Po Valley Energy Ltd (PVE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Po Valley Energy Ltd A$0.13, price A$0.12, upside +14.8%, quality 71 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0228 – A$0.1200 · fair‑value band A$0.0720 – A$0.2280 · the A$0.1150 price screens below the A$0.1320 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Po Valley Energy Limited operates as a gas and condensate development company in the Po Valley Region, Italy. The company operates through Exploration and evaluation; Development; and Production segments.
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Po Valley Energy Limited operates as a gas and condensate development company in the Po Valley Region, Italy. The company operates through Exploration and evaluation; Development; and Production segments. Its project portfolio includes 100% owned offshore the Teodorico project located in the shallow waters of the Adriatic Sea; and 63% owned onshore the Selva Malvezzi production concession located in the Emilia Romagna region. Po Valley Energy Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Perth, Australia.
Stock analysis
Po Valley Energy Ltd (PVE) currently trades at A$0.1150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1320, implying the stock looks roughly 12.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$0.1000 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the A$0.1150 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at A$0.0200, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.0720 (bear) to A$0.2280 (bull), the price of A$0.1150 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Po Valley Energy Ltd reported revenue of €7.0M in FY2025 versus €65.9K in FY2021, a compound +221.1%/yr. Reported net income was €2.7M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$133M (≈ $93.5M) · P/S ratio 10.0 · Net margin 38.7% · Return on equity 15.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.3% · Operating margin 49.2% · Revenue (TTM) A$7.0M · Revenue growth (YoY) −18.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 183% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 15%, PVE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0720Fair Value A$0.1320Bull A$0.2280
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.91/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+145.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.0% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +66.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+66.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−905% → 50%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 5.0%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2025, which sits 82% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 307 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+15% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)16% · Top 25%
Return on assets12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)39% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)49% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−19% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.08× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Po Valley Energy Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PVE
Frequently asked questions
Is Po Valley Energy Ltd (PVE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.1320 versus a price of A$0.1150, about +15% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PVE?
Our model-based fair value for Po Valley Energy Ltd is A$0.1320 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1150.
What is the quality score of PVE?
Po Valley Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Po Valley Energy Ltd (PVE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.1320 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0720, optimistic scenario A$0.2280. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Po Valley Energy Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.1320, about +15% upside versus a price of A$0.1150 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0720, optimistic scenario A$0.2280. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Po Valley Energy Ltd (PVE)?
Po Valley Energy Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$7.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Po Valley Energy Ltd (PVE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Po Valley Energy Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +15.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +145.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PVE use?
Our models discount Po Valley Energy Ltd at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Po Valley Energy Ltd that is +15.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Po Valley Energy Ltd (PVE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Po Valley Energy Ltd grew +145.2 % a year. The price currently implies +15.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Po Valley Energy Ltd (PVE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Po Valley Energy Ltd (+15.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Po Valley Energy Ltd (PVE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.32 %: that much free cash flow Po Valley Energy Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Po Valley Energy Ltd (PVE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Po Valley Energy Ltd it is A$0.1320 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of A$0.1150. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Po Valley Energy Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PVE trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.1150, fair value A$0.1320, a gap of about +15% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PVE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1150); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.1320). For Po Valley Energy Ltd the two are A$0.0170 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Po Valley Energy Ltd worth?
The market values Po Valley Energy Ltd at about A$133M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1150; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.1320 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PVE?
Our models span a range for Po Valley Energy Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0720, base A$0.1320, optimistic A$0.2280 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price A$0.1150). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of PVE?
The PEG ratio of Po Valley Energy Ltd is 0.91 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Po Valley Energy Ltd (PVE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Po Valley Energy Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 15.8%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 71/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PVE from its 52-week high?
Po Valley Energy Ltd trades at A$0.1150, about 4% below its 52-week high of A$0.1200 and 183% above the low of A$0.0407 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.1320 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Po Valley Energy Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Po Valley Energy Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price A$0.1150, calculated fair value A$0.1320 (+15%), Quality Score 71/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PVE calculated?
We run Po Valley Energy Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.1320, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Po Valley Energy Ltd currently trades 15 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Po Valley Energy Ltd (PVE)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.1150. Our model-based fair value is A$0.1320, about +15% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Po Valley Energy Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (A$0.0720 to A$0.2280). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Po Valley Energy Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Po Valley Energy Ltd (PVE)?
The market capitalisation of Po Valley Energy Ltd is A$133M (≈ $93.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Po Valley Energy Ltd (PVE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Po Valley Energy Ltd is 10.0 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Po Valley Energy Ltd (PVE)?
The net margin of Po Valley Energy Ltd is 38.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Po Valley Energy Ltd (PVE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Po Valley Energy Ltd is 15.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Po Valley Energy Ltd (PVE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Po Valley Energy Ltd is 7.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Po Valley Energy Ltd (PVE)?
The operating margin of Po Valley Energy Ltd is 49.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Po Valley Energy Ltd (PVE)?
Revenue at Po Valley Energy Ltd is growing −18.8% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Po Valley Energy Ltd (PVE)?
Earnings per share at Po Valley Energy Ltd are growing −33.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Po Valley Energy Ltd (PVE) hold?
Po Valley Energy Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$2.4M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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