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Rubellite Energy Inc (RBY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Rubellite Energy Inc C$4.85, price C$4.17, upside +16.3%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · CA · ISIN CA78111B2066

RE Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Rubellite Energy Inc

RBY · TO

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value C$4.85 · Undervalued (+16%)
!Quality 36/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +56.6 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 11.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (9/13)
!Moderate moat 59/100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$5.07 C$1.64 Fair Value C$4.85 Sep 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$1.64 – C$5.07 · fair‑value band C$1.42 – C$6.06 · the C$4.17 price screens below the C$4.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Rubellite Energy Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy company in Canada. It engages in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of heavy crude oil, natural gas, and bitumen assets. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Stock analysis

Rubellite Energy Inc (RBY) currently trades at C$4.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$4.85, implying the stock looks roughly 14.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of C$14.22 per share, and 11 of the 24 models we run sit above the C$4.17 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at C$0.9100, and 13 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: C$1.42 (bear) to C$6.06 (bull), the price of C$4.17 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Rubellite Energy Inc reported revenue of C$209M in FY2025 versus C$4.9M in FY2021, a compound +155.3%/yr. Reported net income was C$32.6M in FY2025, compounding +43.4%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap C$410M (≈ $290M) · P/E ratio 15.4 · P/S ratio 2.40 · EPS (TTM) C$0.2700 · Net margin 15.6% · Return on equity 7.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.4% · Operating margin 68.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 90% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 16%, RBY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$1.42 Fair Value C$4.85 Bull C$6.06
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$0.1982 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV C$0.6900 C$0.9100 C$1.09 74
EV/EBITDA C$4.98 C$7.04 C$9.10 67
ROIC Compounder C$0.6900 C$0.9100 C$1.09 67
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF C$0.4300 C$1.08 C$2.98 64
Owner Earnings C$0.2300 C$1.59 C$3.97 61
5Y Revenue Exit C$0.6800 C$2.10 C$5.07 60
5Y EBITDA Exit C$3.38 C$7.54 C$15.71 65
5Y P/E Exit C$1.74 C$5.62 C$10.96 61
10Y Revenue Exit C$0.5200 C$2.58 C$3.92 59
10Y EBITDA Exit C$2.26 C$7.53 C$17.03 57
10Y P/E Exit C$1.24 C$4.52 C$9.99 53
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd C$2.36 C$16.43 C$23.06 59
Lynch FV C$8.49 C$12.13 C$15.77 57
PEG = 1.0 C$8.49 C$12.13 C$15.77 53
EPV C$0.6900 C$0.9100 C$1.09 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple C$3.64 C$4.85 C$6.06 63
P/S Multiple C$2.00 C$2.67 C$3.34 58
P/B Multiple C$4.42 C$5.89 C$7.36 55
EV/EBIT C$1.49 C$2.38 C$3.27 64
EV/EBITDA C$4.98 C$7.04 C$9.10 67
EV/Revenue C$0.6800 C$1.48 C$2.29 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$1.83 C$2.45 C$3.66 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF C$0.3300 C$1.26 C$2.72 66
Rev-Margin DCF C$0.8800 C$2.57 C$6.10 60
Economic Profit
Residual Income C$2.85 C$3.01 C$3.22 66
ROIC Compounder C$0.6900 C$0.9100 C$1.09 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E C$9.95 C$14.22 C$18.48 63

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 86
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 90
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 28
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+24.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+56.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+14.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−122% → 16%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+45.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +42.0% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 306 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Below median
Fair Value upside +16% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 69% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 38% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.33× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.84× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.26× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 51.3× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 2.9× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)55 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)31 · sector 10
HEALTH (low debt)84 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 74

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$23.34 HK$39.89 +71%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $128.09 $90.15 −30%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.64 $52.40 +10%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $141.84 $165.02 +16%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $57.36 $33.34 −42%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $185.65 $242.64 +31%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $48.04 $52.84 +10%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$31.13 A$23.59 −24%
EQT Corporation EQT $51.06 $56.17 +10%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $335.74 $318.28 −5%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Rubellite Energy Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RBY

Frequently asked questions

Is Rubellite Energy Inc (RBY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$4.85 versus a price of C$4.17, about +16% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of RBY?
Our model-based fair value for Rubellite Energy Inc is C$4.85 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$4.17.
What is the quality score of RBY?
Rubellite Energy Inc has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Rubellite Energy Inc (RBY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$4.85 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$1.42, optimistic scenario C$6.06. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Rubellite Energy Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$4.85, about +16% upside versus a price of C$4.17 (undervalued). Cautious scenario C$1.42, optimistic scenario C$6.06. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Rubellite Energy Inc (RBY)?
Rubellite Energy Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$231M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Rubellite Energy Inc (RBY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Rubellite Energy Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +45.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +155.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of RBY use?
Our models discount Rubellite Energy Inc at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.68, country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Rubellite Energy Inc that is +45.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Rubellite Energy Inc (RBY) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Rubellite Energy Inc grew +155.3 % a year. The price currently implies +45.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Rubellite Energy Inc (RBY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Rubellite Energy Inc (+45.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Rubellite Energy Inc (RBY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.38 %: that much free cash flow Rubellite Energy Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Rubellite Energy Inc (RBY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Rubellite Energy Inc it is C$4.85 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of C$4.17. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Rubellite Energy Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, RBY trades below its calculated fair value: price C$4.17, fair value C$4.85, a gap of about +16% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RBY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$4.17); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$4.85). For Rubellite Energy Inc the two are C$0.6800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Rubellite Energy Inc worth?
The market values Rubellite Energy Inc at about C$410M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is C$4.17; our models calculate a fair value of C$4.85 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RBY?
Our models span a range for Rubellite Energy Inc: cautious scenario C$1.42, base C$4.85, optimistic C$6.06 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price C$4.17). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of RBY?
Rubellite Energy Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$4.85 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 2.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Rubellite Energy Inc (RBY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Rubellite Energy Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.7%, debt of 0.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RBY from its 52-week high?
Rubellite Energy Inc trades at C$4.17, about 11% below its 52-week high of C$4.66 and 90% above the low of C$2.19 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$4.85 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Rubellite Energy Inc?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Rubellite Energy Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price C$4.17, calculated fair value C$4.85 (+16%), Quality Score 36/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RBY calculated?
We run Rubellite Energy Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$4.85, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Rubellite Energy Inc currently trades 16 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Rubellite Energy Inc (RBY)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was C$4.17. Our model-based fair value is C$4.85, about +16% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Rubellite Energy Inc right now?
The model range is unusually wide (C$1.42 to C$6.06). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Key figures of Rubellite Energy Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Rubellite Energy Inc (RBY)?
The market capitalisation of Rubellite Energy Inc is C$410M (≈ $290M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Rubellite Energy Inc (RBY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Rubellite Energy Inc is 2.40 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Rubellite Energy Inc (RBY)?
Earnings per share at Rubellite Energy Inc are C$0.2700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Rubellite Energy Inc (RBY)?
The net margin of Rubellite Energy Inc is 15.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Rubellite Energy Inc (RBY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Rubellite Energy Inc is 7.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Rubellite Energy Inc (RBY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Rubellite Energy Inc is 7.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Rubellite Energy Inc (RBY)?
The operating margin of Rubellite Energy Inc is 68.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Rubellite Energy Inc (RBY)?
Revenue at Rubellite Energy Inc is growing +37.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +56.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Rubellite Energy Inc (RBY)?
Earnings per share at Rubellite Energy Inc are growing +106% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Rubellite Energy Inc (RBY) carry?
The net debt of Rubellite Energy Inc is C$116M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 20.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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