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Rukun Raharja Tbk (RAJA) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · ID · Market cap 19.4T IDR

RR Rukun Raharja Tbk RAJA · JK
Price850.00 IDR
Fair Value287.10 IDR
Upside-66.2%
Quality46/100
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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 11.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Trades 66% ABOVE our fair value of 287.10 IDR
!Mixed Growth
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Moderate moat 60/100
Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: Medium Range 161.96 IDR – 358.88 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 23, 2026, revised from 0.0200 IDR to 287.10 IDR (+1,435,400.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −10.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 66% overvalued on our models.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (358.88 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (161.96 IDR to 358.88 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

8,018 IDR 147.98 IDR Fair Value 287.10 IDR Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 147.98 IDR – 8,018 IDR · fair‑value band 161.96 IDR – 358.88 IDR · the 850.00 IDR price screens above the 287.10 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Rukun Raharja Tbk (RAJA) currently trades at 850.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 287.10 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 66.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Rukun Raharja Tbk generated revenue of 256M IDR at a net margin of 11.4%. Revenue declined 16.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.6%. Net debt stands at 62.7M IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 161.96 IDR (bear case) to 358.88 IDR (bull case); at 850.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -66%, RAJA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 143.55 IDR 287.10 IDR 574.20 IDR 80
Residual Income 143.55 IDR 143.55 IDR 287.10 IDR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 143.55 IDR 287.10 IDR 574.20 IDR 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 143.55 IDR 287.10 IDR 574.20 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 143.55 IDR 143.55 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 143.55 IDR 287.10 IDR 574.20 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 143.55 IDR 287.10 IDR 574.20 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 143.55 IDR 430.65 IDR 717.75 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 143.55 IDR 287.10 IDR 430.65 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 143.55 IDR 430.65 IDR 861.30 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 143.55 IDR 430.65 IDR 717.75 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 143.55 IDR 861.30 IDR 1,148 IDR 54
Lynch FV 430.65 IDR 574.20 IDR 717.75 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 430.65 IDR 574.20 IDR 717.75 IDR 46
EPV 143.55 IDR 143.55 IDR 143.55 IDR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 143.55 IDR 143.55 IDR 287.10 IDR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 143.55 IDR 143.55 IDR 143.55 IDR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 143.55 IDR 287.10 IDR 287.10 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 143.55 IDR 143.55 IDR 287.10 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 143.55 IDR 287.10 IDR 287.10 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 143.55 IDR 287.10 IDR 287.10 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 143.55 IDR 287.10 IDR 287.10 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 143.55 IDR 143.55 IDR 287.10 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 143.55 IDR 143.55 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 143.55 IDR 287.10 IDR 574.20 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 143.55 IDR 287.10 IDR 574.20 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 143.55 IDR 143.55 IDR 287.10 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 143.55 IDR 287.10 IDR 287.10 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 430.65 IDR 717.75 IDR 861.30 IDR 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (717.75 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (143.55 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 256M IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) -16.4%
Net margin 11.4%
Return on equity 14.6%
Free cash flow 13.1M IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 37.0 as of Jul 16, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 25.4%
EPS (TTM) 123.93 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) +28.4%
Net debt 62.7M IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 5
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Rukun Raharja Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated energy provider in Indonesia. The company involved in the trading of natural gas and CNG; transportation of gas; maintenance and operations of gas infrastructure; gas compression services, water treatment services; and management of LPG terminal facilities.

Full company description

PT Rukun Raharja Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated energy provider in Indonesia. The company involved in the trading of natural gas and CNG; transportation of gas; maintenance and operations of gas infrastructure; gas compression services, water treatment services; and management of LPG terminal facilities. It also provides management and consultancy services, as well as engages in power generation, mining, trading, and construction activities. PT Rukun Raharja Tbk was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Rukun Raharja Tbk reported revenue of 263M IDR in FY2025 versus 98.1M IDR in FY2021, a compound +28.0%/yr. Reported net income was 26.9M IDR in FY2025, compounding +85.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 78/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
263M IDR
Latest YoY
+3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.7%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.2%
Revenue +28.0%/yr
FY21 98.1M IDR
FY22 127M IDR
FY23 204M IDR
FY24 254M IDR
FY25 263M IDR
Net income +85.9%/yr
FY21 2.3M IDR
FY22 8.8M IDR
FY23 25.6M IDR
FY24 25.6M IDR
FY25 26.9M IDR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +14.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +2.1 pp

of which total revenue +2.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.4 pp

EBIT margin +9.2 pp
Tax rate +0.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +2.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

RAJA screens 66% overvalued. Compare with Naturgy Energy Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Rukun Raharja Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RAJA

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Gas · 105 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −66% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -16% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.51× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 37.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 9.10× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 7.58× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 147.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 34.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 25
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST59 · sector 35
HEALTH74 · sector 85
DIVIDEND0 · sector 71

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Naturgy Energy Group NTGY €28.94 €31.58 +9%
Atmos Energy Corporation ATO $169.59 $85.67 -49%
NiSource Inc NI $42.50 $28.59 -33%
Uniper SE UN0 €47.45 €48.32 +2%
The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 HK$6.76 HK$4.79 -29%
GAIL (India) Limited GAIL ₹177.95 ₹130.21 -27%
Adani Total Gas Limited ATGL ₹654.05 ₹101.36 -85%
ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 ¥17.51 ¥25.71 +47%
ENN Energy Holdings 2688 HK$47.16 HK$107.98 +129%
China Suntien Green Energy Corporation 600956 ¥7.26 ¥7.37 +2%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Rukun Raharja Tbk (RAJA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 287.10 IDR versus a price of 850.00 IDR, about −66% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RAJA?
Our model-based fair value for Rukun Raharja Tbk is 287.10 IDR (as of Aug 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 850.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of RAJA?
Rukun Raharja Tbk has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Rukun Raharja Tbk (RAJA)?
Rukun Raharja Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 256M IDR (latest available figure, as of Aug 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RAJA?
The net profit margin of Rukun Raharja Tbk is about 11.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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