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PSG Corporation Public Company Limited (PSGC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of PSG Corporation Public Company Limited THB 3.56, price THB 5.20, upside -31.5%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · TH · ISIN TH0922B10Z07

PC Thin data Sep 24, 2026

PSG Corporation Public Company Limited

PSGC · BK

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value 3.56 THB · Overvalued (−32%)
!Quality 52/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +37.2 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 11.4% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
!Moderate moat 49/100
!Insider activity 45/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

47.01 THB 1.75 THB Fair Value 3.56 THB Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.75 THB – 47.01 THB · fair‑value band 1.90 THB – 4.45 THB · the 5.20 THB price screens above the 3.56 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PSG Corporation Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiary, engages in turnkey engineering procurement construction (EPC) and large-scale construction projects in Thailand and the Lao People's Democratic Republic.

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PSG Corporation Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiary, engages in turnkey engineering procurement construction (EPC) and large-scale construction projects in Thailand and the Lao People's Democratic Republic. The company offers construction services for projects, such as civil engineering, industrial construction, superstructure, installation, and mechanical and electrical engineering projects, as well as roads, infrastructure, and other projects. Its construction portfolio also includes medium to large-scale projects, including factory buildings, warehouses, office buildings, shopping malls, commercial buildings, residential buildings, condominiums, hospitals, and utilities and machinery installation. In addition, the company offers operations and maintenance services for the mining sector; and engages in the natural resource and energy businesses. It serves government agencies and private companies. The company was formerly known as T Engineering Corporation Public Company Limited and changed its name to PSG Corporation Public Company Limited in October 2021. PSG Corporation Public Company Limited was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Stock analysis

PSG Corporation Public Company Limited (PSGC) currently trades at 5.20 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.56 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 46.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 7.76 THB per share, and 9 of the 24 models we run sit above the 5.20 THB price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 1.36 THB, and 15 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 1.90 THB (bear) to 4.45 THB (bull), the price of 5.20 THB sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

PSG Corporation Public Company Limited reported revenue of 2.7B THB in FY2025 versus 18.5M THB in FY2021, a compound +246.2%/yr. Reported net income was 377M THB in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 11.6B THB (≈ $347M) · P/E ratio 22.6 · P/S ratio 3.21 · EPS (TTM) 0.2300 THB · Net margin 14.2% · Return on equity 8.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 23.1% · Operating margin 9.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −32%, PSGC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1.90 THB Fair Value 3.56 THB Bull 4.45 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1689 THB per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 1.18 THB 1.32 THB 1.72 THB 75
Growth DCF 1.16 THB 1.36 THB 1.68 THB 72
Residual Income 1.70 THB 1.77 THB 1.83 THB 71
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1.18 THB 1.32 THB 1.72 THB 75
Owner Earnings 3.09 THB 5.45 THB 9.84 THB 66
5Y Revenue Exit 2.09 THB 3.24 THB 5.67 THB 63
5Y EBITDA Exit 3.09 THB 5.26 THB 9.52 THB 64
5Y P/E Exit 2.82 THB 5.75 THB 9.82 THB 61
10Y Revenue Exit 1.73 THB 3.31 THB 4.48 THB 59
10Y EBITDA Exit 2.45 THB 5.27 THB 10.45 THB 57
10Y P/E Exit 2.28 THB 4.74 THB 8.99 THB 54
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.15 THB 8.04 THB 11.29 THB 59
Lynch FV 4.16 THB 5.94 THB 7.72 THB 57
PEG = 1.0 4.16 THB 5.94 THB 7.72 THB 53
EPV 2.07 THB 2.23 THB 2.37 THB 70
Multiples
P/E Multiple 2.67 THB 3.56 THB 4.45 THB 63
P/S Multiple 1.79 THB 2.39 THB 2.98 THB 58
P/B Multiple 2.16 THB 2.88 THB 3.60 THB 55
EV/EBIT 4.67 THB 5.94 THB 7.20 THB 63
EV/EBITDA 3.94 THB 4.96 THB 5.97 THB 64
EV/Revenue 2.39 THB 3.03 THB 3.68 THB 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.09 THB 1.46 THB 2.18 THB 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1.16 THB 1.36 THB 1.68 THB 72
Rev-Margin DCF 2.23 THB 3.58 THB 6.36 THB 63
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.70 THB 1.77 THB 1.83 THB 71
ROIC Compounder 2.07 THB 2.31 THB 2.65 THB 66
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 5.43 THB 7.76 THB 10.09 THB 63

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 22
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−24.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in THB (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+67.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+67.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−325% → 25%
2025 sits 109% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+68.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +66.0% a year for the price.

