Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Geo Energy Resources Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Geo Energy Resources Limited for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for free
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.1201 SGD – 0.6378 SGD · fair‑value band 0.2100 SGD – 0.4100 SGD · the 0.5300 SGD price screens above the 0.3100 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Geo Energy Resources Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the mining, production, and trading of coal. The company operates through three segments: Coal Mining, Coal Trading, and Mining Services. The Coal Mining segment engages in the production and sale of coal.
Show more
Geo Energy Resources Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the mining, production, and trading of coal. The company operates through three segments: Coal Mining, Coal Trading, and Mining Services. The Coal Mining segment engages in the production and sale of coal. The Coal Trading segment is involved in the purchase and sale of coal from third parties. The Mining Services segment provides mining contracting and project management services for mining activities conducted at third party mines. The company also engages in road and jetty infrastructure, and marine logistics. In addition, it engages in the power generation and general trading activities; construction and transportation services; and operates as a multimedia supplier, as well as offers business and management consultant services. The company operates in China, Indonesia, South Korea, India, Vietnam, and the Philippines. Geo Energy Resources Limited was founded in 2008 and is based in Singapore.
Stock analysis
Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4) currently trades at 0.5300 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.3100 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 71.0% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 0.4400 SGD per share, and 1 of the 23 models we run sit above the 0.5300 SGD price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 0.0600 SGD, and 22 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.2100 SGD (bear) to 0.4100 SGD (bull), the price of 0.5300 SGD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Geo Energy Resources Limited reported revenue of $563M in FY2025 versus $642M in FY2021, a compound −3.2%/yr. Reported net income was $27.4M in FY2025, compounding −37.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 891M SGD (≈ $701M) · P/E ratio 53.0 · P/S ratio 2.58 · EPS (TTM) 0.0100 SGD · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 2.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 20.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at −42%, RE4 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.2100 SGDFair Value 0.3100 SGDBull 0.4100 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0011 SGD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+40.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.1%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−18.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−19.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−28% vs 0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.38% → 11%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+32.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Geo Energy Resources Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Thermal Coal · 100 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Below median
Fair Value upside−43% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)10% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−42% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.56× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)53.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.59× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)1.43× · Pricier than median
P/FCF59.3× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA12.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 19
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)11· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)72· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)32· sector 53
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Geo Energy Resources Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RE4
Frequently asked questions
Is Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.3100 SGD versus a price of 0.5300 SGD, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RE4?
Our model-based fair value for Geo Energy Resources Limited is 0.3100 SGD (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.5300 SGD.
What is the quality score of RE4?
Geo Energy Resources Limited has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.3100 SGD (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.2100 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.4100 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Geo Energy Resources Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.3100 SGD, about −42% upside versus a price of 0.5300 SGD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.2100 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.4100 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
Geo Energy Resources Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 492M SGD (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Geo Energy Resources Limited pay a dividend?
Geo Energy Resources Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.60% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Geo Energy Resources Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +32.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.9 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of RE4 use?
Our models discount Geo Energy Resources Limited at 9.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.18, country premium for Singapore. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Geo Energy Resources Limited that is +32.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Geo Energy Resources Limited grew +12.9 % a year. The price currently implies +32.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Geo Energy Resources Limited (+32.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.56 %: that much free cash flow Geo Energy Resources Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Geo Energy Resources Limited it is 0.3100 SGD per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 0.5300 SGD. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Geo Energy Resources Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, RE4 trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.5300 SGD, fair value 0.3100 SGD, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RE4?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.5300 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.3100 SGD). For Geo Energy Resources Limited the two are 0.2200 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Geo Energy Resources Limited worth?
The market values Geo Energy Resources Limited at about 891M SGD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 0.5300 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 0.3100 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RE4?
Our models span a range for Geo Energy Resources Limited: cautious scenario 0.2100 SGD, base 0.3100 SGD, optimistic 0.4100 SGD per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 0.5300 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of RE4?
Geo Energy Resources Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 53.0 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.3100 SGD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.6, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 12.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
Balance-sheet figures for Geo Energy Resources Limited (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 2.9%, debt of 0.56 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RE4 from its 52-week high?
Geo Energy Resources Limited trades at 0.5300 SGD, about 21% below its 52-week high of 0.6738 SGD and 64% above the low of 0.3222 SGD (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.3100 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Geo Energy Resources Limited?
From the same area (Energy) we also value China Shenhua Energy Company, PT Bayan Resources Tbk.,, Adani Enterprises Limited, Shaanxi Coal Industry Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Geo Energy Resources Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 0.5300 SGD, calculated fair value 0.3100 SGD (−42%), Quality Score 46/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RE4 calculated?
We run Geo Energy Resources Limited through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.3100 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Geo Energy Resources Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
The closing price on Sep 14, 2026 was 0.5300 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 0.3100 SGD, about −42% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Geo Energy Resources Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.4100 SGD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (0.2100 SGD to 0.4100 SGD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4) come from?
Earnings per share at Geo Energy Resources Limited grew +23.7 % a year from 2011 to 2022. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +18.7 %, EBIT margin +3.0 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Geo Energy Resources Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
The market capitalisation of Geo Energy Resources Limited is 891M SGD (≈ $701M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Geo Energy Resources Limited is 2.58 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
Earnings per share at Geo Energy Resources Limited are 0.0100 SGD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 53.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
The dividend yield of Geo Energy Resources Limited is 1.6% (payout 85.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
The net margin of Geo Energy Resources Limited is 4.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Geo Energy Resources Limited is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Geo Energy Resources Limited is 20.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
The operating margin of Geo Energy Resources Limited is 9.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
Revenue at Geo Energy Resources Limited is growing −42.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
Earnings per share at Geo Energy Resources Limited are growing −74.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4) carry?
The net debt of Geo Energy Resources Limited is 158M SGD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 13.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Geo Energy Resources Limited in the live analysis
One click puts Geo Energy Resources Limited on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
