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Pacific Nickel Mines Limited (PNM) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$10.1M

PN Pacific Nickel Mines Limited PNM · AU
PriceA$0.0240
Fair ValueA$0.0233
Upside-2.9%
Quality28/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -39.6% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0208 – A$0.0259 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 30 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from A$0.0234 to A$0.0233 (−0.3%) since Jun 26, 2026.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.1450 A$0.0210 Fair Value A$0.0233 Nov 2020 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0210 – A$0.1450 · fair‑value band A$0.0208 – A$0.0259 · the A$0.0240 price screens above the A$0.0233 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

Pacific Nickel Mines Limited (PNM) currently trades at A$0.0240, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0233, implying the stock looks roughly 2.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Pacific Nickel Mines Limited generated revenue of A$9.0M at a net margin of -39.6%. Revenue declined 63.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -96.6%. Net debt stands at A$49.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.0208 (bear case) to A$0.0259 (bull case); at A$0.0240, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -3%, PNM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$9.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) -63.3%
Net margin -39.6%
Return on equity -96.6%
Free cash flow −A$8.9M FY2025
Operating margin -176%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) A$-0.0300
Net debt A$49.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 0
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 34
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Pacific Nickel Mines Limited engages in the mineral exploration and development business in Australia. It explores for nickel deposits. The company's principal properties include the Jejevo and Kolosori nickel projects located on Santa Isabel Island.

Full company description

Pacific Nickel Mines Limited engages in the mineral exploration and development business in Australia. It explores for nickel deposits. The company's principal properties include the Jejevo and Kolosori nickel projects located on Santa Isabel Island. The company was formerly known as Malachite Resources Limited and changed its name to Pacific Nickel Mines Limited in November 2020. Pacific Nickel Mines Limited was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Sydney, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Pacific Nickel Mines Limited reported revenue of A$9.0M in FY2025 versus A$2.5K in FY2021, a compound +676.8%/yr. Reported net income was −A$3.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$9.0M
Latest YoY
−24.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+960.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+304.4%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+54.9%
Revenue +676.8%/yr
FY21 A$2.5K
FY22 A$7.5K
FY23 A$14.5K
FY24 A$11.9M
FY25 A$9.0M
Net income
FY21 −A$2.4M
FY22 −A$772K
FY23 −A$854K
FY24 −A$14.4M
FY25 −A$3.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pacific Nickel Mines Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PNM

Peer Group

Gold · 259 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −17% · Above median
Return on assets -10% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -40% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -176% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -63% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.97× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.47× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.79× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 11 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 100
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 2 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEMCL $112.00 $132.73 +19%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥28.36 ¥30.58 +8%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM C$191.93 C$154.33 -20%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $34.93 $50.66 +45%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM C$152.57 C$52.47 -66%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV C$284.75 C$97.76 -66%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $76.35 $88.63 +16%
Gold Fields Limited GFI $33.33 $59.06 +77%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $22.57 $34.62 +53%
Northern Star Resources Limited NST A$20.48 A$15.98 -22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Pacific Nickel Mines Limited (PNM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0233 versus a price of A$0.0240, about −3% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of PNM?
Our model-based fair value for Pacific Nickel Mines Limited is A$0.0233 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0240.
What is the quality score of PNM?
Pacific Nickel Mines Limited has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Pacific Nickel Mines Limited (PNM)?
Pacific Nickel Mines Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$9.0M (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PNM?
The net profit margin of Pacific Nickel Mines Limited is about -39.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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