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Stingray Group (RAY) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · CA · Market cap C$1.0B

SG Stingray Group RAY · TO
PriceC$15.40
Fair ValueC$14.23
Upside-7.6%
Quality53/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -6.1% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: Medium Range C$8.74 – C$19.73 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from C$11.64 to C$14.23 (+22.3%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price +2.7% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (C$8.74 to C$19.73) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

C$17.37 C$3.54 Fair Value C$14.23 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$3.54 – C$17.37 · fair‑value band C$8.74 – C$19.73 · the C$15.40 price screens above the C$14.23 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Stingray Group (RAY) currently trades at C$15.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$14.23, implying the stock looks roughly 7.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Stingray Group generated revenue of C$430M at a net margin of 10.2%. Revenue grew 15.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.9%. Net debt stands at C$527M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$8.74 (bear case) to C$19.73 (bull case); at C$15.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 90% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at -8%, RAY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF C$9.59 C$21.28 C$37.61 80
Rev-Margin DCF C$4.25 C$10.12 C$18.35 74
ROIC Compounder C$6.22 C$9.91 C$13.93 72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF C$10.11 C$20.35 C$43.95 38
5Y Revenue Exit C$4.25 C$10.20 C$18.29 39
5Y EBITDA Exit C$11.15 C$25.59 C$44.73 41
10Y Revenue Exit C$6.04 C$12.46 C$22.55 36
10Y EBITDA Exit C$10.55 C$23.25 C$44.41 37
Earnings-Based
EPV C$5.18 C$6.52 C$7.65 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT C$13.83 C$20.01 C$26.19 53
EV/EBITDA C$12.80 C$18.64 C$24.47 54
EV/Revenue C$1.11 C$3.60 C$6.10 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$1.55 C$2.08 C$3.11 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF C$9.59 C$21.28 C$37.61 80
Rev-Margin DCF C$4.25 C$10.12 C$18.35 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder C$6.22 C$9.91 C$13.93 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (C$20.35) versus Asset-Based (C$2.08). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$472M
Revenue growth (YoY) +43.6%
Net margin -6.1%
Return on equity -12.0%
Free cash flow C$85.8M FY2026
P/E ratio 23.3
More key figures
Operating margin 15.4%
EPS (TTM) C$-0.4200
EPS growth (YoY) -52.2%
Net debt C$527M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Stingray Group Inc. operates as a music, media, and technology company in Canada, the United States, and internationally. It operates through Broadcasting and Commercial Music and Radio segments.

Full company description

Stingray Group Inc. operates as a music, media, and technology company in Canada, the United States, and internationally. It operates through Broadcasting and Commercial Music and Radio segments. The company offers music, digital, and advertising services to enterprise brands, including audio and video channels, radio stations, subscription video-on-demand content, free and ad-supported TV (FAST) channels, karaoke products and music apps, and in-car and on-board infotainment content. It also provides commercial solutions in music, in-store advertising solutions, digital signage, and AI-driven consumer insights and feedback, as well as delivers digital audio messaging and audio advertising. In addition, the company offers subscription video on demand, such as Qello Concerts by Stingray, Stingray Classica, Stingray DJAZZ, Stingray Karaoke, Stingray Naturescape, ZenLIFE by Stingray, and The Coda Collection. It also offers FAST channels, including Stingray Music, Qello Concerts by Stingray, Stingray Classica, Stingray DJAZZ, Stingray CMusic, Stingray Karaoke, Stingray Naturescape, Stingray Holidayscapes, ZenLIFE by Stingray, Ultimate Trivia by Stingray, Stingray Cozy Café, Stingray Stargaze, Stingray Cityscapes, Movie Music by Stingray, Loupe Art, and EarthDay 365. The company distributes its products and services through various platforms, including digital cable TV, satellite TV, IPTV, OTT, the internet, mobile devices, game consoles, and connected cars. It serves cable and telecom companies, retailers, and small and medium businesses, as well as direct consumers. The company was formerly known as Stingray Digital Group Inc. and changed its name to Stingray Group Inc. in December 2018. Stingray Group Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Stingray Group reported revenue of C$472M in FY2026 versus C$283M in FY2022, a compound +13.7%/yr. Reported net income was −C$28.6M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 91/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
C$472M
Latest YoY
+21.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+13.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+13.7%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+19.0%
Revenue +13.7%/yr
FY22 C$283M
FY23 C$324M
FY24 C$345M
FY25 C$387M
FY26 C$472M
Net income
FY22 C$33.3M
FY23 C$30.1M
FY24 −C$13.7M
FY25 C$36.4M
FY26 −C$28.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Stingray Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RAY

Peer Group

Broadcasting · 69 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −8% · Below median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) -6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 44% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.61× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.56× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.60× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 8.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 23 · sector 36
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 3
HEALTH 19 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Broadcasting stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nexstar Media Group NXST $183.71 $78.52 -57%
SES S.A SESG €7.46 €15.46 +107%
PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, EMTK 505.00 IDR 1,094 IDR +117%
MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V MFEB €3.64 €5.38 +48%
Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation 600959 ¥3.07 ¥1.14 -63%
Sun TV Network Limited SUNTV ₹489.20 ₹586.58 +20%
MBC Group 4072 20.06 SAR 19.56 SAR -2%
Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co 600037 ¥7.13 ¥3.64 -49%
PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, SCMA 206.00 IDR 229.91 IDR +12%
Zee Entertainment Enterprises Limited ZEEL ₹92.61 ₹53.22 -43%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Stingray Group (RAY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$14.23 versus a price of C$15.40, about −8% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of RAY?
Our model-based fair value for Stingray Group is C$14.23 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$15.40.
What is the quality score of RAY?
Stingray Group has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Stingray Group (RAY)?
Stingray Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$430M (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RAY?
The net profit margin of Stingray Group is about 10.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Stingray Group pay a dividend?
Stingray Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.23% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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