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Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT (POSA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jul 17, 2026: fair value of Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT IDR 22, price IDR 50, upside -56.7%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT
POSA · JKWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value 21.64 IDR · Strongly overvalued (−56.7%)
!Quality 41/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −2.3 %/yr)
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/5)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 50.00 IDR – 50.00 IDR · fair‑value band 19.34 IDR – 23.77 IDR · the 50.00 IDR price screens above the 21.64 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
PT Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the property business in Indonesia. The company operates shopping centers, hotels, and other facilities; and offers mall management and property services. It also engages in trading and investment activities.
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PT Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the property business in Indonesia. The company operates shopping centers, hotels, and other facilities; and offers mall management and property services. It also engages in trading and investment activities. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia. PT Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Bintang Baja Hitam.
Stock analysis
Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT (POSA) currently trades at 50.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 21.64 IDR, 56.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 21.74 IDR per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the 50.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 6.76 IDR, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 19.34 IDR (bear) to 23.77 IDR (bull), the price of 50.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT reported revenue of 53.0B IDR in FY2025 versus 53.8B IDR in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was −121B IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 419B IDR (≈ $23.4M) · P/S ratio 7.17 · EPS (TTM) −21.07 IDR · Net margin −218% · Return on equity −1,105% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.8% · Operating margin −73.9% · Revenue (TTM) 58.5B IDR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −57%, POSA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 19.34 IDR
Fair Value 21.64 IDR
Bull 23.77 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
28.12 IDR
38.15 IDR
56.15 IDR
80
Growth DCF
29.28 IDR
38.94 IDR
54.95 IDR
79
5Y Revenue Exit
13.98 IDR
16.44 IDR
19.94 IDR
74
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
28.12 IDR
38.15 IDR
56.15 IDR
80
5Y Revenue Exit
13.98 IDR
16.44 IDR
19.94 IDR
74
10Y Revenue Exit
19.42 IDR
21.74 IDR
23.88 IDR
68
Multiples
EV/Revenue
4.94 IDR
6.76 IDR
8.58 IDR
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
29.28 IDR
38.94 IDR
54.95 IDR
79
Rev-Margin DCF
13.98 IDR
17.10 IDR
21.31 IDR
74
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
41/100
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Profitability
0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
1
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.1% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
’15
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’18
’19
’20
’21
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’23
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’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−47.1% (2020) → −71.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+63.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +59.3% a year for the price.
POSA screens overvalued: fair value 57% below the price. Compare with Vingroup Joint Stock Company →
Compare Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 529 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Real Estate sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Real Estate
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC | 232,000 VND | 25,731 VND | −89% |
| CBRE Group CBRE | $134.55 | $91.06 | −32% |
| KE Holdings 2423 | HK$42.92 | HK$17.16 | −60% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$24.32 | HK$13.39 | −45% |
| Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX | €23.99 | €23.94 | +0% |
| Vonovia SE VNA | €16.82 | €36.55 | +117% |
| Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL | $308.07 | $540.65 | +75% |
| Wharf Real Estate Investment Company 1997 | HK$30.54 | HK$27.42 | −10% |
| CoStar Group CSGP | $26.95 | $6.19 | −77% |
| China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 | HK$37.00 | HK$56.36 | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT (POSA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 21.64 IDR versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of 50.00 IDR, about −57% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of POSA?
Our model-based fair value for Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT is 21.64 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 17, 2026): 50.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of POSA?
Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT (POSA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 21.64 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 19.34 IDR, optimistic scenario 23.77 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 21.64 IDR, about −57% upside versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of 50.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 19.34 IDR, optimistic scenario 23.77 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT (POSA)?
Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 58.5B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT (POSA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT would have to grow free cash flow by +63.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -2.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of POSA use?
Our models discount Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.15, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT that is +63.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT (POSA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT grew -2.3 % a year. The price currently implies +63.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT (POSA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT (+63.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT (POSA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.05 %: that much free cash flow Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT (POSA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT it is 21.64 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 50.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, POSA trades above its calculated fair value: price 50.00 IDR, fair value 21.64 IDR, a gap of about −57% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of POSA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (50.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (21.64 IDR). For Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT the two are 28.36 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT worth?
The market values Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT at about 419B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 50.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 21.64 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about POSA?
Our models span a range for Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT: cautious scenario 19.34 IDR, base 21.64 IDR, optimistic 23.77 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 50.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT (POSA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT (as of Sep 24, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is POSA from its 52-week high?
Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT trades at 50.00 IDR, at its 52-week high of 50.00 IDR and at the low of 50.00 IDR (as of Jul 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 21.64 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 50.00 IDR, calculated fair value 21.64 IDR (−57%), Quality Score 41/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of POSA calculated?
We run Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 21.64 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT (POSA)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 17, 2026 and stands at 50.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 21.64 IDR, about −57% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (23.77 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT
How large is the market capitalisation of Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT (POSA)?
The market capitalisation of Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT is 419B IDR (≈ $23.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT (POSA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT is 7.17 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT (POSA)?
Earnings per share at Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT are −21.07 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT (POSA)?
The net margin of Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT is −218% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT (POSA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT is −1,105% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT (POSA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT is −4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT (POSA)?
The operating margin of Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT is −73.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT (POSA)?
Revenue at Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT is growing −6.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT (POSA) carry?
The net debt of Bliss Properti Indonesia Tbk PT is 582B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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