Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC (QCG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC VND 5,238, price VND 9,790, upside -46.5%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 3,320 VND – 23,200 VND · fair‑value band 4,407 VND – 6,524 VND · the 9,790 VND price screens above the 5,238 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Quoc Cuong Gia Lai Joint Stock Company operates in the real estate, rubber, hydroelectricity, wood processing, and construction businesses in Vietnam.
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Quoc Cuong Gia Lai Joint Stock Company operates in the real estate, rubber, hydroelectricity, wood processing, and construction businesses in Vietnam. It develops real estate properties; operates rubber plantations; invests in hydropower plants; and offers wood to manufacture doors, kitchen cabinets, built-in wardrobes and interior furniture for construction projects, apartments, villas, townhouses, etc. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Pleiku, Vietnam.
Stock analysis
Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC (QCG) currently trades at 9,790 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5,238 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 86.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 10,640 VND per share, and 5 of the 13 models we run sit above the 9,790 VND price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 4,204 VND, and 8 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 4,407 VND (bear) to 6,524 VND (bull), the price of 9,790 VND sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC reported revenue of 473B VND in FY2025 versus 1.0T VND in FY2021, a compound −18.1%/yr. Reported net income was 171B VND in FY2025, compounding +27.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.1T VND · P/E ratio 15.4 · P/S ratio 5.56 · EPS (TTM) 637.77 VND · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 36.2% · Return on equity 3.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −47%, QCG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 4,407 VNDFair Value 5,238 VNDBull 6,524 VND
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (468.28 VND per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in VND (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in VND: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+27.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+27.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 30%
2025 sits 655% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lumber & Wood Production · 76 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Above median
Fair Value upside−47% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Above median
Return on assets1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)41% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)27% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−38% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)15.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.72× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)7.28× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA20.2× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)15· sector 4
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)2· sector 37
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/QCG
Frequently asked questions
Is Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC (QCG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5,238 VND versus a price of 9,790 VND, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of QCG?
Our model-based fair value for Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC is 5,238 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 9,790 VND.
What is the quality score of QCG?
Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC (QCG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 5,238 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 4,407 VND, optimistic scenario 6,524 VND. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 5,238 VND, about −47% upside versus a price of 9,790 VND (overvalued). Cautious scenario 4,407 VND, optimistic scenario 6,524 VND. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC (QCG)?
Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 431B VND (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC pay a dividend?
Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.08% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC (QCG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC it is 5,238 VND per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 9,790 VND. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, QCG trades above its calculated fair value: price 9,790 VND, fair value 5,238 VND, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of QCG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (9,790 VND); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (5,238 VND). For Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC the two are 4,552 VND per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC worth?
The market values Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC at about 3.1T VND (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 9,790 VND; our models calculate a fair value of 5,238 VND per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about QCG?
Our models span a range for Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC: cautious scenario 4,407 VND, base 5,238 VND, optimistic 6,524 VND per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 9,790 VND). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of QCG?
Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 5,238 VND is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 7.3, EV/EBITDA 20.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC (QCG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.8%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is QCG from its 52-week high?
Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC trades at 9,790 VND, about 48% below its 52-week high of 18,800 VND and 3% above the low of 9,460 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 5,238 VND is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Simpson Manufacturing Co, UFP Industries, Inc, Boise Cascade Company, Century Plyboards (India) Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 9,790 VND, calculated fair value 5,238 VND (−47%), Quality Score 50/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of QCG calculated?
We run Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 5,238 VND, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC (QCG)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 9,790 VND. Our model-based fair value is 5,238 VND, about −47% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (6,524 VND). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC
How large is the market capitalisation of Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC (QCG)?
The market capitalisation of Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC is 3.1T VND. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC (QCG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC is 5.56 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC (QCG)?
Earnings per share at Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC are 637.77 VND (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC (QCG)?
The dividend yield of Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC is 0.1% (payout 1.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC (QCG)?
The net margin of Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC is 36.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC (QCG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC is 3.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC (QCG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC is 1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC (QCG)?
The operating margin of Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC is 26.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC (QCG)?
Revenue at Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC is growing −37.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −28.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC (QCG)?
Earnings per share at Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC are growing +42.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC (QCG) generate?
The free cash flow of Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC is −1.1T VND (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC (QCG) carry?
The net debt of Quoc Cuong Gia Lai JSC is 692B VND (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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