Quoc Cuong Gia Lai Joint Stock Company (QCG) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · VN · Market cap 3.1T VND
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Share price −12.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 22% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (5,422 VND to 11,948 VND) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 3,320 VND – 23,200 VND · fair‑value band 5,422 VND – 11,948 VND · the 10,150 VND price screens above the 7,944 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Quoc Cuong Gia Lai Joint Stock Company (QCG) currently trades at 10,150 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 7,944 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 21.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Quoc Cuong Gia Lai Joint Stock Company generated revenue of 431B VND at a net margin of 40.7%. Revenue declined 37.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. Net debt stands at 692B VND. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 5,422 VND (bear case) to 11,948 VND (bull case); at 10,150 VND, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -32% fair-value upside, at -22%, QCG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (11,933 VND) versus Multiples (10,586 VND). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Quoc Cuong Gia Lai Joint Stock Company operates in the real estate, rubber, hydroelectricity, wood processing, and construction businesses in Vietnam.
Full company description
Quoc Cuong Gia Lai Joint Stock Company operates in the real estate, rubber, hydroelectricity, wood processing, and construction businesses in Vietnam. It develops real estate properties; operates rubber plantations; invests in hydropower plants; and offers wood to manufacture doors, kitchen cabinets, built-in wardrobes and interior furniture for construction projects, apartments, villas, townhouses, etc. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Pleiku, Vietnam.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Quoc Cuong Gia Lai Joint Stock Company reported revenue of 473B VND in FY2025 versus 1.0T VND in FY2021, a compound −18.1%/yr. Reported net income was 171B VND in FY2025, compounding +27.2%/yr from FY2021.
QCG screens 22% overvalued. Compare with Simpson Manufacturing Co →
Peer Group
Lumber & Wood Production · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD | $188.80 | $147.92 | -22% |
| West Fraser Timber Co WFG | C$98.54 | C$51.55 | -48% |
| UFP Industries, Inc UFPI | $85.93 | $108.78 | +27% |
| Stella-Jones Inc SJ | C$78.93 | C$96.01 | +22% |
| Boise Cascade Company BCC | $76.06 | $51.92 | -32% |
| Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY | ₹799.50 | ₹201.01 | -75% |
| DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 | ¥11.74 | ¥14.78 | +26% |
| Canfor Corporation CFP | C$14.17 | C$4.54 | -68% |
| Interfor Corporation IFP | C$13.45 | C$6.43 | -52% |
| Kangxin New Materials Co 600076 | ¥3.05 | ¥0.6700 | -78% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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