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QuantumScape Corporation Class A (QS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of QuantumScape Corporation Class A $1.46, price $4.91, upside -70.3%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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QC
Thin data
Sep 23, 2026
Thin data
Sep 23, 2026
QuantumScape Corporation Class A
QS · USWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value $1.46 · Strongly overvalued (−70%)
!Quality 38/100
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/7)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Insider activity 42/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.47 – $40.58 · fair‑value band $0.9600 – $1.82 · the $4.91 price screens above the $1.46 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Company profile
QuantumScape Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, develops solid-state lithium-metal battery technology for electric vehicles and other applications in the United States. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Stock analysis
QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock (QS) currently trades at $4.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.46, implying the stock looks roughly 236.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.9600 (bear) to $1.82 (bull), the price of $4.91 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$435M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $3.6B · EPS (TTM) $−0.6800 · Return on equity −39.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −29.3% · Free cash flow −$279M · Net cash $160M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −70%, QS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.9600
Fair Value $1.46
Bull $1.82
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham)
$1.01
$1.35
$2.02
51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$1.01
$1.35
$2.02
51
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
38/100
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 2
Profitability
0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
5
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
7
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
QS screens 236% overvalued. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →
Recent news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
- QuantumScape Is Down 51% This Year. Is QS Stock Dead Money or Due for a Bounce?
- QuantumScape Stock Is Worth a Closer Look Right Now
- QuantumScape Is Down 96% From Its High. Is 2027 Finally the Solid-State Battery Year?
- QuantumScape (QS) Stock Trades At A Premium On Book Value Despite A 75% Fall
Compare QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 695 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY | $85.82 | $48.08 | −44% |
| AutoZone, Inc AZO | $2,895 | $2,368 | −18% |
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 367,500 KRW | 631,641 KRW | +72% |
| Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 | ¥53.77 | ¥75.79 | +41% |
| Magna International Inc MGA | $63.79 | $68.17 | +7% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹164.40 | ₹96.97 | −41% |
| Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 | ¥45.71 | ¥28.28 | −38% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹47,955 | ₹25,325 | −47% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,004 | ₹407.35 | −80% |
| Huizhou Desay SV Automotive Co 002920 | ¥84.71 | ¥68.21 | −19% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is QuantumScape Corporation Class A (QS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.46 versus a price of $4.91, about −70% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of QS?
Our model-based fair value for QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock is $1.46 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.91.
What is the quality score of QS?
QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for QuantumScape Corporation Class A (QS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.46 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.9600, optimistic scenario $1.82. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.46, about −70% upside versus a price of $4.91 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.9600, optimistic scenario $1.82. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of QuantumScape Corporation Class A (QS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock it is $1.46 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $4.91. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, QS trades above its calculated fair value: price $4.91, fair value $1.46, a gap of about −70% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of QS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.91); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.46). For QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock the two are $3.45 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock worth?
The market values QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock at about $3.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $4.91; our models calculate a fair value of $1.46 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about QS?
Our models span a range for QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock: cautious scenario $0.9600, base $1.46, optimistic $1.82 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $4.91). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of QuantumScape Corporation Class A (QS)?
Balance-sheet figures for QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −39.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is QS from its 52-week high?
QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock trades at $4.91, about 73% below its 52-week high of $18.44 and 1% above the low of $4.89 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.46 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $4.91, calculated fair value $1.46 (−70%), Quality Score 38/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of QS calculated?
We run QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.46, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of QuantumScape Corporation Class A (QS)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $4.91. Our model-based fair value is $1.46, about −70% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.82). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.9600 to $1.82) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock
How large is the market capitalisation of QuantumScape Corporation Class A (QS)?
The market capitalisation of QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock is $3.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of QuantumScape Corporation Class A (QS)?
Earnings per share at QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock are $−0.6800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of QuantumScape Corporation Class A (QS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock is −39.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of QuantumScape Corporation Class A (QS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock is −29.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does QuantumScape Corporation Class A (QS) generate?
The free cash flow of QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock is −$279M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does QuantumScape Corporation Class A (QS) hold?
QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock holds more cash than debt, $160M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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