Prio S.A (PTRRY) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $8.8B
Prio S.A
PTRRY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $7.42 to $7.56 (+1.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +2.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 33% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($9.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.51 – $17.41 · fair‑value band $5.67 – $9.45 · the $11.22 price screens above the $7.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Prio S.A (PTRRY) currently trades at $11.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.56, implying the stock looks roughly 32.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Prio S.A generated revenue of $17.7B at a net margin of 14.7%. Revenue grew 47.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.7%. Net debt stands at $25.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5.67 (bear case) to $9.45 (bull case); at $11.22, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 72% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -33%, PTRRY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($113.02) versus Dividend Discount ($1.14). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Prio S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas properties in Brazil and internationally.
Full company description
Prio S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas properties in Brazil and internationally. The company holds 100% interest in the Polvo Field covering an area of approximately 134 square kilometers located in the southern portion of the Campos Basin, Rio de Janeiro; and the Frade Field that consists of approximately 154 square kilometers located in the northern region of the Campos Basin, Rio de Janeiro. It also holds interest in the Albacora leste Field and the Wahoo and Itaipu Field located in the Camumu Basin, State of Bahia. In addition, the company imports, exports, refines, sells, and distributes oil, natural gas, fuels, and oil by-products; and engages in the generation, sale, and distribution of electric power, as well as holds interests in other companies. The company was formerly known as Petro Rio S.A. and changed its name to Prio S.A. in May 2023. Prio S.A. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Prio S.A reported revenue of $15.3B in FY2025 versus $4.4B in FY2021, a compound +36.5%/yr. Reported net income was $2.2B in FY2025, compounding +13.4%/yr from FY2021.
PTRRY screens 33% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- ClearBridge Emerging Markets Strategy adds Accton Technology, Elite Material, Prio, and SK Square in Q2
- Prio (BOVESPA:PRIO3) Stock Gets Fair Value Boost As Analysts Rework Earnings
- PRIO SA (PTRRY) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Production and Strong Financial ...
- PRIO SA (PTRRY) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Production and Strategic Achievements ...
Peer Group
Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥28.97 | ¥32.55 | +12% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $109.04 | $91.79 | -16% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $42.86 | $31.54 | -26% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $139.89 | $130.19 | -7% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $54.86 | $30.68 | -44% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $183.39 | $106.12 | -42% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $43.83 | $27.06 | -38% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$30.46 | A$20.71 | -32% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $48.85 | $42.85 | -12% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $415.70 | $79.20 | -81% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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