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Regency Fincorp Ltd (REGENCY) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · IN · Market cap ₹3.2B

RF Regency Fincorp Ltd REGENCY · BSE
Price₹45.69
Fair Value₹18.50
Upside-59.5%
Quality49/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 45.1% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Wide moat 69/100
Evidence: High Range ₹13.29 – ₹23.11 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Below-average quality, and screening another 60% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹23.11). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹46.00 ₹3.20 Fair Value ₹18.50 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹3.20 – ₹46.00 · fair‑value band ₹13.29 – ₹23.11 · the ₹45.69 price screens above the ₹18.50 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Regency Fincorp Ltd (REGENCY) currently trades at ₹45.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹18.50, implying the stock looks roughly 59.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Regency Fincorp Ltd generated revenue of ₹298M at a net margin of 45.1%. Revenue grew 42.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.5%. Net debt stands at ₹1.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹13.29 (bear case) to ₹23.11 (bull case); at ₹45.69, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 101% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -60%, REGENCY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹24.33 ₹63.85 ₹127.53 80
Residual Income ₹16.46 ₹17.61 ₹20.18 76
Gordon GGM ₹0.0400 ₹0.0800 ₹0.1200 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹0.6500 ₹25.06 ₹74.43 31
5Y P/E Exit ₹5.94 ₹29.72 ₹60.83 38
10Y P/E Exit ₹12.73 ₹40.64 ₹83.57 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹11.38 ₹79.36 ₹111.37 54
Lynch FV ₹41.00 ₹58.57 ₹76.15 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹0.0400 ₹0.0800 ₹0.1200 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹0.0400 ₹0.0700 ₹0.0900 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹16.32 ₹21.76 ₹27.19 63
P/B Multiple ₹21.02 ₹28.03 ₹35.03 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹10.01 ₹13.41 ₹20.02 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹24.33 ₹63.85 ₹127.53 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹16.46 ₹17.61 ₹20.18 76

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (₹63.85) versus Dividend Discount (₹0.0700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹298M
Revenue growth (YoY) +42.1%
Net margin 45.1%
Return on equity 9.5%
Free cash flow ₹235M FY2026
P/E ratio 31.1
More key figures
Operating margin 51.8%
EPS (TTM) ₹1.47
EPS growth (YoY) -4.8%
Net debt ₹1.6B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 97
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 28
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 86
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 98
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Regency Fincorp Limited operates as a non-banking financial company in India. It offers micro business/personal loans, education loans, merchant financing, and gold loans, as well as loans against residential and commercial properties.

Full company description

Regency Fincorp Limited operates as a non-banking financial company in India. It offers micro business/personal loans, education loans, merchant financing, and gold loans, as well as loans against residential and commercial properties. The company also provides short-term loans for purchasing inventory, business expansion, office furniture, display panels, and office automation, as well as mining equipment's loans for plant and machinery. It serves households, as well as micro, small, and medium enterprises. The company was formerly known as Regency Investments Limited. Regency Fincorp Limited was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Mohali, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Regency Fincorp Ltd reported revenue of ₹345M in FY2026 versus ₹53.8M in FY2022, a compound +59.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹134M in FY2026, compounding −19.6%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹345M
Latest YoY
+162.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+46.1%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+63.7%
Revenue +59.1%/yr
FY22 ₹53.8M
FY23 ₹408K
FY24 ₹21.6M
FY25 ₹131M
FY26 ₹345M
Net income −19.6%/yr
FY22 ₹322M
FY23 −₹156M
FY24 −₹98.1M
FY25 ₹22.5M
FY26 ₹134M

REGENCY screens 60% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Regency Fincorp Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/REGENCY

Peer Group

Credit Services · 336 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −60% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 45% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 52% · Above median
Revenue growth 42% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.97× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 31.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.00× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 10.77× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 33
FUTURE100 · sector 39
PAST38 · sector 32
HEALTH52 · sector 59
DIVIDEND0 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $359.42 $198.27 -45%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $561.44 $221.87 -60%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,093 ₹397.70 -64%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,117 ₹553.83 -50%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,866 ₹796.47 -57%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹367.05 ₹149.40 -59%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹376.50 ₹615.85 +64%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹2,876 ₹3,429 +19%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.35 ₹69.72 -21%
REC Limited RECLTD ₹346.00 ₹692.00 +100%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Regency Fincorp Ltd (REGENCY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹18.50 versus a price of ₹45.69, about −60% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of REGENCY?
Our model-based fair value for Regency Fincorp Ltd is ₹18.50 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹45.69.
What is the quality score of REGENCY?
Regency Fincorp Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Regency Fincorp Ltd (REGENCY)?
Regency Fincorp Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹298M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of REGENCY?
The net profit margin of Regency Fincorp Ltd is about 45.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 45.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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