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PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of PSP Swiss Property AG $64.84, price $169, upside -61.6%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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PS
Broad data
Sep 23, 2026
Broad data
Sep 23, 2026
PSP Swiss Property AG
PSPSF · USWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value $64.84 · Strongly overvalued (−61.6%)
!Quality 45/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.9 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 117.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓2.3% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 56/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $57.09 – $214.16 · fair‑value band $48.63 – $86.05 · the $168.65 price screens above the $64.84 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
Company profile
PSP Swiss Property AG, together with its subsidiaries, owns and manages real estate properties in Switzerland. The company operates through Real Estate Investments and Property Management segments.
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PSP Swiss Property AG, together with its subsidiaries, owns and manages real estate properties in Switzerland. The company operates through Real Estate Investments and Property Management segments. The Real Estate Investment segment includes investment properties, investment properties for sale, own-used properties, and development properties, as well as development projects for sale, and rents properties. The Property Management segment consists of services and activities regarding the management of own real estate portfolio. It owns a real estate portfolio of office and commercial properties. PSP Swiss Property AG was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Zug, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF) currently trades at $168.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $64.84, 61.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $127.66 per share, and 1 of the 8 models we run sit above the $168.65 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $19.59, and 7 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $48.63 (bear) to $86.05 (bull), the price of $168.65 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
PSP Swiss Property AG reported revenue of CHF 376M in FY2025 versus CHF 385M in FY2021, a compound −0.6%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 409M in FY2025, compounding −9.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $9.8B · P/E ratio 15.0 · P/S ratio 16.3 · EPS (TTM) $11.14 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 109% · Return on equity 7.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −62%, PSPSF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $48.63
Fair Value $64.84
Bull $86.05
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($5.44 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
n/a
n/a
$18.16
77
Residual Income
$120.92
$127.66
$139.54
76
Growth DCF
n/a
n/a
$16.19
75
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
n/a
n/a
$18.16
77
5Y Revenue Exit
n/a
n/a
$22.73
69
5Y EBITDA Exit
$0.2300
$40.05
$92.06
65
10Y Revenue Exit
n/a
n/a
$9.65
64
10Y EBITDA Exit
n/a
$19.59
$54.49
65
Multiples
P/S Multiple
$48.22
$64.30
$80.37
58
P/B Multiple
$137.12
$182.82
$228.53
55
EV/EBIT
$61.04
$105.66
$150.29
64
EV/EBITDA
$30.96
$65.57
$100.17
64
EV/Revenue
n/a
n/a
$17.17
50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$74.31
$99.58
$148.62
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
n/a
n/a
$16.19
75
Rev-Margin DCF
n/a
n/a
$20.07
69
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$120.92
$127.66
$139.54
76
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
45/100
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Profitability
36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
82
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.3% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.5%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−4.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6.5% vs 6.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.108% → 82%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+30.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+0.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CHF, Switzerland: IMF forecast 0.6% a year to 2030, 0.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +29.2% a year for the price and +0.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−5.5%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+2.7%
Projected 2028 (sales)+2.6%
Projected 2029 (sales)+2.5%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.4%
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (25 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
- PSP Swiss Property AG (WBO:PSPN) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Growth and ...
- We Think You Should Be Aware Of Some Concerning Factors In PSP Swiss Property's (VTX:PSPN) Earnings
- PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Solid Growth Amid Strategic ...
- PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSY) Full Year 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Operating Income ...
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 530 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Real Estate sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Real Estate
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
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|---|---|---|---|
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| CBRE Group CBRE | $134.55 | $91.06 | −32% |
| KE Holdings 2423 | HK$42.92 | HK$17.16 | −60% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$24.32 | HK$13.39 | −45% |
| Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX | €23.99 | €23.94 | +0% |
| Vonovia SE VNA | €16.82 | €36.55 | +117% |
| Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL | $308.07 | $540.65 | +75% |
| Wharf Real Estate Investment Company 1997 | HK$30.54 | HK$27.42 | −10% |
| CoStar Group CSGP | $26.95 | $6.19 | −77% |
| China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 | HK$37.00 | HK$56.36 | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $64.84 versus a price of $168.65, about −62% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PSPSF?
Our model-based fair value for PSP Swiss Property AG is $64.84 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $168.65.
What is the quality score of PSPSF?
PSP Swiss Property AG has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $64.84 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $48.63, optimistic scenario $86.05. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PSP Swiss Property AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $64.84, about −62% upside versus a price of $168.65 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $48.63, optimistic scenario $86.05. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF)?
PSP Swiss Property AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 351M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does PSP Swiss Property AG pay a dividend?
PSP Swiss Property AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.34% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, PSP Swiss Property AG would have to grow free cash flow by +30.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PSPSF use?
Our models discount PSP Swiss Property AG at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.48, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For PSP Swiss Property AG that is +30.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at PSP Swiss Property AG grew +1.9 % a year. The price currently implies +30.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into PSP Swiss Property AG (+30.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.98 %: that much free cash flow PSP Swiss Property AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PSP Swiss Property AG it is $64.84 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $168.65. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PSP Swiss Property AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, PSPSF trades above its calculated fair value: price $168.65, fair value $64.84, a gap of about −62% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PSPSF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($168.65); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($64.84). For PSP Swiss Property AG the two are $103.81 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PSP Swiss Property AG worth?
The market values PSP Swiss Property AG at about $9.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $168.65; our models calculate a fair value of $64.84 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PSPSF?
Our models span a range for PSP Swiss Property AG: cautious scenario $48.63, base $64.84, optimistic $86.05 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $168.65). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PSPSF?
PSP Swiss Property AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $64.84 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 23.8, EV/EBITDA 36.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF)?
Balance-sheet figures for PSP Swiss Property AG (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 7.4%, debt of 0.50 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PSPSF from its 52-week high?
PSP Swiss Property AG trades at $168.65, about 21% below its 52-week high of $214.16 and 4% above the low of $162.57 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $64.84 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PSP Swiss Property AG?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PSP Swiss Property AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $168.65, calculated fair value $64.84 (−62%), Quality Score 45/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PSPSF calculated?
We run PSP Swiss Property AG through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $64.84, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. PSP Swiss Property AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $168.65. Our model-based fair value is $64.84, about −62% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PSP Swiss Property AG right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($86.05). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF) come from?
Earnings per share at PSP Swiss Property AG grew +7.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.1 %, EBIT margin +2.4 %, tax rate +1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of PSP Swiss Property AG
How large is the market capitalisation of PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF)?
The market capitalisation of PSP Swiss Property AG is $9.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PSP Swiss Property AG is 16.3 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF)?
Earnings per share at PSP Swiss Property AG are $11.14 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF)?
The dividend yield of PSP Swiss Property AG is 2.3% (payout 35.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF)?
The net margin of PSP Swiss Property AG is 109% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PSP Swiss Property AG is 7.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PSP Swiss Property AG is 4.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF)?
The operating margin of PSP Swiss Property AG is 84.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF)?
Revenue at PSP Swiss Property AG is growing +0.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF)?
Earnings per share at PSP Swiss Property AG are growing +7.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does PSP Swiss Property AG (PSPSF) carry?
The net debt of PSP Swiss Property AG is CHF 3.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 20.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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