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Petronor E&P Ltd (PNOR) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · NO · Market cap 1.5B NOK

PE Petronor E&P Ltd PNOR · OL
Pricekr 11.38
Fair Valuekr 6.69
Upside-41.2%
Quality66/100
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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)

Risks

!Trades 41% ABOVE our fair value of kr 6.69
!Expensive Growth
!Thin margins · 3.2% net margin
!Moderate moat 56/100
Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 3.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 56/100
Evidence: Medium Range kr 5.88 – kr 8.36 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 21, 2026, revised from kr 0.8600 to kr 6.69 (+677.9%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +5.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 41% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 8.36). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 14.81 kr 3.75 Fair Value kr 6.69 Feb 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

54‑month range kr 3.75 – kr 14.81 · fair‑value band kr 5.88 – kr 8.36 · the kr 11.38 price screens above the kr 6.69 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Petronor E&P Ltd (PNOR) currently trades at kr 11.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 6.69, implying the stock looks roughly 41.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Petronor E&P Ltd generated revenue of 80.7M NOK at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue declined 17.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 40.7M NOK. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 5.88 (bear case) to kr 8.36 (bull case); at kr 11.38, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -41%, PNOR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 2.85 kr 3.50 kr 4.55 80
Residual Income kr 0.7600 kr 0.7600 kr 0.6900 76
Rev-Margin DCF kr 1.70 kr 2.01 kr 2.40 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 2.77 kr 3.46 kr 4.65 38
Owner Earnings kr 0.9600 kr 1.13 kr 1.40 31
5Y Revenue Exit kr 1.70 kr 1.95 kr 2.31 39
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 2.43 kr 3.20 kr 4.23 41
5Y P/E Exit kr 1.70 kr 1.96 kr 2.27 38
10Y Revenue Exit kr 2.15 kr 2.38 kr 2.60 36
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 2.56 kr 3.10 kr 3.66 37
10Y P/E Exit kr 2.16 kr 2.38 kr 2.58 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 0.3500 kr 0.4600 kr 0.5400 54
EPV kr 1.60 kr 1.76 kr 1.90 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 0.6300 kr 0.6800 kr 0.7500 70
DDM Multi-Stage kr 0.6300 kr 0.7600 kr 0.9300 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 0.5400 kr 0.7200 kr 0.9000 63
P/S Multiple kr 0.5300 kr 0.7000 kr 0.8800 58
P/B Multiple kr 0.6500 kr 0.8700 kr 1.09 55
EV/EBIT kr 2.64 kr 3.38 kr 4.13 53
EV/EBITDA kr 2.45 kr 3.12 kr 3.80 54
EV/Revenue kr 0.9000 kr 1.11 kr 1.32 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.5200 kr 0.7000 kr 1.04 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 2.85 kr 3.50 kr 4.55 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 1.70 kr 2.01 kr 2.40 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 0.7600 kr 0.7600 kr 0.6900 76
ROIC Compounder kr 1.61 kr 1.80 kr 2.00 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 0.3900 kr 0.5500 kr 0.7200 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 2.38) versus Earnings-Based (kr 0.4600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 80.7M NOK
Revenue growth (YoY) -17.3%
Net margin 3.2%
Return on equity 3.7%
Free cash flow 41.0M NOK FY2025
P/E ratio 49.5
More key figures
Operating margin 30.4%
EPS (TTM) kr 0.2300
EPS growth (YoY) -66.7%
Net cash 40.7M NOK FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 89
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 34
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 61
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PetroNor E&P ASA operates as an independent oil and gas exploration and production company in the Republic of Congo, the Gambia, and Nigeria. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Oslo, Norway.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Petronor E&P Ltd reported revenue of kr 83.1M in FY2025 versus kr 106M in FY2021, a compound −6.0%/yr. Reported net income was kr 7.3M in FY2025, compounding −12.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
83.1M NOK
Latest YoY
−59.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−17.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.8%
Revenue −6.0%/yr
FY21 kr 106M
FY22 kr 146M
FY23 kr 187M
FY24 kr 205M
FY25 kr 83.1M
Net income −12.3%/yr
FY21 kr 12.3M
FY22 kr 27.0M
FY23 kr 67.8M
FY24 kr 33.6M
FY25 kr 7.3M

PNOR screens 41% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Petronor E&P Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PNOR

Peer Group

Oil & Gas E&P · 328 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −41% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Above median
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 30% · Above median
Revenue growth -17% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 49.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.06× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.93× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 3.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 13
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST15 · sector 0
HEALTH100 · sector 88
DIVIDEND0 · sector 57

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 600938 ¥32.85 ¥32.55 -1%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $126.78 $90.15 -29%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ C$66.38 C$44.23 -33%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $143.14 $130.19 -9%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $58.55 $30.06 -49%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $210.02 $105.24 -50%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $44.86 $27.06 -40%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$32.55 A$20.71 -36%
EQT Corporation EQT $54.06 $42.85 -21%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $342.77 $77.26 -77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Petronor E&P Ltd (PNOR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 6.69 versus a price of kr 11.38, about −41% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PNOR?
Our model-based fair value for Petronor E&P Ltd is kr 6.69 (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 11.38.
What is the quality score of PNOR?
Petronor E&P Ltd has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Petronor E&P Ltd (PNOR)?
Petronor E&P Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 80.7M NOK (latest available figure, as of Aug 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PNOR?
The net profit margin of Petronor E&P Ltd is about 3.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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