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Ratch Group (RATCH) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · TH · Market cap 82.7B THB

RG Ratch Group RATCH · BK
Price39.25 THB
Fair Value38.16 THB
Upside-2.8%
Quality54/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 21.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
4.24% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: Medium Range 27.44 THB – 41.71 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 20 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +12.9% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from 27.44 THB (bear) to 41.71 THB (bull), base 38.16 THB. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 54/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

39.50 THB 21.61 THB Fair Value 38.16 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 21.61 THB – 39.50 THB · fair‑value band 27.44 THB – 41.71 THB · the 39.25 THB price screens above the 38.16 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Ratch Group (RATCH) currently trades at 39.25 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 38.16 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 2.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ratch Group generated revenue of 29.2B THB at a net margin of 21.4%. Revenue grew 94.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.4%. Net debt stands at 103B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 27.44 THB (bear case) to 41.71 THB (bull case); at 39.25 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -3%, RATCH screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 23.38 THB 44.19 THB 79.77 THB 80
Residual Income 34.70 THB 36.41 THB 38.30 THB 76
Rev-Margin DCF 8.85 THB 74
All 20 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 20.84 THB 42.28 THB 81.97 THB 38
Owner Earnings 4.20 THB 19.10 THB 46.69 THB 31
5Y Revenue Exit 6.43 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 7.87 THB 20.52 THB 41
5Y P/E Exit 7.59 THB 23.89 THB 43.47 THB 38
10Y Revenue Exit 3.20 THB 8.33 THB 13.20 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 6.75 THB 14.14 THB 21.47 THB 37
10Y P/E Exit 12.37 THB 24.05 THB 34.95 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 19.45 THB 23.77 THB 26.74 THB 54
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 14.69 THB 16.08 THB 18.19 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 14.69 THB 18.43 THB 23.67 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 38.61 THB 51.48 THB 64.35 THB 63
P/S Multiple 23.63 THB 31.51 THB 39.39 THB 58
P/B Multiple 36.46 THB 48.62 THB 60.77 THB 55
EV/EBITDA 1.28 THB 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 21.48 THB 28.79 THB 42.97 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 23.38 THB 44.19 THB 79.77 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 8.85 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 34.70 THB 36.41 THB 38.30 THB 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 27.44 THB 39.19 THB 50.95 THB 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (48.62 THB) versus Dividend Discount (16.08 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 29.2B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +94.9%
Net margin 21.4%
Return on equity 6.4%
Free cash flow 12.2B THB FY2025
P/E ratio 10.3
More key figures
Operating margin 0.4%
EPS (TTM) 2.86 THB
Dividend yield 5.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +0.7%
Net debt 103B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 90

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 86
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 51
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ratch Group Public Company Limited, an energy and infrastructure company, engages in the generation and sales of electricity and steam in Thailand, Australia, Singapore, Indonesia, and internationally.

Full company description

Ratch Group Public Company Limited, an energy and infrastructure company, engages in the generation and sales of electricity and steam in Thailand, Australia, Singapore, Indonesia, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Domestic Electricity Generating, Domestic Renewable Energy, International Power Projects, and Domestic Related Business and Infrastructure. It generates electricity through natural gas, coal, and fuel oil, as well as invests in renewable power generation including solar, wind, biomass and hydro power. The company also offers power plant operation and maintenance services, as well as invests in the power energy business. Ratch Group Public Company Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Nonthaburi, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ratch Group reported revenue of 27.4B THB in FY2025 versus 37.3B THB in FY2021, a compound −7.4%/yr. Reported net income was 6.2B THB in FY2025, compounding −5.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
27.4B THB
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y)
+10.9%
Revenue −7.4%/yr
FY21 37.3B THB
FY22 74.7B THB
FY23 44.0B THB
FY24 33.1B THB
FY25 27.4B THB
Net income −5.6%/yr
FY21 7.8B THB
FY22 5.8B THB
FY23 5.2B THB
FY24 6.1B THB
FY25 6.2B THB

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ratch Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RATCH

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Electric · 154 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −3% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 95% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.2% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.94× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.88× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.83× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 46.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 6.20× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 30 · sector 7
FUTURE 100 · sector 32
PAST 26 · sector 39
HEALTH 53 · sector 54
DIVIDEND 85 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $88.80 $32.94 -63%
The Southern Company SO $95.61 $61.06 -36%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $126.11 $97.11 -23%
National Grid plc NGG 61,175 ARS 44,377 ARS -27%
American Electric Power Company AEP $132.50 $79.33 -40%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $70.08 $46.92 -33%
NTPC Limited NTPC ₹341.85 ₹377.16 +10%
CEZ, a. s. CEZ 232.40 PLN 159.33 PLN -31%
Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID ₹283.55 ₹252.77 -11%
China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 ¥8.91 ¥7.69 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ratch Group (RATCH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 38.16 THB versus a price of 39.25 THB, about −3% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of RATCH?
Our model-based fair value for Ratch Group is 38.16 THB (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 39.25 THB.
What is the quality score of RATCH?
Ratch Group has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ratch Group (RATCH)?
Ratch Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 29.2B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RATCH?
The net profit margin of Ratch Group is about 21.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 21.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ratch Group pay a dividend?
Ratch Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.38% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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