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PPI Public Property Invest AB (PUBLI) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · NO · Market cap 18.7B NOK

PP PPI Public Property Invest AB PUBLI · OL
Pricekr 19.02
Fair Valuekr 6.37
Upside-66.5%
Quality33/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 35.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Moderate moat 64/100
Evidence: High Range kr 4.77 – kr 11.38 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −5.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 67% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 11.38). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 4.77 to kr 11.38) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

kr 24.52 kr 13.26 Fair Value kr 6.37 Apr 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

27‑month range kr 13.26 – kr 24.52 · fair‑value band kr 4.77 – kr 11.38 · the kr 19.02 price screens above the kr 6.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

PPI Public Property Invest AB (PUBLI) currently trades at kr 19.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 6.37, implying the stock looks roughly 66.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, PPI Public Property Invest AB generated revenue of 1.8B NOK at a net margin of 35.9%. It earns a return on equity of 4.9%. Net debt stands at 27.3B NOK. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 17.7. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 4.77 (bear case) to kr 11.38 (bull case); at kr 19.02, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at -67%, PUBLI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 0.3800 kr 23.99 80
Residual Income kr 16.03 kr 15.24 kr 12.26 76
Gordon GGM kr 0.6600 kr 1.37 kr 2.18 70
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 24.23 38
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 21.52 41
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 5.93 kr 39.19 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 0.6600 kr 1.37 kr 2.18 70
DDM Multi-Stage kr 0.6600 kr 1.16 kr 1.44 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple kr 5.61 kr 7.49 kr 9.36 58
P/B Multiple kr 6.90 kr 9.20 kr 11.51 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 11.30 kr 15.14 kr 22.60 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 0.3800 kr 23.99 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 16.03 kr 15.24 kr 12.26 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (kr 15.24) versus Growth DCF (kr 0.3800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.8B NOK
Revenue growth (YoY) +347%
Net margin 35.9%
Return on equity 4.9%
Free cash flow 874M NOK FY2025
P/E ratio 37.4
More key figures
Operating margin 70.0%
EPS (TTM) kr 0.5300
EPS growth (YoY) -58.6%
Net debt 27.3B NOK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 26
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PPI Public Property Invest AB (publ), a real estate company, owns, develops, operates, and rents real estate properties in Norway, Sweden, Finland, and Denmark. The company's property portfolio includes community service properties with government sector tenants, as well as rental of office spaces.

Full company description

PPI Public Property Invest AB (publ), a real estate company, owns, develops, operates, and rents real estate properties in Norway, Sweden, Finland, and Denmark. The company's property portfolio includes community service properties with government sector tenants, as well as rental of office spaces. The company serves hospitals, police stations, courts, and nursing homes for elderly care, schools, and other public services. The company was formerly known as Public Property Invest ASA and changed its name to PPI Public Property Invest AB (publ) in May 2026. PPI Public Property Invest AB (publ) was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PPI Public Property Invest AB reported revenue of kr 1.1B in FY2025 versus kr 68.0M in FY2021, a compound +100.0%/yr. Reported net income was kr 512M in FY2025, compounding −9.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.1B NOK
Latest YoY
+60.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+29.3%
Revenue +100.0%/yr
FY21 kr 68.0M
FY22 kr 504M
FY23 kr 575M
FY24 kr 677M
FY25 kr 1.1B
Net income −9.9%/yr
FY21 kr 778M
FY22 −kr 623M
FY23 −kr 900M
FY24 kr 13.0M
FY25 kr 512M

PUBLI screens 67% overvalued. Compare with Vingroup Joint Stock Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PPI Public Property Invest AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PUBLI

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 521 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −67% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 36% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 70% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 347% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.32× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 37.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.88× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 10.40× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 100 · sector 10
PAST 20 · sector 16
HEALTH 34 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC 223,000 VND 25,731 VND -88%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$44.76 HK$18.03 -60%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$23.90 HK$18.75 -22%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,725 CLP 5,571 CLP +50%
SAGAA SAGAA kr 170.00 kr 75.55 -56%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,324 CLP 2,976 CLP +28%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 372.00 IDR 1,208 IDR +225%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 20,975 IDR 19,160 IDR -9%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,530 IDR 3,464 IDR -2%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 3,998 ARS +60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PPI Public Property Invest AB (PUBLI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 6.37 versus a price of kr 19.02, about −67% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PUBLI?
Our model-based fair value for PPI Public Property Invest AB is kr 6.37 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 19.02.
What is the quality score of PUBLI?
PPI Public Property Invest AB has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PPI Public Property Invest AB (PUBLI)?
PPI Public Property Invest AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B NOK (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PUBLI?
The net profit margin of PPI Public Property Invest AB is about 35.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 35.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does PPI Public Property Invest AB pay a dividend?
PPI Public Property Invest AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.23% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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