PT Paperocks Indonesia Tbk (PPRI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · ID · Market cap 161B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from 55.13 IDR to 54.21 IDR (−1.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +2.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 63% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (67.43 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
36‑month range 59.70 IDR – 510.00 IDR · fair‑value band 37.54 IDR – 67.43 IDR · the 148.00 IDR price screens above the 54.21 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
PT Paperocks Indonesia Tbk (PPRI) currently trades at 148.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 54.21 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 63.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Paperocks Indonesia Tbk generated revenue of 145B IDR at a net margin of 1.6%. Revenue declined 22.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.4%. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 37.54 IDR (bear case) to 67.43 IDR (bull case); at 148.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -63%, PPRI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (63.89 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (16.85 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Paperocks Indonesia Tbk engages in the manufacture and sale of food-grade paper packaging for restaurants, cafes, bakeries, hotels, and other food businesses in Indonesia.
Full company description
PT Paperocks Indonesia Tbk engages in the manufacture and sale of food-grade paper packaging for restaurants, cafes, bakeries, hotels, and other food businesses in Indonesia. The company offers paper cups, plastic cups, paper wraps, paper bowls, rice bowls, snack boxes, soup cups, paper boxes, rice/burger wraps, lunch boxes, ice cream cups, hot paper cups, cold paper cups, and paper bags. It exports its products to approximately 20 countries. PT Paperocks Indonesia Tbk was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Bekasi, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Paperocks Indonesia Tbk reported revenue of 155B IDR in FY2025 versus 99.4B IDR in FY2022, a compound +15.9%/yr. Reported net income was 3.0B IDR in FY2025, compounding +0.1%/yr from FY2022.
PPRI screens 63% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →
Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 101.90 | kr 126.39 | +24% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥29.10 | ¥20.88 | -28% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 29.00 THB | 16.12 THB | -44% |
| AblePrint Technology Co 7734 | 2,850 TWD | 661.69 TWD | -77% |
| PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW | 5,312 IDR | 1,194 IDR | -78% |
| Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 | 132.50 TWD | 127.06 TWD | -4% |
| Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO | ₹206.82 | ₹161.42 | -22% |
| EPL Limited 500135 | ₹222.25 | ₹111.65 | -50% |
| Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 | 15.15 TWD | 23.17 TWD | +53% |
| Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 | 19,330 KRW | 31,473 KRW | +63% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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