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PT PINAGO UTAMA Tbk (PNGO) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 2.7T IDR

PP PT PINAGO UTAMA Tbk PNGO · JK
Price3,560 IDR
Fair Value5,662 IDR
Upside+59.0%
Quality77/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Wide moat 67/100
Evidence: High Range 4,137 IDR – 7,139 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from 8,210 IDR to 5,662 IDR (−31.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +3.2% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 59% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (77/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (4,137 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

3,900 IDR 738.51 IDR Fair Value 5,662 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 738.51 IDR – 3,900 IDR · fair‑value band 4,137 IDR – 7,139 IDR · the 3,560 IDR price screens below the 5,662 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

PT PINAGO UTAMA Tbk (PNGO) currently trades at 3,560 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5,662 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 59.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT PINAGO UTAMA Tbk generated revenue of 2.2T IDR at a net margin of 12.7%. Revenue declined 21.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.0%. Net debt stands at 279B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 4,137 IDR (bear case) to 7,139 IDR (bull case); at 3,560 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 119% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at 59%, PNGO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 6,213 IDR 8,790 IDR 12,455 IDR 80
Residual Income 2,792 IDR 3,677 IDR 20,312 IDR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 3,968 IDR 5,649 IDR 7,447 IDR 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 5,993 IDR 8,706 IDR 12,712 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 3,654 IDR 5,313 IDR 7,762 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 3,968 IDR 5,555 IDR 7,456 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 5,724 IDR 8,641 IDR 11,851 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 5,757 IDR 8,699 IDR 11,584 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 4,559 IDR 6,121 IDR 7,954 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 5,768 IDR 8,241 IDR 11,196 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 5,789 IDR 8,282 IDR 10,999 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 2,799 IDR 6,054 IDR 7,699 IDR 54
PEG = 1.0 942.35 IDR 1,346 IDR 1,750 IDR 46
EPV 4,493 IDR 5,291 IDR 6,001 IDR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1,645 IDR 2,625 IDR 3,755 IDR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 1,645 IDR 2,415 IDR 3,326 IDR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 6,484 IDR 8,645 IDR 10,807 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 3,539 IDR 4,718 IDR 5,898 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 5,249 IDR 6,999 IDR 8,748 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 7,281 IDR 9,718 IDR 12,154 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 6,396 IDR 8,538 IDR 10,680 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 3,067 IDR 4,394 IDR 5,721 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 746.70 IDR 1,001 IDR 1,493 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 6,213 IDR 8,790 IDR 12,455 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 3,968 IDR 5,649 IDR 7,447 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 2,792 IDR 3,677 IDR 20,312 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 4,647 IDR 5,676 IDR 6,745 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 4,796 IDR 6,851 IDR 8,907 IDR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (8,241 IDR) versus Asset-Based (1,001 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.2T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) -21.0%
Net margin 12.7%
Return on equity 25.0%
Free cash flow 426B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 9.8
More key figures
Operating margin 9.0%
EPS (TTM) 350.87 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) -54.7%
Net debt 279B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 77/100

Of which business quality 77 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 84
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 83
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 56
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT PINAGO UTAMA Tbk is involved in the oil palm and rubber plantation business in Indonesia. It also engages in organic fertilizer and karet business. The company was founded in 1979 and is based in Jakarta Utara, Indonesia. As of May 4, 2026, PT PINAGO UTAMA Tbk operates as a subsidiary of AEP Plantations Plc.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT PINAGO UTAMA Tbk reported revenue of 2.3T IDR in FY2025 versus 2.1T IDR in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was 322B IDR in FY2025, compounding +14.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 88/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.3T IDR
Latest YoY
+12.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.8%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.8%
Revenue +2.5%/yr
FY21 2.1T IDR
FY22 2.0T IDR
FY23 2.0T IDR
FY24 2.0T IDR
FY25 2.3T IDR
Net income +14.4%/yr
FY21 188B IDR
FY22 173B IDR
FY23 191B IDR
FY24 220B IDR
FY25 322B IDR

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PT PINAGO UTAMA Tbk · Fair Value
5,662 IDR +59%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT PINAGO UTAMA Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PNGO

Peer Group

Farm Products · 288 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +59% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Return on assets 14% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth -21% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.31× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.25× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.1× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 25
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 100 · sector 17
HEALTH 96 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.90 ¥48.19 +18%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 -17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 188.40 kr 262.59 +39%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,120 IDR 7,076 IDR +127%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.00 THB 55.71 THB +153%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,540 IDR 3,105 IDR +102%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,300 IDR 7,463 IDR +2%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,070 IDR 7,231 IDR +249%
Thaifoods Group TFGR 10.60 THB 23.53 THB +122%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,845 IDR 610.80 IDR -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT PINAGO UTAMA Tbk (PNGO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5,662 IDR versus a price of 3,560 IDR, about +59% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PNGO?
Our model-based fair value for PT PINAGO UTAMA Tbk is 5,662 IDR (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 3,560 IDR.
What is the quality score of PNGO?
PT PINAGO UTAMA Tbk has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT PINAGO UTAMA Tbk (PNGO)?
PT PINAGO UTAMA Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.2T IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PNGO?
The net profit margin of PT PINAGO UTAMA Tbk is about 12.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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