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Palantir Technologies Inc (PTX) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Palantir Technologies Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · DE · ISIN US69608A1088

PT Broad data Sep 13, 2026

Palantir Technologies Inc

PTX · XETRA

Quality Too ExpensiveQuality growthExcellent quality, but the valuation looks stretched.

!Fair value €38.44 · Strongly overvalued (−73%)
✓Quality 76/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +32.6 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 43.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Wide moat 90/100
!The models disagree: range €21.04 to €76.48
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€176.12 €5.66 Fair Value €38.44 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €5.66 – €176.12 · fair‑value band €21.04 – €76.48 · the €143.72 price screens above the €38.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Palantir Technologies Inc. builds and deploys software platforms for the intelligence community to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally.

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Palantir Technologies Inc. builds and deploys software platforms for the intelligence community to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It provides Palantir Gotham integrates with other platforms for defense offerings which enables users to see, understand, and act in the modern battlespace; operations centers to the tactical edge; integrating data from domains and sensors in near real-time; and situational awareness and accelerating operational decision-making, as well as facilitates the hand-off between analysts and operational users, helping operators plan and execute real-world responses to threats that have been identified within the platform. The company also offers Palantir Foundry, a platform that helps organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data; and allows individual users to integrate and analyze the data they need in one place. In addition, it provides Palantir Apollo, a software that delivers software and updates across the business, as well as enables customers to deploy their software virtually in any environment; and Palantir Artificial Intelligence Platform that provides unified access to open-source, self-hosted, and commercial large language models (LLMs) that can transform structured and unstructured data into LLM-understandable objects and can turn organizations' actions and processes into tools for humans and LLM-driven agents. The company also has a strategic partnership with Ondas Inc. to develop and deploy AI-enabled operational capabilities to scale stratospheric, aerial, and land-based ISR missions. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Aventura, Florida.

Stock analysis

Palantir Technologies Inc (PTX) currently trades at €143.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €38.44, implying the stock looks roughly 273.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €34.23 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the €143.72 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at €6.72, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €21.04 (bear) to €76.48 (bull), the price of €143.72 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Palantir Technologies Inc reported revenue of $4.5B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound +30.5%/yr. Reported net income was $1.6B in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €344B · P/E ratio 143.5 · P/S ratio 52.1 · EPS (TTM) €0.7700 · Net margin 36.3% · Return on equity 32.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2% · Operating margin 46.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −73%, PTX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (€2.16 to €37.26). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear €21.04 Fair Value €38.44 Bull €76.48
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.5351 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €16.87 €26.88 €59.59 75
EPV €6.08 €7.05 €7.92 74
Growth DCF €15.93 €32.63 €60.66 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €16.87 €26.88 €59.59 75
Owner Earnings €12.25 €28.00 €62.52 70
5Y Revenue Exit €9.44 €14.95 €26.40 70
5Y EBITDA Exit €11.35 €18.80 €33.39 72
5Y P/E Exit €16.29 €35.90 €62.65 67
10Y Revenue Exit €11.43 €22.18 €28.27 67
10Y EBITDA Exit €13.12 €26.37 €48.75 65
10Y P/E Exit €16.81 €37.26 €70.97 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €4.81 €33.56 €47.10 63
Lynch FV €16.38 €23.41 €30.43 61
PEG = 1.0 €16.38 €23.41 €30.43 57
EPV €6.08 €7.05 €7.92 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple €14.86 €19.82 €24.77 63
P/S Multiple €8.04 €10.72 €13.40 58
P/B Multiple €9.02 €12.03 €15.04 55
EV/EBIT €11.62 €15.31 €19.01 66
EV/EBITDA €9.00 €11.82 €14.65 67
EV/Revenue €6.14 €8.54 €10.94 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.61 €2.16 €3.22 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €15.93 €32.63 €60.66 74
Rev-Margin DCF €10.28 €17.05 €31.23 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income €5.02 €6.72 €36.68 58
ROIC Compounder €8.38 €13.58 €17.00 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €23.96 €34.23 €44.50 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 76/100

Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 77
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 89
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 89
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 12
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 46
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 47
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+56.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.6%
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +92.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+92.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−107% → 32%
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2025, which sits 364% above its own trend.

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+51.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+43.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+72.5%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+45.4%
Projected 2028 (sales)+40.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+34.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)+29.1%

PTX screens 274% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Palantir Technologies Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PTX.XETRA

Frequently asked questions

Is Palantir Technologies Inc (PTX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €38.44 versus a price of €143.72, about −73% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PTX?
Our model-based fair value for Palantir Technologies Inc is €38.44 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €143.72.
What is the quality score of PTX?
Palantir Technologies Inc has a Quality Score of 76/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Palantir Technologies Inc (PTX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €38.44 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario €21.04, optimistic scenario €76.48. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Palantir Technologies Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €38.44, about −73% upside versus a price of €143.72 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €21.04, optimistic scenario €76.48. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Palantir Technologies Inc (PTX)?
Palantir Technologies Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €5.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Palantir Technologies Inc (PTX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Palantir Technologies Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +51.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +32.6 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PTX use?
Our models discount Palantir Technologies Inc at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mega), damped by beta 1.56, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Palantir Technologies Inc that is +51.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Palantir Technologies Inc (PTX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Palantir Technologies Inc grew +32.6 % a year. The price currently implies +51.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Palantir Technologies Inc (PTX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Palantir Technologies Inc (+51.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Palantir Technologies Inc (PTX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.61 %: that much free cash flow Palantir Technologies Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Palantir Technologies Inc (PTX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Palantir Technologies Inc it is €38.44 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of €143.72. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Palantir Technologies Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, PTX trades above its calculated fair value: price €143.72, fair value €38.44, a gap of about −73% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PTX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€143.72); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€38.44). For Palantir Technologies Inc the two are €105.28 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Palantir Technologies Inc worth?
The market values Palantir Technologies Inc at about €344B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is €143.72; our models calculate a fair value of €38.44 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PTX?
Our models span a range for Palantir Technologies Inc: cautious scenario €21.04, base €38.44, optimistic €76.48 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price €143.72). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is PTX from its 52-week high?
Palantir Technologies Inc trades at €143.72, about 20% below its 52-week high of €179.00 and 37% above the low of €104.68 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €38.44 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Palantir Technologies Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Palantir Technologies Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price €143.72, calculated fair value €38.44 (−73%), Quality Score 76/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PTX calculated?
We run Palantir Technologies Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €38.44, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Palantir Technologies Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Palantir Technologies Inc right now?
A high-quality business (quality 76/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€76.48). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (€21.04 to €76.48). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Key figures of Palantir Technologies Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Palantir Technologies Inc (PTX)?
The market capitalisation of Palantir Technologies Inc is €344B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Palantir Technologies Inc (PTX)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Palantir Technologies Inc is 143.5 (as of Jul 11, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Palantir Technologies Inc (PTX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Palantir Technologies Inc is 52.1 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Palantir Technologies Inc (PTX)?
Earnings per share at Palantir Technologies Inc are €0.7700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 143.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Palantir Technologies Inc (PTX)?
The net margin of Palantir Technologies Inc is 36.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Palantir Technologies Inc (PTX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Palantir Technologies Inc is 32.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Palantir Technologies Inc (PTX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Palantir Technologies Inc is 1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Palantir Technologies Inc (PTX)?
The operating margin of Palantir Technologies Inc is 46.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Palantir Technologies Inc (PTX)?
Revenue at Palantir Technologies Inc is growing +84.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +32.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Palantir Technologies Inc (PTX)?
Earnings per share at Palantir Technologies Inc are growing +325% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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