine Cliff Energy Ltd it is C$0.7400 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of C$0.5350. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Pine Cliff Energy Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, PNE trades below its calculated fair value: price C$0.5350, fair value C$0.7400, a gap of about +38% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PNE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.5350); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.7400). For Pine Cliff Energy Ltd the two are C$0.2050 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Pine Cliff Energy Ltd worth?
The market values Pine Cliff Energy Ltd at about C$192M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is C$0.5350; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.7400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PNE?
Our models span a range for Pine Cliff Energy Ltd: cautious scenario C$0.3400, base C$0.7400, optimistic C$1.04 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price C$0.5350). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (PNE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −27.5%, debt of 1.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PNE from its 52-week high?
Pine Cliff Energy Ltd trades at C$0.5350, about 41% below its 52-week high of C$0.9008 and 5% above the low of C$0.5100 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.7400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Pine Cliff Energy Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Pine Cliff Energy Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price C$0.5350, calculated fair value C$0.7400 (+38%), Quality Score 36/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PNE calculated?
We run Pine Cliff Energy Ltd through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.7400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Pine Cliff Energy Ltd currently trades 38 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (PNE)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was C$0.5350. Our model-based fair value is C$0.7400, about +38% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Pine Cliff Energy Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide (C$0.3400 to C$1.04). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Pine Cliff Energy Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (PNE)?
The market capitalisation of Pine Cliff Energy Ltd is C$192M (≈ $135M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (PNE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Pine Cliff Energy Ltd is 1.27 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (PNE)?
Earnings per share at Pine Cliff Energy Ltd are C$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (PNE)?
The dividend yield of Pine Cliff Energy Ltd is 2.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (PNE)?
The net margin of Pine Cliff Energy Ltd is −7.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (PNE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Pine Cliff Energy Ltd is −27.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (PNE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Pine Cliff Energy Ltd is 5.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (PNE)?
The operating margin of Pine Cliff Energy Ltd is −2.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (PNE)?
Revenue at Pine Cliff Energy Ltd is growing −6.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −19.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (PNE)?
Earnings per share at Pine Cliff Energy Ltd are growing −96.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Pine Cliff Energy Ltd (PNE) carry?
The net debt of Pine Cliff Energy Ltd is C$39.9M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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