PSI Software SE (PSAN) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · DE · Market cap €710M
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated today
Share price −0.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 90% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€6.91). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (€2.15 to €6.91). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €18.58 – €47.44 · fair‑value band €2.15 – €6.91 · the €45.00 price screens above the €4.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
PSI Software SE (PSAN) currently trades at €45.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €4.53, implying the stock looks roughly 89.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, PSI Software SE generated revenue of €287M at a net margin of -8.1%. Revenue grew 8.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -29.2%. Net debt stands at €53.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €2.15 (bear case) to €6.91 (bull case); at €45.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 88% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -90%, PSAN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€9.07) versus Asset-Based (€2.89). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PSI Software SE develops and integrates software solutions and products. It operates through Grid & Energy Management; Process Industries & Metals; Discrete Manufacturing; and Logistics segments.
Full company description
PSI Software SE develops and integrates software solutions and products. It operates through Grid & Energy Management; Process Industries & Metals; Discrete Manufacturing; and Logistics segments. The company offers Software solutions for production management, supply chain management, advanced planning & scheduling, and manufacturing execution systems; logistics software; and energy control system. It also provides PSIairport, a software for passenger and baggage handling; PSIasm/Qualicision, a planning and monitoring software; PSIcarlos, an operations planning system; PSIcds, a commercial dispatching system; PSIcommand, a tool for operating and servicing the grid infrastructure; PSIconnect, a platform for grid digitalization; PSIcontrol, a Control system for monitoring, controlling and simulating; PSIcontrol/Gas, network control system; PSIdeepqualicision AI, a value-adding process data analysis; PSIganesi/Online, simulation and monitoring of gas flows; and PSIganesi/Studio, a simulation of flow states. In addition, the company offers PSIgasguide, for maintaining network and determine optimal operating modes; PSIglobal, a supply chain network design; PSIgridmobile for Digitalization of the field service; PSImarket, a software for energy trade and sales; PSImetals, a Production management solutions; PSIngo, a Grid Operator; PSIpipelines for pipeline operations; PSIprins for optimal management across the energy grids; PSIqualicision AI, for multicriteria decision support and optimization; PSIqualicision/ODS for cloud-based online decision support and optimization; PSIrwin, software for the inspection and calibration; PSIsiu for Configuration management; PSIsmartcharging for preparing grid; PSItms for transport optimization; PSIwms, a warehouse management software; and TS-Energy, a software application for power plant. The company also offers its products through its app store. PSI Software SE was founded in 1969 and is based in Berlin, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PSI Software SE reported revenue of €286M in FY2025 versus €248M in FY2021, a compound +3.5%/yr. Reported net income was −€31.6M in FY2025.
PSAN screens 90% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 713 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.46 | C$16.26 | +30% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$209.78 | C$28.76 | -86% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $75.36 | $43.66 | -42% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $193.32 | $249.28 | +29% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $124.94 | $43.73 | -65% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $323.13 | $112.57 | -65% |
| Beijing Kingsoft Office Software, Inc 688111 | ¥254.50 | ¥81.23 | -68% |
| Tata Elxsi Limited TATAELXSI | ₹3,712 | ₹2,519 | -32% |
| Douzone Bizon Co 012510 | 120,000 KRW | 92,181 KRW | -23% |
| KFin Technologies Limited KFINTECH | ₹922.00 | ₹556.85 | -40% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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