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Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Ratos AB (publ) SEK 62.33, price SEK 36.90, upside +68.9%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · SE · ISIN SE0000191090

RA Some data Sep 30, 2026

Ratos AB (publ)

RATO-A · ST

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value kr 62.33 · Strongly undervalued (+68.9%)
!Quality 49/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −2.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -0.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓3.8% dividend yield · Cash covered
!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
!Narrow moat 28/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 1 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 68.18 kr 27.78 Fair Value kr 62.33 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 27.78 – kr 68.18 · fair‑value band kr 43.25 – kr 84.26 · the kr 36.90 price screens below the kr 62.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.

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Company profile

Ratos AB (publ) is a private equity firm specializing in buyouts, turnarounds, add on acquisitions, and middle market transactions. The firm does not invest in early stages and in companies that operate in the arms industry, pornography, or are detrimental to the environment. It seeks to invest in unlisted medium sized companies.

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Ratos AB (publ) is a private equity firm specializing in buyouts, turnarounds, add on acquisitions, and middle market transactions. The firm does not invest in early stages and in companies that operate in the arms industry, pornography, or are detrimental to the environment. It seeks to invest in unlisted medium sized companies. The firm invests in industry and technology (including aftermarket information and training solutions, sustainable core material development, product and digital service development at the intersection between business strategy and technological development, secondary optics, camping and outdoor equipment, third-party logistics, and contract research for biotech and pharmaceutical companies,) construction and services (including electrification of rail infrastructure, maintenance of critical transportation infrastructure, technology and design of complex sustainable energy solutions, and Construction of commercial properties, public buildings and housing), consumer (including plants, flowers and related products) sectors. The firm typically invests in the Nordic region, with focus on Sweden, Finland, Denmark, and Norway. It seeks to invest in companies with equity investments between SEK250 million ($27.20 million) and SEK5000 million ($543.99 million), sales value between SEK300 million ($32.64 million) and SEK5000 million ($543.99million) and EBITDA greater than SEK50 million ($5.43 million). The firm takes both minority and majority stakes. The firm prefers to be the principal owner with a minimum holding of at least 20 percent and also seeks a board seat. It prefers to hold its investment between five to ten years. Ratos AB (publ) was founded in 1866 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A) currently trades at kr 36.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 62.33, implying the stock looks roughly 40.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of kr 67.33 per share, and 10 of the 11 models we run sit above the kr 36.90 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 27.24, and 1 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: kr 43.25 (bear) to kr 84.26 (bull), the price of kr 36.90 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Ratos AB (publ) reported revenue of 18.8B SEK in FY2025 versus 22.6B SEK in FY2021, a compound −4.4%/yr. Reported net income was −683M SEK in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 12.1B SEK (≈ $1.2B) · P/S ratio 0.57 · EPS (TTM) kr −2.01 · Dividend yield 3.8% · Net margin −3.6% · Return on equity 0.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7% · Operating margin 16.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 69%, RATO-A screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 43.25 Fair Value kr 62.33 Bull kr 84.26
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF kr 50.49 kr 67.94 kr 93.92 81
Growth DCF kr 51.90 kr 68.32 kr 91.25 80
Owner Earnings kr 54.48 kr 73.09 kr 100.80 77
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 50.49 kr 67.94 kr 93.92 81
Owner Earnings kr 54.48 kr 73.09 kr 100.80 77
5Y Revenue Exit kr 44.21 kr 66.16 kr 95.58 72
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 42.80 kr 63.74 kr 89.20 75
10Y Revenue Exit kr 45.21 kr 63.75 kr 85.01 67
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 45.64 kr 62.28 kr 81.03 69
Multiples
EV/EBITDA kr 44.33 kr 62.26 kr 80.19 67
EV/Revenue kr 43.39 kr 66.04 kr 88.68 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 20.32 kr 27.24 kr 40.65 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 51.90 kr 68.32 kr 91.25 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 44.21 kr 67.33 kr 94.30 73

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 13
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−41.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.6% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.0% (2020) → −7.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −5.3% a year for the price and +0.8% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+1.0%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+3.6%
Projected 2028 (sales)+3.4%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.0%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 789 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +68.9% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0.7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −0.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 16.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 6.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.32× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.09× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.06× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.6× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 5.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.17× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)33 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)1 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)84 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)76 · sector 42

