Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 29, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Geo Energy Resources Limited stock S$0.32, price S$0.53, upside -39.0%, quality 47 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.1284 SGD – 0.6378 SGD · fair‑value band 0.1700 SGD – 0.5700 SGD · the 0.5250 SGD price screens above the 0.3200 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Oct 28, 2026.
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Geo Energy Resources Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the mining, production, and trading of coal. The company operates through three segments: Coal Mining, Coal Trading, and Mining Services. The Coal Mining segment engages in the production and sale of coal.
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The Coal Trading segment is involved in the purchase and sale of coal from third parties. The Mining Services segment provides mining contracting and project management services for mining activities conducted at third party mines.
The company also engages in road and jetty infrastructure, and marine logistics.
In addition, it engages in the power generation and general trading activities; construction and transportation services; and operates as a multimedia supplier, as well as offers business and management consultant services.
The company operates in China, Indonesia, South Korea, India, Vietnam, and the Philippines. Geo Energy Resources Limited was founded in 2008 and is based in Singapore.
Stock analysis
Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4) currently trades at 0.5250 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.3200 SGD, 39.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 0.5600 SGD per share, and 6 of the 25 models we run sit above the 0.5250 SGD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 0.1200 SGD, and 19 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.1700 SGD (bear) to 0.5700 SGD (bull), the price of 0.5250 SGD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Geo Energy Resources Limited reported revenue of $563M in FY2025 versus $642M in FY2021, a compound −3.2%/yr. Reported net income was $27.4M in FY2025, compounding −37.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 930M SGD (≈ $727M) Small · P/E ratio 26.3 · P/S ratio 1.28 · EPS (TTM) 0.0200 SGD · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 3.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 20.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −39%, RE4 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear0.1700 SGDFair Value 0.3200 SGDBull0.5700 SGD
Price 0.5250 SGD · Upside -39.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0133 SGD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+40.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +38.1% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−19.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−19.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−27.8% vs 0.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.38% → 11%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+32.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Singapore: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +29.5% a year for the price.
Compare Geo Energy Resources Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Thermal Coal · 84 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside−39.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)3.7% · Below median
Return on assets2.4% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)4.6% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)17.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−9.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.56× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)26.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.64× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)1.52× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow61.3× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA12.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 63
PAST (return on equity)15· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)72· sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)15· sector 62
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Geo Energy Resources Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RE4
Frequently asked questions
Is Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.3200 SGD versus a price of 0.5250 SGD, about −39% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RE4?
Our model-based fair value for Geo Energy Resources Limited is 0.3200 SGD (as of Oct 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.5250 SGD.
What is the quality score of RE4?
Geo Energy Resources Limited has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.3200 SGD (as of Oct 28, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.1700 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.5700 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Geo Energy Resources Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.3200 SGD, about −39% upside versus a price of 0.5250 SGD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.1700 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.5700 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
Geo Energy Resources Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 480M SGD (latest available figure, as of Oct 28, 2026).
Does Geo Energy Resources Limited pay a dividend?
Geo Energy Resources Limited currently shows a dividend yield of 0.76% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Geo Energy Resources Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +32.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.9 % per year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of RE4 use?
Our models discount Geo Energy Resources Limited at 9.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.21, country premium for Singapore. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Geo Energy Resources Limited that is +32.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Geo Energy Resources Limited grew +12.9 % a year. The price currently implies +32.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +13.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Geo Energy Resources Limited (+32.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.58 %: that much free cash flow Geo Energy Resources Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Geo Energy Resources Limited it is 0.3200 SGD per share (as of Oct 28, 2026), against a price of 0.5250 SGD. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Geo Energy Resources Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 28, 2026, RE4 trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.5250 SGD, fair value 0.3200 SGD, a gap of about −39% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RE4?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.5250 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.3200 SGD). For Geo Energy Resources Limited the two are 0.2050 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Geo Energy Resources Limited worth?
The market values Geo Energy Resources Limited at about 930M SGD (market capitalisation, as of Oct 28, 2026). Per share that is 0.5250 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 0.3200 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RE4?
Our models span a range for Geo Energy Resources Limited: cautious scenario 0.1700 SGD, base 0.3200 SGD, optimistic 0.5700 SGD per share (as of Oct 28, 2026, price 0.5250 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of RE4?
Geo Energy Resources Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.3 (as of Oct 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.3200 SGD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.6, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 12.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
Balance-sheet figures for Geo Energy Resources Limited (as of Oct 28, 2026): return on equity 3.7%, debt of 0.56 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RE4 from its 52-week high?
Geo Energy Resources Limited trades at 0.5250 SGD, about 18% below its 52-week high of 0.6378 SGD and 32% above the low of 0.3986 SGD (as of Oct 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.3200 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Geo Energy Resources Limited?
From the same area (Energy) we also value China Shenhua Energy Company, Shaanxi Coal Industry Company, Adani Enterprises Limited, China Coal Energy Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Geo Energy Resources Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 28, 2026: price 0.5250 SGD, calculated fair value 0.3200 SGD (−39%), Quality Score 47/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RE4 calculated?
We run Geo Energy Resources Limited through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.3200 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Geo Energy Resources Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
The closing price on Oct 29, 2026 was 0.5250 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 0.3200 SGD, about −39% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Geo Energy Resources Limited right now?
The model range is unusually wide (0.1700 SGD to 0.5700 SGD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4) come from?
Earnings per share at Geo Energy Resources Limited grew +23.7 % a year from 2011 to 2022. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +18.7 %, EBIT margin +3.0 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Geo Energy Resources Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
The market capitalisation of Geo Energy Resources Limited is 930M SGD (≈ $727M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Geo Energy Resources Limited is 1.28 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
Earnings per share at Geo Energy Resources Limited are 0.0200 SGD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 26.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
The dividend yield of Geo Energy Resources Limited is 0.8% (payout 20.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
The net margin of Geo Energy Resources Limited is 4.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Geo Energy Resources Limited is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Geo Energy Resources Limited is 20.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
The operating margin of Geo Energy Resources Limited is 17.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
Revenue at Geo Energy Resources Limited is growing −9.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4)?
Earnings per share at Geo Energy Resources Limited are growing +41.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Geo Energy Resources Limited (RE4) carry?
The net debt of Geo Energy Resources Limited is 158M SGD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 13.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 28, 2026