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Prudential Sugar Corporation Ltd. (PRUDMOULI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹484M

PS Prudential Sugar Corporation Ltd. PRUDMOULI · NSE
Price₹13.81
Fair Value₹32.33
Upside+134.1%
Quality49/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: High Range ₹24.37 – ₹40.61 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹30.89 to ₹32.33 (+4.7%) since Aug 8, 2026. Share price +2.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 134% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹24.37). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

₹75.83 ₹11.26 Fair Value ₹32.33 Dec 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

32‑month range ₹11.26 – ₹75.83 · fair‑value band ₹24.37 – ₹40.61 · the ₹13.81 price screens below the ₹32.33 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Prudential Sugar Corporation Ltd. (PRUDMOULI) currently trades at ₹13.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹32.33, implying the stock looks roughly 134.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Net debt stands at ₹457M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 7.4. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹24.37 (bear case) to ₹40.61 (bull case); at ₹13.81, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 72% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -37% fair-value upside, at 134%, PRUDMOULI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth-Adj P/E ₹22.63 ₹32.33 ₹42.03 68
P/E Multiple ₹30.10 ₹40.14 ₹50.17 63
Residual Income ₹26.57 ₹26.33 ₹23.62 61
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
5Y P/E Exit ₹5.42 ₹17.39 ₹29.35 38
10Y P/E Exit ₹0.1500 ₹8.52 ₹17.99 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹13.00 ₹29.82 ₹38.26 54
PEG = 1.0 ₹4.99 ₹7.13 ₹9.27 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹30.10 ₹40.14 ₹50.17 63
P/S Multiple ₹24.37 ₹32.49 ₹40.61 58
P/B Multiple ₹24.37 ₹32.49 ₹40.61 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹18.33 ₹24.56 ₹36.66 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹26.57 ₹26.33 ₹23.62 61
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹22.63 ₹32.33 ₹42.03 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (₹32.49) versus Earnings-Based (₹7.13). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).

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Key figures & financial health

Free cash flow ₹19.8M FY2026
P/E ratio 7.4
EPS (TTM) ₹1.86
Net debt ₹457M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 28
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Prudential Sugar Corporation Ltd. owns and operates sugar mills. Prudential Sugar Corporation Ltd. is based in Chittoor, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Prudential Sugar Corporation Ltd. reported revenue of ₹913M in FY2026 versus ₹532M in FY2022, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹61.6M in FY2026, compounding +24.9%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 47/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹913M
Latest YoY
−1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.2%
Revenue +14.4%/yr
FY22 ₹532M
FY23 ₹807M
FY24 ₹1.0B
FY25 ₹924M
FY26 ₹913M
Net income +24.9%/yr
FY22 ₹25.3M
FY23 ₹47.3M
FY24 ₹62.6M
FY25 ₹57.4M
FY26 ₹61.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Prudential Sugar Corporation Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PRUDMOULI

Peer Group

Confectioners · 78 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Above median
Fair Value upside +134% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.34× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 3.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 24
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 21
HEALTH 83 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 59

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN CHF 94,500 CHF 9,669 -90%
Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ $61.78 $27.36 -56%
The Hershey Company HSY $184.23 $91.25 -50%
Barry Callebaut AG BARN CHF 1,136 CHF 711.91 -37%
ORION Corp 271560 132,800 KRW 203,315 KRW +53%
Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 ¥20.48 ¥9.09 -56%
Cloetta AB CLAB kr 54.85 kr 59.12 +8%
Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN ₹604.70 ₹304.54 -50%
PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI 1,295 IDR 1,140 IDR -12%
ORION Holdings 001800 26,850 KRW 42,237 KRW +57%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Prudential Sugar Corporation Ltd. (PRUDMOULI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹32.33 versus a price of ₹13.81, about +134% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PRUDMOULI?
Our model-based fair value for Prudential Sugar Corporation Ltd. is ₹32.33 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹13.81.
What is the quality score of PRUDMOULI?
Prudential Sugar Corporation Ltd. has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of PRUDMOULI?
The net profit margin of Prudential Sugar Corporation Ltd. is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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