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Rain Industries Limited (RAIN) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹63.5B

RI Rain Industries Limited RAIN · NSE
Price₹206.90
Fair Value₹42.98
Upside-79.2%
Quality55/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 1.7% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Narrow moat 29/100
Evidence: High Range ₹32.24 – ₹53.74 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹21.49 to ₹42.98 (+100.0%) since Aug 8, 2026. Share price +0.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 79% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹53.74). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹257.39 ₹102.00 Fair Value ₹42.98 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹102.00 – ₹257.39 · fair‑value band ₹32.24 – ₹53.74 · the ₹206.90 price screens above the ₹42.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Rain Industries Limited (RAIN) currently trades at ₹206.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹42.98, implying the stock looks roughly 79.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Rain Industries Limited generated revenue of ₹177B at a net margin of 1.7%. Revenue grew 20.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.9%. Net debt stands at ₹83.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹32.24 (bear case) to ₹53.74 (bull case); at ₹206.90, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 107% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -68% fair-value upside, at -79%, RAIN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (₹12.53 to ₹480.33). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹150.23 ₹140.21 ₹98.23 76
ROIC Compounder ₹103.75 ₹149.43 ₹189.41 72
Gordon GGM ₹9.18 ₹19.09 ₹30.29 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹13.80 ₹144.90 ₹362.34 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹8.60 ₹35.01 ₹47.65 54
Lynch FV ₹8.77 ₹12.53 ₹16.29 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹8.77 ₹12.53 ₹16.29 46
EPV ₹103.75 ₹149.43 ₹189.41 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹9.18 ₹19.09 ₹30.29 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹9.18 ₹16.10 ₹20.04 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹16.12 ₹21.49 ₹26.87 63
P/S Multiple ₹16.12 ₹21.49 ₹26.87 58
P/B Multiple ₹16.12 ₹21.49 ₹26.87 55
EV/EBIT ₹225.08 ₹356.89 ₹488.70 53
EV/EBITDA ₹317.66 ₹480.33 ₹643.00 54
EV/Revenue ₹172.36 ₹319.23 ₹466.11 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹110.74 ₹148.39 ₹221.47 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹150.23 ₹140.21 ₹98.23 76
ROIC Compounder ₹103.75 ₹149.43 ₹189.41 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹13.53 ₹19.32 ₹25.12 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (₹148.39) versus Earnings-Based (₹12.53). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹177B
Revenue growth (YoY) +20.0%
Net margin 1.7%
Return on equity 1.9%
Free cash flow −₹3.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 23.1
More key figures
Operating margin 9.6%
EPS (TTM) ₹8.96
EPS growth (YoY) -75.2%
Net debt ₹83.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 32
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 76
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Rain Industries Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells carbon, advanced materials, and cement products in India and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Carbon, Advanced Materials, and Cement.

Full company description

Rain Industries Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells carbon, advanced materials, and cement products in India and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Carbon, Advanced Materials, and Cement. It offers calcined petroleum coke, coal tar pitch, green petroleum coke, and derivatives of coal tar distillation, including carbon black, creosote, naphthalene, and other aromatic oils, as well as generates electricity and steam from waste-heat recovery process. The company also provides engineered products comprising CARBORES, PETRORES, and LP sealer base; chemical intermediates, such as refined naphthalene, phthalic anhydride, modifiers, benzene, toluene, xylene, solvents, and fuel additives; and resin products, including carbon, pure, and hydrogenated hydrocarbon resins, as well as phenolics for specialty chemicals, coatings, adhesives, construction, automotive, lithium-ion batteries, energy storage, petroleum, and other industries. In addition, it offers ordinary cement and Portland pozzolana cement for construction under the Priya Cement brand. The company was formerly known as Rain Commodities Limited and changed its name to Rain Industries Limited in July 2013. Rain Industries Limited was incorporated in 1974 and is based in Hyderabad, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Rain Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹169B in FY2025 versus ₹144B in FY2021, a compound +4.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹425M in FY2025, compounding −48.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 50/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
₹169B
Latest YoY
+11.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.3%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.0%
Revenue +4.2%/yr
FY21 ₹144B
FY22 ₹209B
FY23 ₹181B
FY24 ₹153B
FY25 ₹169B
Net income −48.0%/yr
FY21 ₹5.8B
FY22 ₹14.4B
FY23 −₹9.4B
FY24 −₹5.6B
FY25 ₹425M

RAIN screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Rain Industries Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RAIN

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 672 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth 20% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.97× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.85× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.36× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 18
PAST 7 · sector 23
HEALTH 51 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 11 · sector 31

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $479.43 $222.03 -54%
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Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 416.10 kr 170.02 -59%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,756 ₹664.51 -76%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,730 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,702 ₹351.84 -79%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 2,160 IDR 2,322 IDR +8%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹559.80 ₹154.46 -72%
Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited FLUOROCHEM ₹4,566 ₹836.47 -82%
Himadri Speciality Chemical Limited HSCL ₹778.15 ₹248.63 -68%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Rain Industries Limited (RAIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹42.98 versus a price of ₹206.90, about −79% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RAIN?
Our model-based fair value for Rain Industries Limited is ₹42.98 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹206.90.
What is the quality score of RAIN?
Rain Industries Limited has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Rain Industries Limited (RAIN)?
Rain Industries Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹177B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RAIN?
The net profit margin of Rain Industries Limited is about 1.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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