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Prospector Metals Corp (PPP) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Prospector Metals Corp C$0.23, price C$0.80, upside -71.3%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · CA · ISIN CA74359L1058

PM Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Prospector Metals Corp

PPP · V

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value C$0.2295 · Strongly overvalued (−71.3%)
!Quality 36/100
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/8)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$4.05 C$0.0900 Fair Value C$0.2295 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.0900 – C$4.05 · fair‑value band C$0.1530 – C$0.2890 · the C$0.8000 price screens above the C$0.2295 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Prospector Metals Corp. engages in the identification, exploration, and development of mineral properties. The company explores for gold, silver, vanadium, and copper deposits. Its flagship project is the Mike Lake (ML) project covering an area of 4,757 hectares located in the Dawson City, Yukon. The company was formerly known as Ethos Gold Corp.

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Prospector Metals Corp. engages in the identification, exploration, and development of mineral properties. The company explores for gold, silver, vanadium, and copper deposits. Its flagship project is the Mike Lake (ML) project covering an area of 4,757 hectares located in the Dawson City, Yukon. The company was formerly known as Ethos Gold Corp. and changed its name to Prospector Metals Corp. in April 2022. Prospector Metals Corp. was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

Stock analysis

Prospector Metals Corp (PPP) currently trades at C$0.8000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.2295, implying the stock looks roughly 248.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: C$0.1530 (bear) to C$0.2890 (bull), the price of C$0.8000 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Prospector Metals Corp reported revenue of C$0 in FY2026 versus C$0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −C$5.2M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap C$144M (≈ $102M) · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0900 · Return on equity −37.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −46.5% · Free cash flow −C$5.9M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 229% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −71%, PPP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.1530 Fair Value C$0.2295 Bull C$0.2890
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) C$0.1500 C$0.2000 C$0.3000 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.1500 C$0.2000 C$0.3000 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 14
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

PPP screens 249% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →

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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 226 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Above median
Fair Value upside −71.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −26.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.12× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEM $121.43 $133.57 +10%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥30.01 ¥44.45 +48%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $194.48 $219.71 +13%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM $142.92 $87.78 −39%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $257.87 $283.66 +10%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $99.03 $88.60 −11%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $25.05 $51.30 +105%
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $252.49 $277.74 +10%
Shandong Gold Mining Co 600547 ¥29.07 ¥23.61 −19%
Pan American Silver Corp PAAS $48.04 $59.13 +23%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Prospector Metals Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PPP

Frequently asked questions

Is Prospector Metals Corp (PPP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.2295 versus a price of C$0.8000, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PPP?
Our model-based fair value for Prospector Metals Corp is C$0.2295 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.8000.
What is the quality score of PPP?
Prospector Metals Corp has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Prospector Metals Corp (PPP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.2295 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.1530, optimistic scenario C$0.2890. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Prospector Metals Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.2295, about −71% upside versus a price of C$0.8000 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.1530, optimistic scenario C$0.2890. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Prospector Metals Corp (PPP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Prospector Metals Corp it is C$0.2295 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of C$0.8000. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Prospector Metals Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, PPP trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.8000, fair value C$0.2295, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PPP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.8000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.2295). For Prospector Metals Corp the two are C$0.5705 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Prospector Metals Corp worth?
The market values Prospector Metals Corp at about C$144M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is C$0.8000; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.2295 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PPP?
Our models span a range for Prospector Metals Corp: cautious scenario C$0.1530, base C$0.2295, optimistic C$0.2890 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price C$0.8000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Prospector Metals Corp (PPP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Prospector Metals Corp (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −37.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PPP from its 52-week high?
Prospector Metals Corp trades at C$0.8000, about 51% below its 52-week high of C$1.62 and 229% above the low of C$0.2430 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.2295 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Prospector Metals Corp?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Prospector Metals Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price C$0.8000, calculated fair value C$0.2295 (−71%), Quality Score 36/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PPP calculated?
We run Prospector Metals Corp through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.2295, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Prospector Metals Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Prospector Metals Corp (PPP)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was C$0.8000. Our model-based fair value is C$0.2295, about −71% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Prospector Metals Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.2890). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (C$0.1530 to C$0.2890) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Prospector Metals Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Prospector Metals Corp (PPP)?
The market capitalisation of Prospector Metals Corp is C$144M (≈ $102M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Prospector Metals Corp (PPP)?
Earnings per share at Prospector Metals Corp are C$−0.0900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Prospector Metals Corp (PPP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Prospector Metals Corp is −37.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Prospector Metals Corp (PPP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Prospector Metals Corp is −46.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Prospector Metals Corp (PPP) generate?
The free cash flow of Prospector Metals Corp is −C$5.9M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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