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Vinci SA DG €105.60 €186.22 +76%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,658 $1,116 −33%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,876 ₹1,994 −49%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 159,718 KRW −56%
Ferrovial N.V FER $55.77 $21.74 −61%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €407.40 €203.86 −50%
EMCOR Group EME $769.03 $525.05 −32%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €95.00 €62.20 −35%
Bouygues SA EN €43.14 €66.31 +54%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ratos AB (publ) Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RATO-A

Frequently asked questions

Is Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 62.33 versus a price of kr 36.90, about +69% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of RATO-A?
Our model-based fair value for Ratos AB (publ) is kr 62.33 (as of Sep 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 36.90.
What is the quality score of RATO-A?
Ratos AB (publ) has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 62.33 (as of Sep 30, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 43.25, optimistic scenario kr 84.26. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ratos AB (publ) stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 62.33, about +69% upside versus a price of kr 36.90 (undervalued). Cautious scenario kr 43.25, optimistic scenario kr 84.26. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A)?
Ratos AB (publ) reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 19.5B SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 30, 2026).
Does Ratos AB (publ) pay a dividend?
Ratos AB (publ) currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.79% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 30, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ratos AB (publ) would have to grow free cash flow by -3.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -2.1 % per year. As of Sep 30, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of RATO-A use?
Our models discount Ratos AB (publ) at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.19, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ratos AB (publ) that is -3.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ratos AB (publ) grew -2.1 % a year. The price currently implies -3.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ratos AB (publ) (-3.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.74 %: that much free cash flow Ratos AB (publ) produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ratos AB (publ) it is kr 62.33 per share (as of Sep 30, 2026), against a price of kr 36.90. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ratos AB (publ) stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 30, 2026, RATO-A trades below its calculated fair value: price kr 36.90, fair value kr 62.33, a gap of about +69% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RATO-A?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 36.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 62.33). For Ratos AB (publ) the two are kr 25.43 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ratos AB (publ) worth?
The market values Ratos AB (publ) at about 12.1B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 30, 2026). Per share that is kr 36.90; our models calculate a fair value of kr 62.33 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RATO-A?
Our models span a range for Ratos AB (publ): cautious scenario kr 43.25, base kr 62.33, optimistic kr 84.26 per share (as of Sep 30, 2026, price kr 36.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of RATO-A?
The PEG ratio of Ratos AB (publ) is 2.17 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 30, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ratos AB (publ) (as of Sep 30, 2026): return on equity 0.3%, debt of 0.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RATO-A from its 52-week high?
Ratos AB (publ) trades at kr 36.90, about 6% below its 52-week high of kr 39.30 and 16% above the low of kr 31.70 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 62.33 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ratos AB (publ)?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ratos AB (publ) stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 30, 2026: price kr 36.90, calculated fair value kr 62.33 (+69%), Quality Score 49/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RATO-A calculated?
We run Ratos AB (publ) through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 62.33, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Ratos AB (publ) currently trades 41 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was kr 36.90. Our model-based fair value is kr 62.33, about +69% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ratos AB (publ) right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 43.25). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (kr 43.25 to kr 84.26) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A) come from?
Earnings per share at Ratos AB (publ) grew −1.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.2 %, EBIT margin −0.1 %, tax rate −1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Ratos AB (publ)

How large is the market capitalisation of Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A)?
The market capitalisation of Ratos AB (publ) is 12.1B SEK (≈ $1.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ratos AB (publ) is 0.57 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A)?
Earnings per share at Ratos AB (publ) are kr −2.01. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A)?
The dividend yield of Ratos AB (publ) is 3.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A)?
The net margin of Ratos AB (publ) is −3.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ratos AB (publ) is 0.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ratos AB (publ) is 3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A)?
The operating margin of Ratos AB (publ) is 16.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A)?
Revenue at Ratos AB (publ) is growing +6.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −14.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A)?
Earnings per share at Ratos AB (publ) are growing −67.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A) carry?
The net debt of Ratos AB (publ) is 6.8B SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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