PSGC screens 46% overvalued. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Above median
Fair Value upside −34% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 285% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.46× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.62× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 7.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.7× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)32 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $634.90 $163.08 −74%
Vinci SA DG €110.50 €185.62 +68%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,626 $1,122 −31%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,930 ₹1,994 −49%
Ferrovial N.V FER $56.30 $24.01 −57%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 256,792 KRW −30%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €397.00 €203.87 −49%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €92.75 €75.04 −19%
EMCOR Group EME $751.80 $521.87 −31%
MasTec, Inc MTZ $217.52 $106.05 −51%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PSG Corporation Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PSGC

Frequently asked questions

Is PSG Corporation Public Company Limited (PSGC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.56 THB versus a price of 5.20 THB, about −32% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PSGC?
Our model-based fair value for PSG Corporation Public Company Limited is 3.56 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 5.20 THB.
What is the quality score of PSGC?
PSG Corporation Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PSG Corporation Public Company Limited (PSGC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.56 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.90 THB, optimistic scenario 4.45 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PSG Corporation Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.56 THB, about −32% upside versus a price of 5.20 THB (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.90 THB, optimistic scenario 4.45 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PSG Corporation Public Company Limited (PSGC)?
PSG Corporation Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.6B THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into PSG Corporation Public Company Limited (PSGC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, PSG Corporation Public Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +68.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +246.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PSGC use?
Our models discount PSG Corporation Public Company Limited at 13.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For PSG Corporation Public Company Limited that is +68.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has PSG Corporation Public Company Limited (PSGC) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at PSG Corporation Public Company Limited grew +246.2 % a year. The price currently implies +68.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of PSG Corporation Public Company Limited (PSGC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into PSG Corporation Public Company Limited (+68.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of PSG Corporation Public Company Limited (PSGC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.40 %: that much free cash flow PSG Corporation Public Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of PSG Corporation Public Company Limited (PSGC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PSG Corporation Public Company Limited it is 3.56 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 5.20 THB. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PSG Corporation Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PSGC trades above its calculated fair value: price 5.20 THB, fair value 3.56 THB, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PSGC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (5.20 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.56 THB). For PSG Corporation Public Company Limited the two are 1.64 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PSG Corporation Public Company Limited worth?
The market values PSG Corporation Public Company Limited at about 11.6B THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 5.20 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 3.56 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PSGC?
Our models span a range for PSG Corporation Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 1.90 THB, base 3.56 THB, optimistic 4.45 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 5.20 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PSGC?
PSG Corporation Public Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 3.56 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.5, P/S 2.6, EV/EBITDA 11.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of PSG Corporation Public Company Limited (PSGC)?
Balance-sheet figures for PSG Corporation Public Company Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PSGC from its 52-week high?
PSG Corporation Public Company Limited trades at 5.20 THB, about 36% below its 52-week high of 8.16 THB and 17% above the low of 4.44 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.56 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PSG Corporation Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PSG Corporation Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 5.20 THB, calculated fair value 3.56 THB (−32%), Quality Score 52/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PSGC calculated?
We run PSG Corporation Public Company Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3.56 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. PSG Corporation Public Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PSG Corporation Public Company Limited (PSGC)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 5.20 THB. Our model-based fair value is 3.56 THB, about −32% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PSG Corporation Public Company Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4.45 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (1.90 THB to 4.45 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of PSG Corporation Public Company Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of PSG Corporation Public Company Limited (PSGC)?
The market capitalisation of PSG Corporation Public Company Limited is 11.6B THB (≈ $347M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PSG Corporation Public Company Limited (PSGC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PSG Corporation Public Company Limited is 3.21 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PSG Corporation Public Company Limited (PSGC)?
Earnings per share at PSG Corporation Public Company Limited are 0.2300 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of PSG Corporation Public Company Limited (PSGC)?
The net margin of PSG Corporation Public Company Limited is 14.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PSG Corporation Public Company Limited (PSGC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PSG Corporation Public Company Limited is 8.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PSG Corporation Public Company Limited (PSGC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PSG Corporation Public Company Limited is 23.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PSG Corporation Public Company Limited (PSGC)?
The operating margin of PSG Corporation Public Company Limited is 9.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PSG Corporation Public Company Limited (PSGC)?
Revenue at PSG Corporation Public Company Limited is growing +285% versus a year earlier (3y avg +37.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PSG Corporation Public Company Limited (PSGC)?
Earnings per share at PSG Corporation Public Company Limited are growing +145% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does PSG Corporation Public Company Limited (PSGC) hold?
PSG Corporation Public Company Limited holds more cash than debt, 1.7B THB net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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