Po Valley Energy Limited (PVE) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · AU · Market cap A$70.7M
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from A$0.0406 to A$0.0543 (+33.9%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +5.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 12% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0604). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Our model range runs from A$0.0482 (bear) to A$0.0604 (bull), base A$0.0543. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 71/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0228 – A$0.0993 · fair‑value band A$0.0482 – A$0.0604 · the A$0.0620 price screens above the A$0.0543 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Po Valley Energy Limited (PVE) currently trades at A$0.0620, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0543, implying the stock looks roughly 12.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Po Valley Energy Limited generated revenue of A$7.0M at a net margin of 38.7%. Revenue declined 18.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$2.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0482 (bear case) to A$0.0604 (bull case); at A$0.0620, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -12%, PVE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$0.1000) versus Asset-Based (A$0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Po Valley Energy Limited operates as a gas and condensate development company in the Po Valley Region, Italy. The company operates through Exploration and evaluation; Development; and Production segments.
Full company description
Po Valley Energy Limited operates as a gas and condensate development company in the Po Valley Region, Italy. The company operates through Exploration and evaluation; Development; and Production segments. Its project portfolio includes 100% owned offshore the Teodorico project located in the shallow waters of the Adriatic Sea; and 63% owned onshore the Selva Malvezzi production concession located in the Emilia Romagna region. Po Valley Energy Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Perth, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Po Valley Energy Limited reported revenue of A$7.0M in FY2025 versus A$65.9K in FY2021, a compound +221.1%/yr. Reported net income was A$2.7M in FY2025.
PVE screens 12% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥28.97 | ¥32.55 | +12% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $109.04 | $91.79 | -16% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $42.86 | $31.54 | -26% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $139.89 | $130.19 | -7% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $54.86 | $30.68 | -44% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $183.39 | $106.12 | -42% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $43.83 | $27.06 | -38% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$30.46 | A$20.71 | -32% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $48.85 | $42.85 | -12% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $415.70 | $79.20 | -81% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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